有史以來最討厭的集會：以太坊（ETH）

加密貨幣市場是一個永恆的狂熱與絕望之間振蕩的領域，發現自己再次被以太坊（ETH）的神秘舞蹈迷住了。

Cryptocurrency market, a realm perpetually oscillating between euphoria and despair, finds itself once again captivated by the enigmatic dance of Ethereum (ETH).

加密貨幣市場是一個永久振盪和絕望之間振蕩的領域，發現自己再次被以太坊（ETH）的神秘舞蹈所吸引。

While Bitcoin and a constellation of altcoins have basked in the limelight of recent bullish surges, Ethereum has languished, seemingly trapped in a quagmire of sideways trading and bearish sentiment. This prolonged period of stagnation has bred a palpable sense of frustration and skepticism among traders and investors, leading many to question the once-unassailable dominance of the second-largest cryptocurrency.

儘管比特幣和山寨幣的星座卻陷入了最近看漲的危機中，但以太坊卻陷入了困境，似乎被困在側向交易和看跌情緒的泥潭中。這段長時間的停滯時期給商人和投資者帶來了明顯的挫敗感和懷疑感，導致許多人質疑第二大加密貨幣曾經無可避難所的統治地位。

However, amidst this sea of doubt, a contrarian narrative is emerging, one that posits Ethereum’s imminent resurgence, a rally so unexpected and powerful that it will be dubbed “the most hated rally ever seen in crypto.” This article delves into the intricate web of technical analysis, market sentiment, and historical precedent that underpins this audacious prediction, exploring the potential for Ethereum to defy expectations and embark on a meteoric ascent towards the lofty heights of $17,000.

然而，在懷疑的海洋中，逆勢敘事正在出現，這種敘事提出了以太坊的迫在眉睫的複興，這是一個如此出乎意料和強大的集會，以至於它將被稱為“在加密貨幣中見過的最討厭的集會”。本文深入研究了複雜的技術分析，市場情感和歷史先例，這些概念是這一大膽預測的基礎，探索了以太坊有抵抗期望的潛力，並朝著高高的17,000美元高度登上了眾多的興趣。

The Elliott Wave Theory and Ethereum’s Potential Reversal:

Elliott Wave理論和以太坊的潛在逆轉：

At the heart of this bullish forecast lies the application of the Elliott Wave Theory, a technical analysis tool that seeks to identify recurring wave patterns in financial markets. Crypto analyst Decode, a prominent voice on X (formerly Twitter), has meticulously analyzed Ethereum’s price action, identifying a complex wave structure that suggests a potential turning point.

這個看漲預測的核心是埃利奧特波理論的應用，埃利奧特波理論是一種技術分析工具，旨在識別金融市場中的經常性波浪模式。加密分析師解碼是X（以前為Twitter）上的突出聲音，已精心分析以太坊的價格作用，確定了一個複雜的波浪結構，暗示了潛在的轉折點。

The Elliott Wave Theory posits that market trends unfold in a series of five impulse waves, followed by three corrective waves. Decode’s analysis indicates that Ethereum is currently completing its Wave 4 correction, a complex sideways pattern characterized by a WXYXZ structure. This intricate corrective phase, often marked by periods of consolidation and uncertainty, is a necessary precursor to the final impulse wave, Wave 5.

埃利奧特（Elliott）波浪理論認為，市場趨勢在一系列衝動波中展開，然後是三個糾正波。解碼的分析表明，以太坊目前正在完成其波4校正，這是一個以WXYXZ結構為特徵的複雜側向模式。這個複雜的糾正階段通常以鞏固和不確定性週期為特徵，是最終衝動波第5波5的必要前體。

Decode’s chart highlights the completion of the “1.236 Fibonacci extension of C vs A,” a key technical indicator that suggests the culmination of Wave 4. With this milestone reached, the stage is set for the commencement of Wave 5, a powerful bullish impulse that could propel Ethereum towards its projected target of $13,500 to $17,000. The Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8…), is frequently used in technical analysis to identify potential support and resistance levels. The 1.236 extension, derived from the Fibonacci sequence, is a critical level that often signals the completion of a corrective wave.

