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這是一個非常動蕩的一周,但是一種措施可能是對比特幣的長期看漲情感。
If you're anything like us, then you're probably already tired of hearing about how volatile the markets have been this week. But we promise, this next tidbit of market chatter is worth sticking around for.
如果您像我們一樣,那麼您可能已經厭倦了聽到本週市場的動盪。但是我們保證,下一個市場chat不休的下一個花絮值得一提。
As the dotenv code portion highlights, the sell-off in equities began on April 3, spurred by President Donald Trump's tariff-led uncertainties. Each day since then has been marked by sharp moves in both directions. The panic has hit both the equities and bond markets, while gold has surged to new all-time highs, and the DXY Index has broken below 100 for the first time since July 2023.
正如Dotenv法典部分的突出顯示的那樣,股票的拋售始於4月3日,由唐納德·特朗普總統的關稅領導的不確定性刺激。從那以後的每一天都以兩個方向的尖銳移動標記。這種恐慌既達到了股票和債券市場,又打入了新的歷史最高點,自2023年7月以來,DXY指數首次損失了100以下。
In response, the S&P Volatility Index (VIX)—often called Wall Street's "fear gauge" —has surged to its highest level since last August and this is where things get interesting for bitcoin.
作為回應,標準普爾波動率指數(VIX)通常稱為華爾街的“恐懼儀” - 自去年8月以來,它的最高水平升至最高水平,這是比特幣變得有趣的地方。
The ratio of bitcoin to VIX has hit 1,903 currently, touching a long-term trendline that last time coincided with market volatility around the unwinding of the yen carry trade. At the time, bitcoin had reached a bottom of around $49,000.
目前,比特幣與VIX的比例已經達到了1,903次,它觸及了長期的趨勢線,上次與日元攜帶貿易放鬆的市場波動相吻合。當時,比特幣達到了49,000美元左右。
In fact, this is the fourth time this ratio has hit the trendline and then found the bottom. Previously, it touched the line in March 2020 during the peak COVID-19 crisis and initially in August 2015, both times followed by a rally in prices.
實際上,這是該比率第四次達到趨勢線,然後找到底部。以前,它在2020年3月在Covid-19危機危機中,最初於2015年8月觸及了這條線,這兩次都是價格集會。
If this trendline continues to serve as reliable support, it could suggest that bitcoin might have once again found a long-term bottom.
如果這種趨勢線繼續作為可靠的支持,則可能表明比特幣可能再次找到了長期的底層。
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