SEC 參與引發對潛在 ETF 的興奮，萊特幣 (LTC) 飆升 18%

繼比特幣和以太坊 ETF 獲得里程碑式的批准之後，最近圍繞萊特幣的活動引發了投資者和分析師的興奮。

The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is currently reviewing a filing for a Litecoin ETF. This development was highlighted by Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, ETF analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence, who noted increased regulatory engagement with the filing submitted by Canary Capital Group.

美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 目前正在審查萊特幣 ETF 的申請。 Bloomberg Intelligence 的 ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 和 James Seyffart 強調了這一進展，他們指出監管機構對 Canary Capital Group 提交的文件的參與度有所增加。

“Canary Funds just filed an amended S-1 for their Litecoin ETF filing. No guarantees—but this might be indicative of SEC engagement on the filing,” Seyffart noted.

「Canary Funds 剛剛為其萊特幣 ETF 備案提交了修訂後的 S-1。沒有任何保證，但這可能表明 SEC 參與了該文件的提交，」Seyffart 指出。

Canary Capital, an investment firm focused on digital assets, filed amended paperwork with the SEC—along with Nasdaq—that puts the regulator on the clock for a decision. In this proposed physically held ETF, custodians listed include Coinbase Custody Trust Company and BitGo Trust Company.

專注於數位資產的投資公司金絲雀資本 (Canary Capital) 向美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 以及納斯達克提交了修改後的文件，讓監管機構及時做出決定。在該建議的實物持有 ETF 中，列出的託管人包括 Coinbase Custody Trust Company 和 BitGo Trust Company。

“The Litecoin ETF now has all boxes checked. Very real chance this ends up being the first altcoin ETF of 2025,” Balchunas added.

「萊特幣 ETF 現在已經檢查了所有選項。這很有可能成為 2025 年第一個山寨幣 ETF。

Litecoin is flying on the news of the possible ETF approval. Over the last 24 hours, LTC surged 18% to trade at $136 as its trading volume soared over 250% to $1.83 billion, data from CoinMarketCap indicated. New Litecoin price predictions suggest Litecoin will finally outperform in 2025 after a stagnant three years of sideways trading.

萊特幣因 ETF 可能獲得批准的消息而飛揚。 CoinMarketCap 的數據顯示，在過去 24 小時內，LTC 飆升 18%，交易價格為 136 美元，交易量飆升 250% 以上，達到 18.3 億美元。新的萊特幣價格預測表明，在經歷了三年停滯的橫盤交易之後，萊特幣最終將在 2025 年跑贏大盤。

“Litecoin surges 16.1% in market cap within 11 hours, breaking away from other altcoins,” crypto analytics firm Santiment observed, adding that the coin is finally decoupling from the market.

加密分析公司 Santiment 觀察到：「萊特幣的市值在 11 小時內飆升了 16.1%，超越了其他山寨幣。」並補充說，該幣終於與市場脫鉤了。

The rally is explained by the sudden and growing interest from institutional and retail investors. According to Santiment, whales and sharks holding at least 10,000 LTC have been on a buying spree since January 9, acquiring more than 250,000 coins.

此次上漲的原因是機構和散戶投資者的興趣突然增加。據 Santiment 稱，自 1 月 9 日以來，持有至少 10,000 LTC 的鯨魚和鯊魚一直在瘋狂購買，購買了超過 250,000 個 LTC。

“Whales Holding 10K+ Litecoin now own a combined 9,075,930 LTC ($1,233,120,000), the highest level since March of 2023. These large addresses last moved a substantial amount of Litecoin on January 09, 2025 (3 months ago),” the firm noted.

該公司指出：「持有10K+ 萊特幣的鯨魚目前總共擁有9,075,930 LTC（1,233,120,000 美元），這是自2023 年3 月以來的最高水平。這些大型地址最後一次轉移大量萊特幣是在2025 年1 月9日（三個月前）。

Industry experts predict that a Litecoin ETF could attract significant inflows. One report by JPMorgan estimated that should the adoption rates be similar to Bitcoin ETFs, Litecoin could have somewhere between $290 million and $580 million invested into it in its first year.

