MicroStrategy (MSTR) 股价预测：8 月份值得买入吗？

MicroStrategy 股价在 2024 年大幅飙升，成为今年表现最好的资产之一。

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) stock price has soared hard in 2024, making it one of the best-performing assets this year. It has surged by over 308% this year, beating the S&P 500 index, which is up by 24%. MSTR has also beaten other companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft.

MicroStrategy（纳斯达克股票代码：MSTR）股价在2024年大幅飙升，使其成为今年表现最好的资产之一。今年以来，该指数已飙升超过 308%，超过了上涨 24% 的标准普尔 500 指数。 MSTR 还击败了 NVIDIA 和微软等其他公司。

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But what has been driving the MSTR stock price and is it a good buy for your portfolio? Here is a brief overview of what’s happening:

但是，是什么推动了 MSTR 股价的上涨？对于您的投资组合来说，这是一个不错的选择吗？以下是正在发生的事情的简要概述：

Bitcoin price surge

比特币价格飙升

The MicroStrategy stock price has soared because of the ongoing cryptocurrency bull run after Donald Trump won the election.

由于唐纳德·特朗普赢得大选后持续的加密货币牛市，MicroStrategy 股价飙升。

Bitcoin soared to a record high of $76,520, up from a year-to-date low of $38,420. It has also jumped by 380% from its lowest level in 2023.

比特币从年初至今的低点 38,420 美元飙升至 76,520 美元的历史新高。它也比 2023 年的最低水平跃升了 380%。

Technicals suggest that Bitcoin’s rally is just getting started. On the weekly chart below, we see that the coin has constantly remained above all moving averages, a signal that bulls were in control for now.

技术面显示，比特币的反弹才刚刚开始。在下面的周图表中，我们看到代币一直保持在所有移动平均线之上，这是多头目前处于控制地位的信号。

The recent consolidation was part of the coin’s formation of a cup and handle pattern, one of the most popular bullish patterns. Unlike other patterns, this one takes a long time to form and complete. In this case, it has been forming since November 2021, when Bitcoin price soared to $68,000.

最近的盘整是硬币形成杯柄形态的一部分，杯柄形态是最受欢迎的看涨形态之一。与其他模式不同，这种模式需要很长时间才能形成和完成。这种情况自 2021 年 11 月比特币价格飙升至 68,000 美元以来就一直在形成。

Therefore, because of this pattern, there are rising odds that the price of Bitcoin will continue soaring in the coming months. If this happens, the next point to watch will be at $100,000, which is an important psychological level.

因此，由于这种模式，比特币价格在未来几个月继续飙升的可能性越来越大。如果发生这种情况，下一个值得关注的点将是 100,000 美元，这是一个重要的心理水平。

Peter Brandt, a popular crypto trader, expects the coin to soar to between $130k and $150k.

受欢迎的加密货币交易员 Peter Brandt 预计该代币将飙升至 13 万美元至 15 万美元之间。

Bitcoin $BTC is now in the sweet spot of the bull market halving cycle that should top in the $130k to $150K range next Aug/Sep. I measure cycles differently than most. For background see link here: peterlbrandt.com/the-beautiful-…

比特币 $BTC 目前正处于牛市减半周期的最佳点，预计明年 8 月/9 月将达到 13 万至 15 万美元的峰值。我测量周期的方式与大多数人不同。有关背景信息，请参阅此处的链接：peterlbrandt.com/the-beautiful-...

Most analysts see this happening during the Trump presidency since he will enact crypto-friendly policies. At the same time, his other external policies like tax cuts and trade wars will push Bitcoin higher as the public debt is expected to explode higher over time.

大多数分析师认为这种情况会在特朗普担任总统期间发生，因为他将颁布对加密货币友好的政策。与此同时，他的其他外部政策，如减税和贸易战，将推高比特币价格，因为公共债务预计会随着时间的推移而激增。

Bitcoin, which has a supply cap of 21 million coins, is widely seen as a better alternative to fiat currencies and is a hedge against financial instability.

比特币的供应上限为 2100 万枚，被广泛视为法定货币的更好替代品，并且可以对冲金融不稳定。

All these factors are positive for MicroStrategy stock because the company holds the most coins globally. It has 252,300 coins in its portfolio, a figure that Michael Saylor has pledged to continue growing over time.

所有这些因素都对 MicroStrategy 股票有利，因为该公司持有全球最多的代币。它的投资组合中有 252,300 枚代币，Michael Saylor 承诺随着时间的推移，这个数字将继续增长。

Read more: Bitcoin price prediction: 4+ reasons BTC could go parabolic

阅读更多：比特币价格预测：比特币可能呈抛物线走势的 4 个以上原因

BTC chart by TradingView

BTC 图表由 TradingView 提供

Is the MSTY ETF a good buy?

MSTY ETF 值得买入吗？

For an investor, you can invest in Bitcoin or MicroStrategy. Data shows that the MSTR stock does better than Bitcoin when there is a strong bull run in the crypto industry. For example, it has jumped by over 300% this year, while Bitcoin is up by less than 100%.

对于投资者来说，您可以投资比特币或 MicroStrategy。数据显示，当加密行业出现强劲牛市时，MSTR 股票的表现优于比特币。例如，今年它的涨幅超过300%，而比特币的涨幅还不到100%。

There are other unique MicroStrategy alternatives to consider. First, there is the YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY). This is an ETF that aims to give users an exposure to MicroStrategy stock, while at the same time, providing them with a regular dividend return.

还有其他独特的 MicroStrategy 替代方案可供考虑。首先是 YieldMax™ MSTR 期权收益策略 ETF (MSTY)。这是一只 ETF，旨在让用户接触 MicroStrategy 股票，同时为他们提供定期股息回报。

The dividend part is important because MicroStrategy does not pay dividend, making it less ideal for income-focused investors.

股息部分很重要，因为 MicroStrategy 不支付股息，这对于注重收入的投资者来说不太理想。

MSTY ETF does this by using the covered call strategy. In the first stage, the creators buy a fnancial instrument that resembles the MicroStrategy stock, ensuring that the fund will do well as the bull run continues.

MSTY ETF 通过使用备兑看涨期权策略来做到这一点。在第一阶段，创建者购买类似于 MicroStrategy 股票的金融工具，确保该基金在牛市持续期间表现良好。

Another part of the money is invested in call options, which gives users a right to buy an asset at a certain price. This trade comes with a premium payment, which the developers distribute to their shareholders.

另一部分资金投资于看涨期权，这赋予用户以一定价格购买资产的权利。这项交易需要支付溢价，开发商将其分配给股东。

The main challenge for the fund is that it could see you miss up more gains when the strike price is hit. This explains why the MSTY ETF’s total return this year is 182% compared to MSTR’s 308%. Remember that the MSTY ETF still has a dividend yield of 186%.

该基金面临的主要挑战是，当触及执行价格时，您可能会错失更多收益。这就解释了为什么 MSTY ETF 今年的总回报率为 182%，而 MSTR 的总回报率为 308%。请记住，MSTY ETF 的股息收益率仍然为 186%。

What about the MSTU and MSTX ETFs?

MSTU 和 MSTX ETF 怎么样？

The other alternative to take advantage of the surging MicroStrategy stock is to invest in the T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX), which have accumulated over $685 million and $477

利用 MicroStrategy 股票飙升的另一个选择是投资 T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) 和 Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX)，这两个基金已累计超过 6.85 亿美元和 477 美元