有史以来最讨厌的集会：以太坊（ETH）

加密货币市场是一个永恒的狂热与绝望之间振荡的领域，发现自己再次被以太坊（ETH）的神秘舞蹈迷住了。

Cryptocurrency market, a realm perpetually oscillating between euphoria and despair, finds itself once again captivated by the enigmatic dance of Ethereum (ETH).

加密货币市场是一个永久振荡和绝望之间振荡的领域，发现自己再次被以太坊（ETH）的神秘舞蹈所吸引。

While Bitcoin and a constellation of altcoins have basked in the limelight of recent bullish surges, Ethereum has languished, seemingly trapped in a quagmire of sideways trading and bearish sentiment. This prolonged period of stagnation has bred a palpable sense of frustration and skepticism among traders and investors, leading many to question the once-unassailable dominance of the second-largest cryptocurrency.

尽管比特币和山寨币的星座却陷入了最近看涨的危机中，但以太坊却陷入了困境，似乎被困在侧向交易和看跌情绪的泥潭中。这段长时间的停滞时期给商人和投资者带来了明显的挫败感和怀疑感，导致许多人质疑第二大加密货币曾经无可避难所的统治地位。

However, amidst this sea of doubt, a contrarian narrative is emerging, one that posits Ethereum’s imminent resurgence, a rally so unexpected and powerful that it will be dubbed “the most hated rally ever seen in crypto.” This article delves into the intricate web of technical analysis, market sentiment, and historical precedent that underpins this audacious prediction, exploring the potential for Ethereum to defy expectations and embark on a meteoric ascent towards the lofty heights of $17,000.

然而，在怀疑的海洋中，逆势叙事正在出现，这种叙事提出了以太坊的迫在眉睫的复兴，这是一个如此出乎意料和强大的集会，以至于它将被称为“在加密货币中见过的最讨厌的集会”。本文深入研究了复杂的技术分析，市场情感和历史先例，这些概念是这一大胆预测的基础，探索了以太坊有抵抗期望的潜力，并朝着高高的17,000美元高度登上了众多的兴趣。

The Elliott Wave Theory and Ethereum’s Potential Reversal:

Elliott Wave理论和以太坊的潜在逆转：

At the heart of this bullish forecast lies the application of the Elliott Wave Theory, a technical analysis tool that seeks to identify recurring wave patterns in financial markets. Crypto analyst Decode, a prominent voice on X (formerly Twitter), has meticulously analyzed Ethereum’s price action, identifying a complex wave structure that suggests a potential turning point.

这个看涨预测的核心是埃利奥特波理论的应用，埃利奥特波理论是一种技术分析工具，旨在识别金融市场中的经常性波浪模式。加密分析师解码是X（以前为Twitter）上的突出声音，已精心分析以太坊的价格作用，确定了一个复杂的波浪结构，暗示了潜在的转折点。

The Elliott Wave Theory posits that market trends unfold in a series of five impulse waves, followed by three corrective waves. Decode’s analysis indicates that Ethereum is currently completing its Wave 4 correction, a complex sideways pattern characterized by a WXYXZ structure. This intricate corrective phase, often marked by periods of consolidation and uncertainty, is a necessary precursor to the final impulse wave, Wave 5.

埃利奥特（Elliott）波浪理论认为，市场趋势在一系列冲动波中展开，然后是三个纠正波。解码的分析表明，以太坊目前正在完成其波4校正，这是一个以WXYXZ结构为特征的复杂侧向模式。这个复杂的纠正阶段通常以巩固和不确定性周期为特征，是最终冲动波第5波5的必要前体。

Decode’s chart highlights the completion of the “1.236 Fibonacci extension of C vs A,” a key technical indicator that suggests the culmination of Wave 4. With this milestone reached, the stage is set for the commencement of Wave 5, a powerful bullish impulse that could propel Ethereum towards its projected target of $13,500 to $17,000. The Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8…), is frequently used in technical analysis to identify potential support and resistance levels. The 1.236 extension, derived from the Fibonacci sequence, is a critical level that often signals the completion of a corrective wave.

