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加密货币新闻

詹姆斯·范·斯特拉滕(James van Straten)(除非另有说明)

2025/03/04 20:15

CME比特币BTCUSD期货图再次焦点,因为比特币最近的12%回收率填补了最新的CME差距,这是由于交易所周末结束和比特币的价格高达95,000美元所致。

詹姆斯·范·斯特拉滕(James van Straten)(除非另有说明)

"The price action in bitcoin (BTC) continues to be a sight to behold, especially as it fills the latest CME gap—caused by the exchange’s weekend closure and bitcoin’s price run up to $95,000. But in doing so, it seems to be setting up the potential for an even deeper drop.

“比特币(BTC)的价格行动仍然是一个景象,尤其是当它填补了最新的CME差距时,由于交易所的周末结束,比特币的价格高达95,000美元。但是,在这样做的情况下,它似乎正在为更深的下降带来潜力。

As reported by RiggsBTC via X, since bitcoin futures launched in December 2017, there have been 80 CME gaps, with only one unfilled at $21,000.

正如RiggsBTC通过X报道的那样,自比特币期货于2017年12月推出以来,已经存在80个CME差距,只有一个未填写21,000美元。

"We can see that the bitcoin futures on CME filled the last gap at $95,000, a price level which wasn't reached until August 2025," said RiggsBTC. "The only remaining gap is at $21,000, which was never filled during the 2020 bear market."

Riggsbtc说:“我们可以看到,CME上的比特币期货填补了最后的差距为95,000美元,这一价格水平直到2025年8月才达到。” “唯一剩下的差距为21,000美元,在2020年熊市中从未填补。”

The striking statistic comes as the U.S. economy faces slower growth due to fiscal cuts, trade uncertainties and a weakening housing market. Inflation is expected to trend lower, with the Federal Reserve prioritizing employment over price control, according to Professor Satoshi, an analyst at Greeks Live Options Trader, in an exclusive interview with CoinDesk.

惊人的统计数据是因为美国经济因财政削减,贸易不确定性和住房市场而面临的增长速度较慢。希腊人实时期权交易员分析师萨托西(Satoshi)在对Coindesk的独家访谈中,预计通货膨胀率会降低,而美联储将就业优先于价格控制。

"The Federal Reserve are always behind because they are data driven. On my bingo cards for 2025 is return of quantitative easing. Which no one thinks is possible but have been thinking this for sometime because ever since the growth scare last year, we managed to kick the can down the curb until now," said Professor Satoshi.

“美联储总是落后的,因为它们是数据驱动的。在我2025年的宾果游戏上,量化宽松的回报。没有人认为这是可能的,但已经有一段时间了,因为自从去年的增长恐慌以来,我们设法将距离的路线踢下来,直到现在。”

Professor Satoshi also predicts that the Fed will likely skip a rate cut in March and that the chances of a larger 50 bps cut in May are slim.

Satoshi教授还预测,美联储可能会在3月跳过降低速度,并且5月份削减50个基点的机会很小。

"The last time we saw a 50 bps cut was in November 2022, during which we observed a strong response from the market, leading to a swift 15% rally in the S&P 500 from 5300 to 5700. However, I believe that due to the current economic climate, a 25 bps cut would be sufficient to induce a 5% to 8% rally in the S&P 500 from its present levels," explained Professor Satoshi.

“我们上次看到50个基点的削减时间是在2022年11月,在此期间,我们观察到了市场的强烈反应,导致从5300年至5700指数中的标准普尔500标准普尔500指数迅速集会。但是,我相信,由于当前的经济环境,25个BPS的削减将足以在S&P 500级别的5%至8%的级别上,该级别的职业级别,该级别的级别,该级别的级别,“解释了”,“解释说,“解释了”,“解释了”。

Professor Satoshi also touched upon his outlook on the stock market, highlighting his belief that equities are currently overvalued.

Satoshi教授还谈到了他对股票市场的看法,强调了他相信股票目前被高估的信念。

"I'm not a stock market bear. I'm a bull in the sense that I think we'll see new highs in 2026. But right now, I think equities are overvalued. My fair value price target for the S&P 500 is 5700–5500," said Professor Satoshi.

“我不是股市熊。从某种意义上说,我认为我们在2026年会看到新的高点。但是现在,我认为股票被高估了。标准普尔500标准普尔500的公允价值价格目标是5700-5500,” Satoshi教授说。

In terms of crypto, Professor Satoshi noted that the market is currently experiencing de-risking, which often precedes downturns in equities.

Satoshi教授指出,在加密货币方面,该市场目前正在经历脱离风险,这通常是在股票下经济低迷之前的。

"You can see altcoins got de-risked. This means majors get de-risked afterward. Typically, it's the crypto market down first, then equities follow."

“您可以看到Altcoins脱离风险。这意味着专业之后会脱离风险。通常,这是加密货币市场首先下降,然后随之而来的股票。”

March 5, 2:29 a.m.: Ethereum testnet Sepolia receives the Pectra hard fork network upgrade at epoch 222464.

3月5日,上午2:29:以太坊Testnet Sepolia在Epoch 222464接收Pectra Hard Fork网络升级。

March 5, 11:00 a.m.: Circle to host a live webinar on The State of the USDC Economy 2025 with Dante Disparte, Chief Strategy Officer & Head of Global Policy at Circle, and three other executives from Bridge, Nubank and Cumberland. Register here: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/2117334176

3月5日,上午11:00:Circle与2025年USDC经济州的现场网络研讨会与C​​ircle首席战略官兼全球政策负责人Dante Disparte以及来自Bridge,Nubank和Cumberland的其他三名高管。在此处注册:https://zoom.us/webinar/register/2117334176

March 6: Ethereum-based L2 blockchain MegaETH deploys its public testnet, with user onboarding starting on March 10.

3月6日:基于以太坊的L2区块链Megaeth部署了公共测试网,用户将于3月10日开始。

March 7: President Trump to host the inaugural White House Crypto Summit, bringing together top cryptocurrency founders, CEOs and investors for an exclusive discussion on the future of digital assets.

3月7日:特朗普总统主持首届白宫加密峰会,将顶级加密货币创始人,首席执行官和投资者汇集在一起​​,就数字资产的未来进行独家讨论。

March 4, 8:00 p.m.: China’s 14th National People’s Congress (NPC) Third Annual Session

3月4日,晚上8:00:中国第14届全国人民代表大会(NPC)第三届年度会议

March 4, 8:30 p.m.: Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speech at the IMF event "Asia and the IMF: Resilience through Cooperation" in Tokyo

3月4日,晚上8:30:日本银行州长Kazuo UEDA在国际货币基金组织活动“亚洲与国际货币基金组织:通过合作的韧性”在东京举行

March 4, 8:45 p.m.: Caixin Media

3月4日,晚上8:45:Caixin Media

Services PMI Est: 50.8 vs Prev: 51

PMI服务是:50.8 vs Prev:51

Composite PMI Prev: 51.1

复合PMI上一条:51.1

March 5, 4:00 a.m.: HCOB (Hamburg Commercial Bank) releases (final) Feb Eurozone PMI Bus Activity

3月5日,上午4:00:HCOB(汉堡商业银行)发行(最终)2月欧元区PMI巴士活动

Composite PMI Est: 50.2 vs Prev: 50.2

复合PMI EST:50.2 vs Prev:50.2

Services PMI Est: 50.7 vs Prev: 51.3

PMI服务是:50.7 vs Prev:51.3

March 5, 5:00 a.m.: Eurostat

3月5日,上午5:00:欧洲

PPI

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