MicroStrategy (MSTR) 股價預測：八月值得買嗎？

MicroStrategy 股價在 2024 年大幅飆升，成為今年表現最好的資產之一。

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) stock price has soared hard in 2024, making it one of the best-performing assets this year. It has surged by over 308% this year, beating the S&P 500 index, which is up by 24%. MSTR has also beaten other companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft.

MicroStrategy（納斯達克股票代碼：MSTR）股價在2024年大幅飆升，使其成為今年表現最好的資產之一。今年以來，該指數已飆升超過 308%，超過了上漲 24% 的標準普爾 500 指數。 MSTR 也擊敗了 NVIDIA 和微軟等其他公司。

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But what has been driving the MSTR stock price and is it a good buy for your portfolio? Here is a brief overview of what’s happening:

但是，是什麼推動了 MSTR 股價的上漲？以下是正在發生的事情的簡要概述：

Bitcoin price surge

比特幣價格飆升

The MicroStrategy stock price has soared because of the ongoing cryptocurrency bull run after Donald Trump won the election.

由於唐納德·川普贏得大選後持續的加密貨幣牛市，MicroStrategy 股價飆升。

Bitcoin soared to a record high of $76,520, up from a year-to-date low of $38,420. It has also jumped by 380% from its lowest level in 2023.

比特幣從年初至今的低點 38,420 美元飆升至 76,520 美元的歷史新高。它也比 2023 年的最低水準躍升了 380%。

Technicals suggest that Bitcoin’s rally is just getting started. On the weekly chart below, we see that the coin has constantly remained above all moving averages, a signal that bulls were in control for now.

技術面顯示，比特幣的反彈才剛開始。在下面的周圖表中，我們看到代幣一直保持在所有移動平均線之上，這是多頭目前處於控制地位的訊號。

The recent consolidation was part of the coin’s formation of a cup and handle pattern, one of the most popular bullish patterns. Unlike other patterns, this one takes a long time to form and complete. In this case, it has been forming since November 2021, when Bitcoin price soared to $68,000.

最近的盤整是硬幣形成杯柄形態的一部分，杯柄形態是最受歡迎的看漲形態之一。與其他模式不同，這種模式需要很長時間才能形成和完成。這種情況自 2021 年 11 月比特幣價格飆升至 68,000 美元以來就一直在形成。

Therefore, because of this pattern, there are rising odds that the price of Bitcoin will continue soaring in the coming months. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $100,000, which is an important psychological level.

因此，由於這種模式，比特幣價格在未來幾個月繼續飆升的可能性越來越大。如果發生這種情況，下一個值得關注的點將是 100,000 美元，這是一個重要的心理水平。

Peter Brandt, a popular crypto trader, expects the coin to soar to between $130k and $150k.

受歡迎的加密貨幣交易員 Peter Brandt 預計該代幣將飆升至 13 萬美元至 15 萬美元之間。

Bitcoin $BTC is now in the sweet spot of the bull market halving cycle that should top in the $130k to $150K range next Aug/Sep. I measure cycles differently than most. For background see link here: peterlbrandt.com/the-beautiful-…

比特幣 $BTC 目前正處於多頭減半週期的最佳點，預計明年 8 月/9 月將達到 13 萬至 15 萬美元的峰值。我測量週期的方式與大多數人不同。有關背景信息，請參閱此處的連結：peterlbrandt.com/the-beautiful-...

Most analysts see this happening during the Trump presidency since he will enact crypto-friendly policies. At the same time, his other external policies like tax cuts and trade wars will push Bitcoin higher as the public debt is expected to explode higher over time.

大多數分析師認為這種情況會在川普擔任總統期間發生，因為他將頒布對加密貨幣友善的政策。同時，他的其他外部政策，如減稅和貿易戰，將推高比特幣價格，因為公共債務預計會隨著時間的推移而激增。

Bitcoin, which has a supply cap of 21 million coins, is widely seen as a better alternative to fiat currencies and is a hedge against financial instability.

比特幣的供應上限為 2,100 萬枚，被廣泛視為法定貨幣的更好替代品，並且可以對沖金融不穩定。

All these factors are positive for MicroStrategy stock because the company holds the most coins globally. It has 252,300 coins in its portfolio, a figure that Michael Saylor has pledged to continue growing over time.

所有這些因素都對 MicroStrategy 股票有利，因為該公司持有全球最多的代幣。它的投資組合中有 252,300 枚代幣，Michael Saylor 承諾隨著時間的推移，這個數字將繼續增長。

Read more: Bitcoin price prediction: 4+ reasons BTC could go parabolic

閱讀更多：比特幣價格預測：比特幣可能呈現拋物線走勢的 4 個以上原因

BTC chart by TradingView

BTC 圖表由 TradingView 提供

Is the MSTY ETF a good buy?

MSTY ETF 值得買入嗎？

For an investor, you can invest in Bitcoin or MicroStrategy. Data shows that the MSTR stock does better than Bitcoin when there is a strong bull run in the crypto industry. For example, it has jumped by over 300% this year, while Bitcoin is up by less than 100%.

對於投資者來說，您可以投資比特幣或 MicroStrategy。數據顯示，當加密產業出現強勁牛市時，MSTR 股票的表現優於比特幣。例如，今年它的漲幅超過300%，而比特幣的漲幅還不到100%。

There are other unique MicroStrategy alternatives to consider. First, there is the YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY). This is an ETF that aims to give users an exposure to MicroStrategy stock, while at the same time, providing them with a regular dividend return.

還有其他獨特的 MicroStrategy 替代方案可供考慮。首先是 YieldMax™ MSTR 選擇權收益策略 ETF (MSTY)。這是一隻 ETF，旨在讓用戶接觸 MicroStrategy 股票，同時為他們提供定期股息回報。

The dividend part is important because MicroStrategy does not pay dividend, making it less ideal for income-focused investors.

股息部分很重要，因為 MicroStrategy 不支付股息，這對注重收入的投資者來說不太理想。

MSTY ETF does this by using the covered call strategy. In the first stage, the creators buy a fnancial instrument that resembles the MicroStrategy stock, ensuring that the fund will do well as the bull run continues.

MSTY ETF 透過使用備兌買權策略來做到這一點。在第一階段，創建者購買類似於 MicroStrategy 股票的金融工具，確保基金在多頭持續期間表現良好。

Another part of the money is invested in call options, which gives users a right to buy an asset at a certain price. This trade comes with a premium payment, which the developers distribute to their shareholders.

另一部分資金投資於買權，這賦予用戶以一定價格購買資產的權利。這項交易需要支付溢價，開發商將其分配給股東。

The main challenge for the fund is that it could see you miss up more gains when the strike price is hit. This explains why the MSTY ETF’s total return this year is 182% compared to MSTR’s 308%. Remember that the MSTY ETF still has a dividend yield of 186%.

該基金面臨的主要挑戰是，當您觸及執行價格時，您可能會錯失更多收益。這就解釋了為什麼 MSTY ETF 今年的總報酬率為 182%，而 MSTR 的總報酬率為 308%。請記住，MSTY ETF 的股息殖利率仍然為 186%。

What about the MSTU and MSTX ETFs?

MSTU 和 MSTX ETF 怎麼樣？

The other alternative to take advantage of the surging MicroStrategy stock is to invest in the T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX), which have accumulated over $685 million and $477

利用 MicroStrategy 股票飆升的另一個選項是投資 T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) 和 Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX)，這兩個基金已累計超過 6.85 億美元和 477 美元