Dogecoin（Doge）市场趋势可能反映了更大的经济转变

商品策略师观察到，模因加密货币狗狗（Doge）的市场趋势可能反映出更大的经济转变

A commodity strategist has observed that meme cryptocurrency Dogecoin’s (DOGE) market trends could be mirroring larger economic shifts, particularly those influenced by trade policies.

一位商品战略家指出，模因加密货币狗狗（Doge）的市场趋势可能会反映出更大的经济转变，尤其是受贸易政策影响的经济转变。

In this line, Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone noted that comparing DOGE’s market cap to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price relative to gold raises questions about whether speculative assets are foreshadowing macroeconomic trends, he said in an X post on April 3.

在这一行中，彭博情报公司的迈克·麦格隆（Mike McGlone）指出，将Doge的市值与比特币（BTC）价格相对于黄金的价格进行了比较，这引发了有关投机资产是否预示着宏观经济趋势的疑问。

McGlone highlighted what he termed as “Same-Chart Syndrome,” where Bitcoin and Dogecoin move in tandem, suggesting speculative assets react similarly to economic pressures.

McGlone强调了他所谓的“同一综合症”，比特币和狗狗串联在其中移动，这表明投机资产对经济压力的反应类似。

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He pointed out that Bitcoin’s price relative to gold mirrors Dogecoin’s market cap, indicating shared cycles of speculation and contraction.

他指出，比特币相对于金色的狗狗的市值，比特币的价格表明猜测和收缩的共同周期。

Drawing a parallel to the U.S. economy, the expert suggested that proposed tariffs shrinking a $1.2 trillion trade deficit could create volatility for dependent exporters, much like speculative assets.

这位专家们建议，与美国经济相似，提议的关税收缩了1.2万亿美元的贸易赤字可能会给依赖的出口商带来波动，就像投机性资产一样。

“The joke Dogecoin is just one. US tariffs to reduce it’s about $1.2 trillion trade deficit (past 12 months) could have similar inklings to dependent exporters,” he said.

他说：“开玩笑的狗狗只是一个。美国对减少约1.2万亿美元的贸易赤字（过去12个月）的关税可能与依赖的出口商具有类似的墨水。”

Notably, Bitcoin and Dogecoin have seen sharp price volatility amid economic uncertainty from President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs, with more set for April 2. Consequently, investors seeking stability have driven gold to a record high above $3,000.

值得注意的是，由于唐纳德·特朗普总统的贸易关税经济不确定性，比特币和狗狗币在4月2日的经济不确定性中看到了巨大的价格波动。因此，寻求稳定性的投资者已将黄金推向了创纪录的高于3,000美元以上的创纪录。

Impact of Trump’s policies on risk assets

特朗普政策对风险资产的影响

McGlone had previously warned that President Trump’s economic policies are attempting to reset the post-World War II global order, in which many countries built net export surpluses with the United States.

麦格隆此前曾警告说，特朗普总统的经济政策正试图重置第二次世界大战后的全球秩序，其中许多国家与美国建立了净出口盈余。

Now, if the world’s largest economy shifts toward protectionist trade policies, risk assets may be the first to feel the impact, leading to increased volatility, particularly in cryptocurrencies.

现在，如果世界上最大的经济转移到贸易保护主义贸易政策上，那么风险资产可能是第一个感受到影响的风险资产，导致波动的增加，尤其是在加密货币中。

According to the strategist, such a shift could mean downward pressure on stocks and continued dominance of highly speculative assets.

据战略师称，这种转变可能意味着对股票的下降压力，并持续占据高度投机资产的统治地位。

Trump is resetting the post WWII order of most of the world running net export surpluses with the US. What does it mean for risk assets? Down for the US and highly speculative and volatile #cryptocurrencies are likely to continue leading the way. #Gold $3,000 an ounce resistance… https://t.co/VrUNXBt3a9

特朗普正在重置世界上大多数世界上大多数与美国进行净出口盈余的订单。这对风险资产意味着什么？为美国和高度投机和波动的#Cryptocurencies而言可能会继续前进。 #gold $ 3,000抗拒……https：//t.co/vrunxbt3a9

To this end, digital assets with minimal use cases, such as meme-inspired ones like Dogecoin, might be the first to react to shifting capital flows.

为此，具有最小用例的数字资产，例如模因启发的狗狗（Dogecoin），可能是第一个对转移资本流量转移的反应。

In the same analysis, McGlone noted that gold’s historic $3,000-per-ounce resistance level may now be transitioning into a long-term support level.

在同样的分析中，麦格隆指出，黄金历史悠久的每一盎司抵抗水平现在可能正在转变为长期支持水平。

Therefore, such a price movement might signal a growing flight to safety as investors seek stability amid economic turbulence. As reported by Finbold, McGlone projected that falling risk asset prices are a catalyst likely to help the precious metal target $4,000.

因此，由于经济动荡，投资者寻求稳定，因此这种价格变动可能标志着越来越多的安全飞行。正如Finbold报道的那样，McGlone预计风险资产价格下跌是一种催化剂，可能会帮助贵金属目标4,000美元。