富達專家大膽宣稱：只要擁有0.001個比特幣，你就可以成為百萬富翁

富達投資全球宏觀主管 Jurrien Timmer 表示，根據梅特卡夫定律，到 2038 年，比特幣的價值可能達到 10 億美元，該定律規定網路的價值與其用戶的平方成正比。如果這項預測成立，那麼今天投資 60 美元或 0.001 比特幣就可以讓一個人成為千萬富翁。

Fidelity Director's Bold Prediction: Holding Mere 0.001 Bitcoin Could Transform You into a Multimillionaire

富達董事大膽預測：光是持有0.001個比特幣就能讓你成為千萬富翁

In the realm of digital assets, Bitcoin reigns supreme as a deflationary and decentralized powerhouse. These inherent qualities, etched indelibly into its source code, have ignited a fervent belief that its price trajectory is destined for the stratosphere. This belief has spawned a tantalizing question: what if a modest investment in Bitcoin could unlock generational wealth?

在數位資產領域，比特幣作為通貨緊縮和去中心化的強大力量佔據著至高無上的地位。這些內在品質不可磨滅地銘刻在其原始碼中，點燃了人們的熱切信念，即其價格軌跡注定會達到平流層。這種信念引發了一個誘人的問題：如果對比特幣的適度投資可以釋放一代人的財富會怎麼樣？

According to Jurrien Timmer, the global head of macro at Fidelity Investments, this aspiration may not be as far-fetched as it seems. Timmer has boldly asserted that Bitcoin could reach an astronomical valuation of $1 billion by 2038, propelling even those with minimal investments into the millionaire stratosphere.

富達投資公司全球宏觀主管朱里恩·蒂默表示，這項願望可能不像看起來那麼牽強。 Timmer 大膽斷言，到 2038 年，比特幣的估值可能會達到 10 億美元的天文數字，即使是那些投資很少的人也會躋身百萬富翁的行列。

Timmer's prediction draws its strength from Metcalfe's law, a venerable principle in the world of network economics. This law posits that the value of a networked financial asset is directly proportional to the square of the number of users within its network.

蒂默的預測從梅特卡夫定律中汲取了力量，梅特卡夫定律是網路經濟學領域中受人尊敬的原則。該定律認為，網路金融資產的價值與其網路內使用者數量的平方成正比。

Initially applied to technologies such as the internet and social media, Timmer ingeniously extends Metcalfe's law to Bitcoin. At its core, Bitcoin is a network, facilitating peer-to-peer transactions and connecting users from far and wide. As new users flock to the Bitcoin network, its value, according to Timmer and Metcalfe's law, should surge exponentially.

蒂默最初應用於網路和社群媒體等技術，後來巧妙地將梅特卡夫定律延伸到了比特幣。比特幣的核心是一個網絡，促進點對點交易並連接來自四面八方的用戶。根據蒂默和梅特卡夫定律，隨著新用戶湧入比特幣網絡，其價值應該會呈指數級增長。

History bears witness to this exponential growth pattern. Over the past decade, Bitcoin's price has skyrocketed in lockstep with its burgeoning user base. The advent of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has further accelerated this growth, attracting a fresh wave of investors and pushing Bitcoin to new all-time highs. These observations provide empirical support for the practical application of Metcalfe's law in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

歷史見證了這種指數成長模式。在過去的十年裡，比特幣的價格隨著其迅速增長的用戶群同步飆升。現貨交易所交易基金（ETF）的出現進一步加速了這一成長，吸引了新一波投資者，並將比特幣推向歷史新高。這些觀察結果為梅特卡夫定律在比特幣生態系統中的實際應用提供了實證支持。

Timmer's prediction, however, rests on two key assumptions. Firstly, he assumes that new users will not only value the connections provided by the Bitcoin network but will also actively utilize them for transactions. This assumption may not hold true for those who view Bitcoin primarily as a store of value rather than a transactional currency.

然而，蒂默的預測是基於兩個關鍵假設。首先，他假設新用戶不僅會重視比特幣網路提供的連接，還會積極利用它們進行交易。對於那些將比特幣主要視為價值儲存而非交易貨幣的人來說，這種假設可能並不成立。

Secondly, Timmer assumes that Bitcoin's user base will continue to expand rapidly over the next decade. However, it is possible that Bitcoin may fail to achieve the widespread adoption necessary to reach the $1 billion price target.

其次，蒂默認為比特幣的用戶群將在未來十年繼續快速擴大。然而，比特幣可能無法達到 10 億美元價格目標所需的廣泛採用。

Despite these caveats, Timmer's prediction, anchored in a well-established economic model, offers a compelling case for Bitcoin's potential to soar to unprecedented heights. If Bitcoin were to reach $1 billion, a mere $1,000 investment today would blossom into a staggering $16.7 million by 2038. Even a modest investment of $60, or 0.001 BTC, would suffice to transform one into a millionaire.

儘管有這些警告，蒂默的預測以完善的經濟模型為基礎，為比特幣飆升至前所未有的高度的潛力提供了令人信服的案例。如果比特幣達到 10 億美元，那麼今天僅僅 1,000 美元的投資將在 2038 年增長到驚人的 1670 萬美元。

In the United States, approximately 22% of adults hold Bitcoin. As the allure of Bitcoin continues to captivate investors, even a small allocation of $10 today could yield a substantial return in the years to come.

在美國，大約 22% 的成年人持有比特幣。隨著比特幣的吸引力繼續吸引投資者，即使今天 10 美元的小額配置也可能在未來幾年產生可觀的回報。

Bitcoin's journey has been marked by volatility and uncertainty, but its underlying fundamentals remain strong. As its network expands and its adoption grows, the potential for Bitcoin to deliver extraordinary returns remains tantalizingly within reach. For those willing to embrace the crypto revolution, even a modest investment in Bitcoin could pave the path to financial freedom.

比特幣的旅程充滿了波動性和不確定性，但其基本面仍然強勁。隨著其網路的擴展和採用率的成長，比特幣帶來非凡回報的潛力仍然觸手可及。對於那些願意接受加密革命的人來說，即使是對比特幣的適度投資也可以為財務自由鋪平道路。