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狗狗幣經常表現出其超出預期並不時出現顯著價格飆升的能力。這些集會中最引人注目的是 2021 年的集會
Dogecoin has often shown its ability to defy expectations and go on surprising price surges.
狗狗幣經常表現出其超出預期並持續令人驚訝的價格飆升的能力。
The most notable of these rallies was the 2021 rally, which saw Dogecoin peaking at its current all-time high. However, technical analysis suggests that Dogecoin is still on track to repeat this move and possibly even surpass it.
這些反彈中最引人注目的是 2021 年的反彈,當時狗狗幣達到了當前的歷史新高。然而,技術分析表明,狗狗幣仍有望重複這項舉措,甚至可能超越它。
Particularly, recent Dogecoin fractal analysis suggests that Dogecoin is on track to reach anywhere between $4 and $23 within the foreseable future.
特別是,最近的狗狗幣分形分析表明,狗狗幣預計在可預見的未來達到 4 至 23 美元之間的價格。
Dogecoin’s Price Decline And Historical Fractal Patterns
狗狗幣的價格下跌和歷史分形模式
Dogecoin’s price action has slowed considerably in the past four weeks. The last two weeks of these four weeks have been highlighted by a notable decline, which has culminated in the Dogecoin price breaking below the multimonth resistance level of $0.35 it breached in early November.
過去四個星期,狗狗幣的價格走勢大幅放緩。這四週中的最後兩週出現了顯著的下跌,最終導致狗狗幣價格跌破了 11 月初突破的 0.35 美元的數月阻力位。
According to technical analysis by crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Dogecoin is currently playing out a fractal movement on the weekly candlestick timeframe chart. Fractals, in technical analysis, refer to recurring patterns that manifest across different scales and timeframes. For Dogecoin, this fractal movement stretches back to its earliest days as a meme coin in 2013 and provides a historical lens to predict its current trajectory.
根據加密貨幣分析師 Ali Martinez 的技術分析,這隻狗幣目前正在每週燭台時間框架圖表上呈現分形走勢。在技術分析中,分形是指在不同規模和時間範圍內顯現的重複模式。對於狗狗幣來說,這種分形運動可以追溯到 2013 年作為迷因幣出現的最早時期,並提供了一個歷史鏡頭來預測其當前的軌跡。
As highlighted by the price chart below, the fractal movement begins with a breakout from a downward sloping trendline drawn from the previous cycle’s high. In the case of this cycle, the breakout occurred when Dogecoin breached a resistance line stretching down from the 2021 all-time high at $0.73. After this breakout, the meme coin went on a seven-fold rally to set a recent local top at $0.48.
正如下面的價格圖所強調的,分形運動始於突破上一周期高點繪製的向下傾斜趨勢線。就本週期而言,當狗狗幣突破從 2021 年歷史高點 0.73 美元向下延伸的阻力線時,就會發生突破。此次突破後,Meme 幣上漲了七倍,創下近期局部最高點 0.48 美元。
After this breakout and rally, however, technical analysis points to a 45.8% correction from the recent peak, which brought Dogecoin to its current price point. In the past two cycles, however, these corrections were followed up by strong multi-month rallies to new all-time highs.
然而,在這次突破和反彈之後,技術分析顯示狗狗幣較近期峰值回調了 45.8%,這使得狗狗幣達到當前的價格點。然而,在過去的兩個週期中,這些調整之後是數月的強勁反彈,並創下歷史新高。
In the first breakout cycle of 2017, Dogecoin followed a similar trajectory. After an initial breakout and correction, the cryptocurrency embarked on a parabolic rally, ultimately peaking at $0.01855 in early 2018.
在 2017 年的第一個突破週期中,狗狗幣也遵循了類似的軌跡。經過最初的突破和調整後,加密貨幣開始拋物線上漲,最終在 2018 年初達到 0.01855 美元的峰值。
This peak aligned closely with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level measured from the low of the preceding bear market. The second breakout cycle occurred in 2021 and led to an even more dramatic price surge. Dogecoin reached an all-time high of $0.7316, surpassing the 2.72 Fibonacci extension level from the low of the previous bear market.
此峰值與從前一熊市低點測得的 1.618 斐波那契擴展位密切相關。第二次突破週期發生在 2021 年,導致價格更劇烈的上漲。狗狗幣觸及 0.7316 美元的歷史新高,超過了上次熊市低點的 2.72 斐波那契擴展位。
Fractal Points To Another Parabolic Rally For Dogecoin
分形表明狗狗幣將迎來另一場拋物線反彈
Based on the outcomes of previous price action, the current fractal pattern suggests that Dogecoin may be preparing for a similar rebound in the coming months. The extent of this rebound also hinges on the extent of the current correction. If the fractal breakout were to repeat itself, the Dogecoin price could go on another parabolic rally to the 1.618 or 2.272 Fib extension levels, or somewhere in between.
根據先前價格走勢的結果,目前的分形模式表明狗狗幣可能正在為未來幾個月的類似反彈做準備。反彈的程度也取決於目前調整的程度。如果分形突破再次出現,狗狗幣價格可能會再次出現拋物線上漲,達到 1.618 或 2.272 Fib 擴展水平,或介於兩者之間。
According to Martinez, this would put the price targets anywhere between $4 at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and $23 at the 2.272 Fibonacci extension.
根據 Martinez 的說法,這將使目標價介於 1.618 斐波那契擴展位的 4 美元和 2.272 斐波那契擴展位的 23 美元之間。
As of now, Dogecoin is trading at $0.326. A rally to $4 would represent a 1,126% increase from its current price, while a climb to $23 would represent a 6,955% increase.
截至目前,狗狗幣的交易價格為 0.326 美元。上漲至 4 美元意味著較當前價格上漲 1,126%,而上漲至 23 美元則意味著上漲 6,955%。
Featured image from CNET, chart from TradingView
精選圖片來自 CNET,圖表來自 TradingView
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