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比特幣價格上漲至 10 萬美元大關是加密產業的熱門話題。值得注意的是,比特幣價格已創歷史新高
Bitcoin’s rally towards the $100,000 mark has been the talk of the crypto industry. Notably, the BTC price has reached new all-time highs for four consecutive days on the path to this $100,000 price level, with the latest being an intraday high of $99,645 in the past 24 hours.
比特幣漲向 10 萬美元大關一直是加密產業的熱門話題。值得注意的是,BTC 價格已連續四天創出歷史新高,朝著 10 萬美元的價格水平邁進,最新一次是過去 24 小時內的盤中高點 99,645 美元。
As expected, this ongoing bullish sentiment suggests that this rally is far from over. According to one crypto analyst (Stockmoney Lizards), Bitcoin is still in the middle of its projected peak this cycle, and the current pump is just one phase of a larger upward trajectory.
正如預期的那樣,這種持續的看漲情緒表明本輪反彈遠未結束。一位加密貨幣分析師(Stockmoney Lizards)表示,比特幣仍處於本週期預計高峰的中間,目前的上漲只是更大上漲軌蹟的一個階段。
Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Open Interest Surges Past $10 Billion For First Time Ever
相關閱讀:比特幣選擇權未平倉合約首次突破 100 億美元
Satoshimeter Says Bitcoin Price Still Has A Long Way To Go
Satoshimeter表示比特幣價格仍有很長的路要走
The Satoshimeter is a technical analysis tool developed by Stockmoney Lizards. The Satoshimeter uses on-chain data to monitor Bitcoin’s market cycles and has been relatively good in predicting market peaks and lows. For instance, readings around 1.6 typically mark the low points of bear markets, as seen in years like 2011, 2015, 2019, and 2022. On the other hand, the peaks of bull markets are highlighted by readings above 20 on the Satoshimeter.
Satoshimeter是Stockmoney Lizards開發的技術分析工具。 Satoshimeter 使用鏈上資料來監控比特幣的市場週期,並且在預測市場高峰和低點方面相對較好。例如,1.6 左右的讀數通常標誌著熊市的低點,如 2011 年、2015 年、2019 年和 2022 年等年份所示。
The Bitcoin price rally has witnessed a notable surge since the beginning of the year and is showing no signs of stopping anytime soon. Particularly, the BTC price is up by 163% in the past 12 months, according to Coinmarketcap data. Despite Bitcoin’s ongoing rally, the Satoshimeter currently sits in a mid-range area, suggesting that the cryptocurrency has substantial room for growth before reaching a cycle peak.
自今年年初以來,比特幣價格上漲顯著飆升,並且沒有任何短期內停止的跡象。特別是,根據 Coinmarketcap 的數據,比特幣價格在過去 12 個月內上漲了 163%。儘管比特幣持續上漲,但 Satoshimeter 目前位於中區間,這表明該加密貨幣在達到週期高峰之前還有很大的成長空間。
Stockmoney Lizards emphasized that while the recent price surge might see short-term corrections, these are part of a healthy market trajectory. This implies that the Bitcoin price could see periodic pullbacks as it consolidates gains, but the BTC price at $100,000 is definitely not the peak for this cycle.
Stockmoney Lizards 強調,雖然最近的價格飆升可能會出現短期調整,但這是健康市場軌蹟的一部分。這意味著比特幣價格在鞏固漲幅的過程中可能會出現週期性回調,但10萬美元的比特幣價格絕對不是這個週期的高峰。
Long Road Ahead For BTC Price
比特幣價格還有很長的路要走
A final break above $100,000 would undoubtedly be a major milestone in Bitcoin’s price history. However, the current market sentiment suggests it would only be the first step of many milestones to hit this bull cycle. For instance, crypto analyst Stockmoney Lizards projected in another analysis that the Bitcoin price is about to enter a second parabolic run that would see it surging past the $120,000 price mark by April 2025.
最終突破 10 萬美元無疑將成為比特幣價格歷史上的重要里程碑。然而,當前的市場情緒表明,這只是實現本輪牛市週期的許多里程碑的第一步。例如,加密貨幣分析師 Stockmoney Lizards 在另一項分析中預測,比特幣價格即將進入第二次拋物線運行,到 2025 年 4 月,比特幣價格將飆升至 12 萬美元大關。
Although this price target is very bullish, it pales in comparison to projections from other crypto analysts. PlanB, the creator of the popular Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, has put forth an even more ambitious target. He suggests that Bitcoin could reach trade for as high as $1,000,000 by December 2025. Despite these ambitious targets, caution is warranted, particularly as Bitcoin appears to be approaching an overheated zone on the MVRV ratio indicator.
儘管這個價格目標非常樂觀,但與其他加密貨幣分析師的預測相比還是相形見絀。 PlanB 是受歡迎的 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型的創建者,它提出了一個更雄心勃勃的目標。他表示,到 2025 年 12 月,比特幣的交易價格可能高達 1,000,000 美元。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $98,550.
截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 98,550 美元。
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