產業專家預測萊特幣 ETF 可能會吸引大量資金流入。摩根大通的一份報告估計，如果萊特幣的採用率與比特幣 ETF 類似，那麼萊特幣在第一年可能會獲得 2.9 億至 5.8 億美元的投資。

“The fact that Litecoin uses the proof-of-work consensus mechanism—just like Bitcoin—makes it most likely to be the one to get approved,” said Steven McClurg, the co-founder of Canary Capital.

Canary Capital 聯合創始人 Steven McClurg 表示：“萊特幣與比特幣一樣，使用工作量證明共識機制，這一事實使其最有可能獲得批准。”

He emphasized that, although there is not a strong futures market for Litecoin as there is with Bitcoin and Ethereum, the similarities to the latter in technology and structure could be advantageous.

他強調，儘管萊特幣沒有像比特幣和以太坊那樣強大的期貨市場，但與後者在技術和結構上的相似性可能是有利的。

“Litecoin’s Bitcoin-like traits may prove advantageous under the new SEC leadership,” he said. Litecoin is seen as the silver, to Bitcoin’s gold.

「在新的 SEC 領導下，萊特幣類似比特幣的特徵可能會被證明是有利的，」他說。相對於比特幣的黃金，萊特幣被視為白銀。

While Litecoin is on course to take pole position in the altcoin ETF race, other strong contenders such as XRP and Solana are on the run, too. Analysts see XRP ETFs receiving inflows up to $8 billion, while those tracking Solana will likely see $3 billion to $6 billion. However, regulatory clarity and market demand will ultimately determine the success of these funds.

雖然萊特幣有望在山寨幣 ETF 競賽中佔據領先地位，但 XRP 和 Solana 等其他強有力的競爭者也在爭奪之中。分析師預計 XRP ETF 將獲得高達 80 億美元的資金流入，而追蹤 Solana 的投資者可能會收到 30 億至 60 億美元的資金流入。然而，監管的明確性和市場需求將最終決定這些基金的成功。

“The bar for accepting new crypto ETFs will likely be lowered in 2025. While Litecoin is ahead, XRP and Solana ETFs are also strong contenders,” said Edouard Hindi, Chief Investment Officer at Tyr Capital.

Tyr Capital 首席投資長 Edouard Hindi 表示：“到 2025 年，接受新加密 ETF 的門檻可能會降低。雖然萊特幣處於領先地位，但 XRP 和 Solana ETF 也是強有力的競爭者。”

A Milestone Year for Crypto ETFs

加密貨幣 ETF 具有里程碑意義的一年

Should Litecoin secure approval, it would mark a milestone for the cryptocurrency market, expanding the ETF ecosystem beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.

如果萊特幣獲得批准，這將標誌著加密貨幣市場的一個里程碑，將 ETF 生態系統擴展到比特幣和以太坊之外。

However, as JPMorgan’s Kenneth Worthington cautioned, “Investor demand for additional products remains uncertain. Tokens beyond Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana often capture attention for a limited time.”

然而，正如摩根大通的肯尼斯·沃辛頓所警告的那樣，「投資者對其他產品的需求仍然不確定。比特幣、以太坊或 Solana 以外的代幣通常會在有限的時間內引起關注。

Regardless, 2025 appears poised to be a transformative year for the crypto ETF market, with Litecoin at the forefront of this evolution. Whether the SEC’s decision paves the way for new opportunities or highlights existing challenges, the anticipation underscores the growing importance of regulated crypto investment vehicles in the broader financial ecosystem.

無論如何，2025 年似乎將成為加密 ETF 市場變革的一年，萊特幣處於這一演變的最前沿。無論 SEC 的決定是為新機會鋪平道路還是凸顯現有挑戰，這一預期都強調了受監管的加密貨​​幣投資工具在更廣泛的金融生態系統中日益增長的重要性。