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加密貨幣新聞文章

詹姆斯·範·斯特拉滕(James van Straten)(除非另有說明)

2025/03/04 20:15

CME比特幣BTCUSD期貨圖再次焦點,因為比特幣最近的12%回收率填補了最新的CME差距,這是由於交易所周末結束和比特幣的價格高達95,000美元所致。

詹姆斯·範·斯特拉滕(James van Straten)(除非另有說明)

"The price action in bitcoin (BTC) continues to be a sight to behold, especially as it fills the latest CME gap—caused by the exchange’s weekend closure and bitcoin’s price run up to $95,000. But in doing so, it seems to be setting up the potential for an even deeper drop.

“比特幣(BTC)的價格行動仍然是一個景象,尤其是當它填補了最新的CME差距時,由於交易所的周末結束,比特幣的價格高達95,000美元。但是,在這樣做的情況下,它似乎正在為更深的下降帶來潛力。

As reported by RiggsBTC via X, since bitcoin futures launched in December 2017, there have been 80 CME gaps, with only one unfilled at $21,000.

正如RiggsBTC通過X報導的那樣,自比特幣期貨於2017年12月推出以來,已經存在80個CME差距,只有一個未填寫21,000美元。

"We can see that the bitcoin futures on CME filled the last gap at $95,000, a price level which wasn't reached until August 2025," said RiggsBTC. "The only remaining gap is at $21,000, which was never filled during the 2020 bear market."

Riggsbtc說:“我們可以看到,CME上的比特幣期貨填補了最後的差距為95,000美元,這一價格水平直到2025年8月才達到。” “唯一剩下的差距為21,000美元,在2020年熊市中從未填補。”

The striking statistic comes as the U.S. economy faces slower growth due to fiscal cuts, trade uncertainties and a weakening housing market. Inflation is expected to trend lower, with the Federal Reserve prioritizing employment over price control, according to Professor Satoshi, an analyst at Greeks Live Options Trader, in an exclusive interview with CoinDesk.

驚人的統計數據是因為美國經濟因財政削減,貿易不確定性和住房市場而面臨的增長速度較慢。希臘人實時期權交易員分析師薩托西(Satoshi)在對Coindesk的獨家訪談中,預計通貨膨脹率會降低,而美聯儲將就業優先於價格控制。

"The Federal Reserve are always behind because they are data driven. On my bingo cards for 2025 is return of quantitative easing. Which no one thinks is possible but have been thinking this for sometime because ever since the growth scare last year, we managed to kick the can down the curb until now," said Professor Satoshi.

“美聯儲總是落後的,因為它們是數據驅動的。在我2025年的賓果遊戲上,量化寬鬆的回報。沒有人認為這是可能的,但已經有一段時間了,因為自從去年的增長恐慌以來,我們設法將距離的路線踢下來,直到現在。”

Professor Satoshi also predicts that the Fed will likely skip a rate cut in March and that the chances of a larger 50 bps cut in May are slim.

Satoshi教授還預測,美聯儲可能會在3月跳過降低速度,並且5月份削減50個基點的機會很小。

"The last time we saw a 50 bps cut was in November 2022, during which we observed a strong response from the market, leading to a swift 15% rally in the S&P 500 from 5300 to 5700. However, I believe that due to the current economic climate, a 25 bps cut would be sufficient to induce a 5% to 8% rally in the S&P 500 from its present levels," explained Professor Satoshi.

“我們上次看到50個基點的削減時間是在2022年11月,在此期間,我們觀察到了市場的強烈反應,導致從5300年至5700指數中的標準普爾500標準普爾500指數迅速集會。但是,我相信,由於當前的經濟環境,25個BPS的削減將足以在S&P 500級別的5%至8%的級別上,該級別的職業級別,該級別的級別,該級別的級別,“解釋了”,“解釋說,“解釋了”,“解釋了”。

Professor Satoshi also touched upon his outlook on the stock market, highlighting his belief that equities are currently overvalued.

