Dogecoin（Doge）市場趨勢可能反映了更大的經濟轉變

商品策略師觀察到，模因加密貨幣狗狗（Doge）的市場趨勢可能反映出更大的經濟轉變

A commodity strategist has observed that meme cryptocurrency Dogecoin’s (DOGE) market trends could be mirroring larger economic shifts, particularly those influenced by trade policies.

一位商品戰略家指出，模因加密貨幣狗狗（Doge）的市場趨勢可能會反映出更大的經濟轉變，尤其是受貿易政策影響的經濟轉變。

In this line, Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone noted that comparing DOGE’s market cap to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price relative to gold raises questions about whether speculative assets are foreshadowing macroeconomic trends, he said in an X post on April 3.

在這一行中，彭博情報公司的邁克·麥格隆（Mike McGlone）指出，將Doge的市值與比特幣（BTC）價格相對於黃金的價格進行了比較，這引發了有關投機資產是否預示著宏觀經濟趨勢的疑問。

McGlone highlighted what he termed as “Same-Chart Syndrome,” where Bitcoin and Dogecoin move in tandem, suggesting speculative assets react similarly to economic pressures.

McGlone強調了他所謂的“同一綜合症”，比特幣和狗狗串聯在其中移動，這表明投機資產對經濟壓力的反應類似。

Picks for you

為您選擇

He pointed out that Bitcoin’s price relative to gold mirrors Dogecoin’s market cap, indicating shared cycles of speculation and contraction.

他指出，比特幣相對於金色的狗狗的市值，比特幣的價格表明猜測和收縮的共同周期。

Drawing a parallel to the U.S. economy, the expert suggested that proposed tariffs shrinking a $1.2 trillion trade deficit could create volatility for dependent exporters, much like speculative assets.

這位專家們建議，與美國經濟相似，提議的關稅收縮了1.2萬億美元的貿易赤字可能會給依賴的出口商帶來波動，就像投機性資產一樣。

“The joke Dogecoin is just one. US tariffs to reduce it’s about $1.2 trillion trade deficit (past 12 months) could have similar inklings to dependent exporters,” he said.

他說：“開玩笑的狗狗隻是一個。美國對減少約1.2萬億美元的貿易赤字（過去12個月）的關稅可能與依賴的出口商具有類似的墨水。”

Notably, Bitcoin and Dogecoin have seen sharp price volatility amid economic uncertainty from President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs, with more set for April 2. Consequently, investors seeking stability have driven gold to a record high above $3,000.

值得注意的是，由於唐納德·特朗普總統的貿易關稅經濟不確定性，比特幣和狗狗幣在4月2日的經濟不確定性中看到了巨大的價格波動。因此，尋求穩定性的投資者已將黃金推向了創紀錄的高於3,000美元以上的創紀錄。

Impact of Trump’s policies on risk assets

特朗普政策對風險資產的影響

McGlone had previously warned that President Trump’s economic policies are attempting to reset the post-World War II global order, in which many countries built net export surpluses with the United States.

麥格隆此前曾警告說，特朗普總統的經濟政策正試圖重置第二次世界大戰後的全球秩序，其中許多國家與美國建立了淨出口盈餘。

Now, if the world’s largest economy shifts toward protectionist trade policies, risk assets may be the first to feel the impact, leading to increased volatility, particularly in cryptocurrencies.

現在，如果世界上最大的經濟轉移到貿易保護主義貿易政策上，那麼風險資產可能是第一個感受到影響的風險資產，導致波動的增加，尤其是在加密貨幣中。

According to the strategist, such a shift could mean downward pressure on stocks and continued dominance of highly speculative assets.

據戰略師稱，這種轉變可能意味著對股票的下降壓力，並持續佔據高度投機資產的統治地位。

Trump is resetting the post WWII order of most of the world running net export surpluses with the US. What does it mean for risk assets? Down for the US and highly speculative and volatile #cryptocurrencies are likely to continue leading the way. #Gold $3,000 an ounce resistance… https://t.co/VrUNXBt3a9

特朗普正在重置世界上大多數世界上大多數與美國進行淨出口盈餘的訂單。這對風險資產意味著什麼？為美國和高度投機和波動的#Cryptocurencies而言可能會繼續前進。 #gold $ 3,000抗拒……https：//t.co/vrunxbt3a9

To this end, digital assets with minimal use cases, such as meme-inspired ones like Dogecoin, might be the first to react to shifting capital flows.

為此，具有最小用例的數字資產，例如模因啟發的狗狗（Dogecoin），可能是第一個對轉移資本流量轉移的反應。

In the same analysis, McGlone noted that gold’s historic $3,000-per-ounce resistance level may now be transitioning into a long-term support level.

在同樣的分析中，麥格隆指出，黃金歷史悠久的每一盎司抵抗水平現在可能正在轉變為長期支持水平。

Therefore, such a price movement might signal a growing flight to safety as investors seek stability amid economic turbulence. As reported by Finbold, McGlone projected that falling risk asset prices are a catalyst likely to help the precious metal target $4,000.

因此，由於經濟動盪，投資者尋求穩定，因此這種價格變動可能標誌著越來越多的安全飛行。正如Finbold報導的那樣，McGlone預計風險資產價格下跌是一種催化劑，可能會幫助貴金屬目標4,000美元。