Decode的圖表強調了“ 1.236 fibonacci的C Vs Vs vs vs vs vs vs vs vs A”的完成，這是一個關鍵的技術指標，這表明了第4波的高潮。隨著這個里程碑的達到，該階段的設定為第5波的開始，這是一種強大的看漲衝動，可以將以太幣推向其預計的目標，其預計的目標是其13,500美元的13,500美元。斐波那契序列是一系列數字，其中每個數字是兩個前一個數字的總和（例如，0、1、1、2、3、5、8…），經常用於技術分析中以識別潛在的支持水平和阻力水平。源自斐波那契序列的1.236擴展是一個臨界水平，通常標誌著糾正波的完成。

The Paradox of Bearish Sentiment and Market Reversals:

看跌情感和市場逆轉的悖論：

The notion of a “most hated rally” stems from the inherent paradox of market reversals. Historically, market bottoms often coincide with periods of extreme bearish sentiment, when fear and pessimism are at their peak. This phenomenon is rooted in the psychology of market participants, who tend to extrapolate current trends into the future, leading to overreactions and irrational behavior. When sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, and demand is at its lowest, the stage is set for a sudden and unexpected reversal.

“最討厭的集會”的概念源於市場逆轉的固有悖論。從歷史上看，當恐懼和悲觀的峰值達到頂峰時，市場底部通常與極端看跌的時期相吻合。這種現像源於市場參與者的心理，他們傾向於推斷當前的趨勢，從而導致過度反應和非理性行為。當情緒絕大多數是負面的，並且需求最低時，階段就會突然而出乎意料的逆轉。

Ethereum’s current market sentiment is undeniably bearish. The prolonged sideways trading, coupled with recent price dips, has eroded investor confidence, leading many to believe that the altcoin’s bullish days are behind it. This prevailing pessimism, however, could be precisely the catalyst for a significant price surge. The “most hated rally” will likely be characterized by intense skepticism and disbelief, as traders and investors struggle to reconcile the sudden price increase with their deeply entrenched bearish biases.

以太坊目前的市場情緒無疑是看跌。長時間的側向交易，再加上最近的價格下跌，侵蝕了投資者的信心，導致許多人相信Altcoin的看漲時代是背後的。然而，這種盛行的悲觀主義可能完全是巨大的價格上漲的催化劑。 “最討厭的集會”可能以強烈的懷疑和難以置信為特徵，因為商人和投資者努力將突然的價格與他們根深蒂固的看跌偏見調和。

Ethereum’s Underperformance and the Rise of Altcoin Competitors:

以太坊的表現不佳和Altcoin競爭者的興起：

One of the key factors contributing to Ethereum’s bearish sentiment is its relative underperformance compared to other cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin has surged to new all-time highs and altcoins such as Solana, Cardano, and XRP have experienced significant price rallies, Ethereum has lagged behind, seemingly unable to break free from its consolidation phase.

與其他加密貨幣相比，導致以太坊看跌情緒的關鍵因素之一是其相對錶現不佳。儘管比特幣已經飆升至新的歷史高潮和山寨幣，例如Solana，Cardano和XRP經歷了大量的價格集會，但以太坊卻落後了，似乎無法擺脫其合併階段。

This disparity in performance has fueled concerns about Ethereum’s relevance and competitiveness in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. The rise of competing Layer 1 blockchains, such as Solana and Avalanche, which offer faster transaction speeds and lower fees, has also posed a significant challenge to Ethereum’s dominance. However, Layer 2 scaling solutions, such as Polygon and Arbitrum, are being developed to help alleviate some of Ethereum’s scalability issues.

這種性能的差異引起了人們對以太坊在快速發展的加密景觀中的相關性和競爭力的擔憂。提供更快的交易速度和較低費用的競爭性第1層區塊鏈的崛起也對以太坊的主導地位構成了重大挑戰。但是，正在開發第2層縮放解決方案，例如多邊形和仲裁，以幫助減輕以太坊的一些可伸縮性問題。

The Psychological Impact of Missed Opportunities and Regret:

錯過的機會和遺憾的心理影響：

The “most hated rally” is not merely a technical prediction, it is also a psychological forecast. If Ethereum does embark on a significant price surge, those who have remained skeptical and avoided buying the dips will likely experience intense regret and frustration. This psychological phenomenon, known as “fear of missing out” (FOMO), can drive traders and investors to make irrational investment decisions as they rush to buy into a rising market, often at inflated prices.

“最討厭的集會”不僅是技術預測，而且是心理上的預測。如果以太坊的價格確實很大，那些仍然持懷疑態度並避免購買蘸醬的人可能會感到非常遺憾和沮喪。這種心理現像被稱為“害怕錯過”（FOMO），可以驅使交易者和投資者在急於以高昂的價格購買不合理的投資決策。

Those who have missed out on the opportunity to invest

那些錯過了投資機會的人