彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）預測，比特幣將在2025年的金融危機中死亡

著名的經濟學家和黃金倡導者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）發布了一個明顯的預測，即從2008年的金融危機中誕生的加密貨幣將在當前的經濟動盪中喪生。

Economist Predicts Cryptocurrency Will Be Killed by 2025 Financial Crisis, Setting Record Straight on China

經濟學家預測，加密貨幣將在2025年的金融危機中殺死，並在中國創下記錄

Renowned economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has issued a stark prediction that the cryptocurrency born from the 2008 financial crisis will meet its demise in the current economic turmoil. His provocative Thursday statement that “the financial crisis of 2025 will kill” Bitcoin comes as traditional safe havens reach record highs while digital assets struggle to maintain stability.

著名的經濟學家和黃金倡導者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）發布了一個明顯的預測，即從2008年的金融危機中誕生的加密貨幣將在當前的經濟動盪中喪生。他的挑釁性週四聲明說，“ 2025年的金融危機將殺死比特幣”，因為傳統的避風港達到創紀錄的高潮，而數字資產則難以保持穩定。

“Bitcoin is losing,” declared Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Asset Management, highlighting the widening performance gap between the cryptocurrency and gold, according to TradingView . While gold surged to an unprecedented $3,176 per ounce Thursday, Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% from its February peak, trading at approximately $78,669.

根據TradingView的說法，歐元太平洋資產管理首席執行官Schiff宣稱：“比特幣正在損失。”雖然黃金飆升至前所未有的每盎司3,176美元，但比特幣比2月的峰值下降了近30％，交易約為78,669美元。

This dramatic divergence between these competing “store of value” assets comes amid heightened market turbulence, with the S&P 500 plunging 3.46% Thursday after what Schiff characterized as merely a “bear market rally” on Tuesday. His assessment suggests deeper economic problems may lie ahead for both traditional and digital markets.

這些相互競爭的“價值存儲”資產之間的這種戲劇性差異是由於市場動盪而增加，在周二的席夫（Schiff）週二僅以“熊市集會”為特徵之後，標準普爾500指數下跌3.46％。他的評估表明，對於傳統市場和數字市場，更深層的經濟問題可能存在。

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Harsh Historical Comparison

嚴格的歷史比較

Schiff’s criticism extends beyond price performance, venturing into historical comparisons that have drawn attention in financial circles. “Bitcoin was born out of the financial crisis of 2008. Ironically, the financial crisis of 2025 will kill it,” he claimed on social media, as reported by Yahoo Finance .

席夫（Schiff）的批評超出了價格績效的範圍，進入了歷史比較，這些比較引起了金融界的關注。正如Yahoo Finance報導，他在社交媒體上聲稱：“比特幣源於2008年的金融危機。具有諷刺意味的是，2025年的金融危機將殺死它。”

This apocalyptic prediction for cryptocurrency aligns with Schiff’s broader economic warnings. He has consistently described Bitcoin as a “digital risk” rather than “digital gold,” questioning its fundamental value proposition as a hedge against economic instability. The current market conditions, with gold massively outperforming digital assets, appear to favor his long-held view.

這種對加密貨幣的世界末日預測與席夫更廣泛的經濟警告保持一致。他一直將比特幣描述為“數字風險”，而不是“數字黃金”，質疑其基本價值主張是對沖經濟不穩定的對沖。當前的市場狀況巨大的數字資產大大超過了數字資產，似乎有利於他長期以來的看法。

Schiff has also made controversial observations linking current economic policies to historical disasters. He recently compared Trump’s tariff strategies to the “infamous Hindenburg disaster,” suggesting they may be exposing critical weaknesses in the U.S. economy that will ultimately impact digital assets.

希夫還做出了有爭議的觀察，將當前的經濟政策與歷史災難聯繫起來。他最近將特朗普的關稅策略與“臭名昭著的興登堡災難”進行了比較，這表明他們可能會在美國經濟中揭示最終影響數字資產的關鍵弱點。

Geopolitical Dimensions

地緣政治維度

The economist dismissed speculation about China potentially purchasing Bitcoin in a strategic move to counter the U.S. cryptocurrency initiative. “They are not that dumb. They are happy to sell us Bitcoin, though,” he stated, contradicting Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis’s prediction of an emerging “arms race over Bitcoin” between global superpowers.