Decode的图表强调了“ 1.236 fibonacci的C Vs Vs vs vs vs vs vs vs vs A”的完成，这是一个关键的技术指标，这表明了第4波的高潮。随着这个里程碑的达到，该阶段的设定为第5波的开始，这是一种强大的看涨冲动，可以将以太币推向其预计的目标，其预计的目标是其13,500美元的13,500美元。斐波那契序列是一系列数字，其中每个数字是两个前一个数字的总和（例如，0、1、1、2、3、5、8…），经常用于技术分析中以识别潜在的支持水平和阻力水平。源自斐波那契序列的1.236扩展是一个临界水平，通常标志着纠正波的完成。

The Paradox of Bearish Sentiment and Market Reversals:

看跌情感和市场逆转的悖论：

The notion of a “most hated rally” stems from the inherent paradox of market reversals. Historically, market bottoms often coincide with periods of extreme bearish sentiment, when fear and pessimism are at their peak. This phenomenon is rooted in the psychology of market participants, who tend to extrapolate current trends into the future, leading to overreactions and irrational behavior. When sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, and demand is at its lowest, the stage is set for a sudden and unexpected reversal.

“最讨厌的集会”的概念源于市场逆转的固有悖论。从历史上看，当恐惧和悲观的峰值达到顶峰时，市场底部通常与极端看跌的时期相吻合。这种现象源于市场参与者的心理，他们倾向于推断当前的趋势，从而导致过度反应和非理性行为。当情绪绝大多数是负面的，需求最低时，阶段就会突然而出乎意料的逆转。

Ethereum’s current market sentiment is undeniably bearish. The prolonged sideways trading, coupled with recent price dips, has eroded investor confidence, leading many to believe that the altcoin’s bullish days are behind it. This prevailing pessimism, however, could be precisely the catalyst for a significant price surge. The “most hated rally” will likely be characterized by intense skepticism and disbelief, as traders and investors struggle to reconcile the sudden price increase with their deeply entrenched bearish biases.

以太坊目前的市场情绪无疑是看跌。长时间的侧向交易，再加上最近的价格下跌，侵蚀了投资者的信心，导致许多人相信Altcoin的看涨时代是背后的。然而，这种盛行的悲观主义可能完全是巨大的价格上涨的催化剂。 “最讨厌的集会”可能以强烈的怀疑和难以置信为特征，因为商人和投资者努力将突然的价格与他们根深蒂固的看跌偏见调和。

Ethereum’s Underperformance and the Rise of Altcoin Competitors:

以太坊的表现不佳和Altcoin竞争者的兴起：

One of the key factors contributing to Ethereum’s bearish sentiment is its relative underperformance compared to other cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin has surged to new all-time highs and altcoins such as Solana, Cardano, and XRP have experienced significant price rallies, Ethereum has lagged behind, seemingly unable to break free from its consolidation phase.

与其他加密货币相比，导致以太坊看跌情绪的关键因素之一是其相对表现不佳。尽管比特币已经飙升至新的历史高潮和山寨币，例如Solana，Cardano和XRP经历了大量的价格集会，但以太坊却落后了，似乎无法摆脱其合并阶段。

This disparity in performance has fueled concerns about Ethereum’s relevance and competitiveness in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. The rise of competing Layer 1 blockchains, such as Solana and Avalanche, which offer faster transaction speeds and lower fees, has also posed a significant challenge to Ethereum’s dominance. However, Layer 2 scaling solutions, such as Polygon and Arbitrum, are being developed to help alleviate some of Ethereum’s scalability issues.

这种性能的差异引起了人们对以太坊在快速发展的加密景观中的相关性和竞争力的担忧。提供更快的交易速度和较低费用的竞争性第1层区块链的崛起也对以太坊的主导地位构成了重大挑战。但是，正在开发第2层缩放解决方案，例如多边形和仲裁，以帮助减轻以太坊的一些可伸缩性问题。

The Psychological Impact of Missed Opportunities and Regret:

错过的机会和遗憾的心理影响：

The “most hated rally” is not merely a technical prediction, it is also a psychological forecast. If Ethereum does embark on a significant price surge, those who have remained skeptical and avoided buying the dips will likely experience intense regret and frustration. This psychological phenomenon, known as “fear of missing out” (FOMO), can drive traders and investors to make irrational investment decisions as they rush to buy into a rising market, often at inflated prices.

“最讨厌的集会”不仅是技术预测，而且是心理上的预测。如果以太坊的价格确实很大，那些仍然持怀疑态度并避免购买蘸酱的人可能会感到非常遗憾和沮丧。这种心理现象被称为“害怕错过”（FOMO），可以驱使交易者和投资者在急于以高昂的价格购买不合理的投资决策。

Those who have missed out on the opportunity to invest

那些错过了投资机会的人