Satoshi教授還談到了他對股票市場的看法,強調了他相信股票目前被高估的信念。

"I'm not a stock market bear. I'm a bull in the sense that I think we'll see new highs in 2026. But right now, I think equities are overvalued. My fair value price target for the S&P 500 is 5700–5500," said Professor Satoshi.

“我不是股市熊。從某種意義上說,我認為我們在2026年會看到新的高點。但是現在,我認為股票被高估了。標準普爾500標準普爾500的公允價值價格目標是5700-5500,” Satoshi教授說。

In terms of crypto, Professor Satoshi noted that the market is currently experiencing de-risking, which often precedes downturns in equities.

Satoshi教授指出,在加密貨幣方面,該市場目前正在經歷脫離風險,這通常是在股票下經濟低迷之前的。

"You can see altcoins got de-risked. This means majors get de-risked afterward. Typically, it's the crypto market down first, then equities follow."

“您可以看到Altcoins脫離風險。這意味著專業之後會脫離風險。通常,這是加密貨幣市場首先下降,然後隨之而來的股票。”

March 5, 2:29 a.m.: Ethereum testnet Sepolia receives the Pectra hard fork network upgrade at epoch 222464.

3月5日,上午2:29:以太坊Testnet Sepolia在Epoch 222464接收Pectra Hard Fork網絡升級。

March 5, 11:00 a.m.: Circle to host a live webinar on The State of the USDC Economy 2025 with Dante Disparte, Chief Strategy Officer & Head of Global Policy at Circle, and three other executives from Bridge, Nubank and Cumberland. Register here: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/2117334176

3月5日,上午11:00:Circle與2025年USDC經濟州的現場網絡研討會與C​​ircle首席戰略官兼全球政策負責人Dante Disparte以及來自Bridge,Nubank和Cumberland的其他三名高管。在此處註冊:https://zoom.us/webinar/register/2117334176

March 6: Ethereum-based L2 blockchain MegaETH deploys its public testnet, with user onboarding starting on March 10.

3月6日:基於以太坊的L2區塊鏈Megaeth部署了公共測試網,用戶將於3月10日開始。

March 7: President Trump to host the inaugural White House Crypto Summit, bringing together top cryptocurrency founders, CEOs and investors for an exclusive discussion on the future of digital assets.

3月7日:特朗普總統主持首屆白宮加密峰會,將頂級加密貨幣創始人,首席執行官和投資者匯集在一起​​,就數字資產的未來進行獨家討論。

March 4, 8:00 p.m.: China’s 14th National People’s Congress (NPC) Third Annual Session

3月4日,晚上8:00:中國第14屆全國人民代表大會(NPC)第三屆年度會議

March 4, 8:30 p.m.: Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speech at the IMF event "Asia and the IMF: Resilience through Cooperation" in Tokyo

3月4日,晚上8:30:日本銀行州長Kazuo UEDA在國際貨幣基金組織活動“亞洲與國際貨幣基金組織:通過合作的韌性”在東京舉行

March 4, 8:45 p.m.: Caixin Media

3月4日,晚上8:45:Caixin Media

Services PMI Est: 50.8 vs Prev: 51

PMI服務是:50.8 vs Prev:51

Composite PMI Prev: 51.1

複合PMI上一條:51.1

March 5, 4:00 a.m.: HCOB (Hamburg Commercial Bank) releases (final) Feb Eurozone PMI Bus Activity

3月5日,上午4:00:HCOB(漢堡商業銀行)發行(最終)2月歐元區PMI巴士活動

Composite PMI Est: 50.2 vs Prev: 50.2

複合PMI EST:50.2 vs Prev:50.2

Services PMI Est: 50.7 vs Prev: 51.3

PMI服務是:50.7 vs Prev:51.3

March 5, 5:00 a.m.: Eurostat

3月5日,上午5:00:歐洲

PPI

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