這位經濟學家駁回了對中國潛在購買比特幣的猜測，以反對美國加密貨幣倡議的戰略舉動。他說：“他們並不那麼愚蠢。他們很樂意向我們出售比特幣。”他與懷俄明州參議員辛西婭·盧米斯（Cynthia Lummis）對全球超級大國之間新興的“軍備競賽勝過比特幣”的預測相矛盾。

Schiff further claimed that China has already sold its Bitcoin, a move he believes indicates the country recognizes fundamental flaws in cryptocurrency that enthusiasts might be overlooking. This perspective challenges narratives about Bitcoin’s potential role in reshaping international financial power dynamics.

席夫進一步聲稱，中國已經出售了比特幣，他認為這一舉動表明該國認識到加密貨幣中的基本缺陷，發燒友可能會忽略。這種觀點挑戰了關於比特幣在重塑國際金融權力動力學中的潛在作用的敘述。

His skepticism extends to domestic cryptocurrency endorsements as well. Schiff advised against following Eric Trump’s investment guidance after his endorsement of Ethereum was followed by a significant price decline in the second-largest cryptocurrency.

他的懷疑也擴展到國內加密貨幣認可。席夫（Schiff）建議在埃里克·特朗普（Eric Trump）認可以太坊後的投資指導之後，第二大加密貨幣的價格大幅下降。

Pattern of Resilience

彈性的模式

Despite Schiff’s confident prediction of Bitcoin’s demise, historical data suggests caution before writing cryptocurrency’s obituary. According to Bitcoindeaths.com, cited by Yahoo Finance , Bitcoin has been declared “dead” a remarkable 429 times throughout its history.

儘管席夫對比特幣的滅亡進行了自信的預測，但歷史數據表明，在撰寫加密貨幣的itu告之前謹慎行事。據Yahoo Finance引用的Bitcoindeaths.com稱，比特幣在整個歷史中被宣佈為“死” 429次。

A theoretical investment strategy of placing just $100 into Bitcoin each time it faced one of these death pronouncements would have yielded more than $83 million today. This pattern of recovery following pessimistic predictions has characterized Bitcoin’s development, though current market conditions present unique challenges.

每次面對這些死亡聲明之一時，僅將100美元放入比特幣的理論投資策略將產生超過8300萬美元。這種悲觀預測之後的恢復模式已經表徵了比特幣的發展，儘管當前的市場狀況帶來了獨特的挑戰。

The cryptocurrency has survived multiple market cycles, regulatory crackdowns, technical challenges, and previous financial crises. Whether the current economic turbulence represents a fundamentally different threat remains a central question for investors and economic observers.

加密貨幣在多個市場週期，監管鎮壓，技術挑戰和以前的金融危機中倖存下來。目前的經濟動盪是否代表著根本不同的威脅仍然是投資者和經濟觀察者的核心問題。

Market Impact

市場影響

As traditional financial markets experience extreme volatility, with stock indexes swinging dramatically and gold setting new records, the debate between gold advocates like Schiff and cryptocurrency enthusiasts has intensified. Gold’s strong performance during this period has certainly strengthened the position of traditional safe-haven proponents.

隨著傳統金融市場的極端波動，隨著股票指數的巨大搖擺和黃金創造新的記錄，諸如Schiff和加密貨幣愛好者等黃金倡導者之間的辯論加劇了。在此期間，黃金的出色表現無疑加強了傳統的避風勢支持者的地位。

However, cryptocurrency supporters highlight the young asset class’s resilience through previous market downturns and its fundamental value proposition as protection against currency devaluation and government financial control. They suggest that the current divergence in performance may represent a temporary phase.

但是，加密貨幣支持者通過以前的市場下滑及其基本價值主張來強調年輕資產類別的韌性，以保護貨幣貶值和政府財務控制。他們認為當前性能的差異可能代表臨時階段。

Schiff’s warning to investors that it’s “not too late to sell stocks” extends his bearish outlook beyond cryptocurrencies to the broader market, suggesting he anticipates continued economic difficulties that could further test both traditional and digital assets.

席夫向投資者發出警告，即“出售股票還為時不晚”將他的看跌前景擴展到了更廣闊的市場，這表明他預計持續的經濟困難可以進一步測試傳統和數字資產。

As markets navigate these turbulent waters, Schiff’s bold prediction about Bitcoin’s fate has added fuel to an already heated discussion regarding the role of different asset classes during periods of financial stress.

當市場駕駛這些動蕩的水域時，席夫對比特幣命運的大膽預測為已經激烈的討論增加了有關在財務壓力期間不同資產類別的作用的討論。

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