彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）预测，比特币将在2025年的金融危机中死亡

著名的经济学家和黄金倡导者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）发布了一个明显的预测，即从2008年的金融危机中诞生的加密货币将在当前的经济动荡中丧生。

Economist Predicts Cryptocurrency Will Be Killed by 2025 Financial Crisis, Setting Record Straight on China

经济学家预测，加密货币将在2025年的金融危机中杀死，并在中国创下记录

Renowned economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has issued a stark prediction that the cryptocurrency born from the 2008 financial crisis will meet its demise in the current economic turmoil. His provocative Thursday statement that “the financial crisis of 2025 will kill” Bitcoin comes as traditional safe havens reach record highs while digital assets struggle to maintain stability.

著名的经济学家和黄金倡导者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）发布了一个明显的预测，即从2008年的金融危机中诞生的加密货币将在当前的经济动荡中丧生。他的挑衅性周四声明说，“ 2025年的金融危机将杀死比特币”，因为传统的避风港达到创纪录的高潮，而数字资产则难以保持稳定。

“Bitcoin is losing,” declared Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Asset Management, highlighting the widening performance gap between the cryptocurrency and gold, according to TradingView . While gold surged to an unprecedented $3,176 per ounce Thursday, Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% from its February peak, trading at approximately $78,669.

根据TradingView的说法，欧元太平洋资产管理首席执行官Schiff宣称：“比特币正在损失。”虽然黄金飙升至前所未有的每盎司3,176美元，但比特币比2月的峰值下降了近30％，交易约为78,669美元。

This dramatic divergence between these competing “store of value” assets comes amid heightened market turbulence, with the S&P 500 plunging 3.46% Thursday after what Schiff characterized as merely a “bear market rally” on Tuesday. His assessment suggests deeper economic problems may lie ahead for both traditional and digital markets.

这些相互竞争的“价值存储”资产之间的这种戏剧性差异是由于市场动荡而增加，在周二的席夫（Schiff）周二仅以“熊市集会”为特征之后，标准普尔500指数下跌3.46％。他的评估表明，对于传统市场和数字市场，更深层的经济问题可能存在。

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Harsh Historical Comparison

严格的历史比较

Schiff’s criticism extends beyond price performance, venturing into historical comparisons that have drawn attention in financial circles. “Bitcoin was born out of the financial crisis of 2008. Ironically, the financial crisis of 2025 will kill it,” he claimed on social media, as reported by Yahoo Finance .

席夫（Schiff）的批评超出了价格绩效的范围，进入了历史比较，这些比较引起了金融界的关注。正如Yahoo Finance报道，他在社交媒体上声称：“比特币源于2008年的金融危机。具有讽刺意味的是，2025年的金融危机将杀死它。”

This apocalyptic prediction for cryptocurrency aligns with Schiff’s broader economic warnings. He has consistently described Bitcoin as a “digital risk” rather than “digital gold,” questioning its fundamental value proposition as a hedge against economic instability. The current market conditions, with gold massively outperforming digital assets, appear to favor his long-held view.

这种对加密货币的世界末日预测与席夫更广泛的经济警告保持一致。他一直将比特币描述为“数字风险”，而不是“数字黄金”，质疑其基本价值主张是对冲经济不稳定的对冲。当前的市场状况巨大的数字资产大大超过了数字资产，似乎有利于他长期以来的看法。

Schiff has also made controversial observations linking current economic policies to historical disasters. He recently compared Trump’s tariff strategies to the “infamous Hindenburg disaster,” suggesting they may be exposing critical weaknesses in the U.S. economy that will ultimately impact digital assets.

希夫还做出了有争议的观察，将当前的经济政策与历史灾难联系起来。他最近将特朗普的关税策略与“臭名昭著的兴登堡灾难”进行了比较，这表明他们可能会在美国经济中揭示最终影响数字资产的关键弱点。

Geopolitical Dimensions

地缘政治维度

The economist dismissed speculation about China potentially purchasing Bitcoin in a strategic move to counter the U.S. cryptocurrency initiative. “They are not that dumb. They are happy to sell us Bitcoin, though,” he stated, contradicting Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis’s prediction of an emerging “arms race over Bitcoin” between global superpowers.

这位经济学家驳回了对中国潜在购买比特币的猜测，以反对美国加密货币倡议的战略举动。他说：“他们并不那么愚蠢。他们很乐意向我们出售比特币。”他与怀俄明州参议员辛西娅·卢米斯（Cynthia Lummis）对全球超级大国之间新兴的“军备竞赛胜过比特币”的预测相矛盾。

Schiff further claimed that China has already sold its Bitcoin, a move he believes indicates the country recognizes fundamental flaws in cryptocurrency that enthusiasts might be overlooking. This perspective challenges narratives about Bitcoin’s potential role in reshaping international financial power dynamics.

席夫进一步声称，中国已经出售了比特币，他认为这一举动表明该国认识到加密货币中的基本缺陷，发烧友可能会忽略。这种观点挑战了关于比特币在重塑国际金融权力动力学中的潜在作用的叙述。

His skepticism extends to domestic cryptocurrency endorsements as well. Schiff advised against following Eric Trump’s investment guidance after his endorsement of Ethereum was followed by a significant price decline in the second-largest cryptocurrency.

他的怀疑也扩展到国内加密货币认可。席夫（Schiff）建议在埃里克·特朗普（Eric Trump）认可以太坊后的投资指导之后，第二大加密货币的价格大幅下降。

Pattern of Resilience

弹性的模式

Despite Schiff’s confident prediction of Bitcoin’s demise, historical data suggests caution before writing cryptocurrency’s obituary. According to Bitcoindeaths.com, cited by Yahoo Finance , Bitcoin has been declared “dead” a remarkable 429 times throughout its history.

尽管席夫对比特币的灭亡进行了自信的预测，但历史数据表明，在撰写加密货币的itu告之前谨慎行事。据Yahoo Finance引用的Bitcoindeaths.com称，比特币在整个历史中被宣布为“死” 429次。

A theoretical investment strategy of placing just $100 into Bitcoin each time it faced one of these death pronouncements would have yielded more than $83 million today. This pattern of recovery following pessimistic predictions has characterized Bitcoin’s development, though current market conditions present unique challenges.

每次面对这些死亡声明之一时，仅将100美元放入比特币的理论投资策略将产生超过8300万美元。这种悲观预测之后的恢复模式已经表征了比特币的发展，尽管当前的市场状况带来了独特的挑战。

The cryptocurrency has survived multiple market cycles, regulatory crackdowns, technical challenges, and previous financial crises. Whether the current economic turbulence represents a fundamentally different threat remains a central question for investors and economic observers.

加密货币在多个市场周期，监管镇压，技术挑战和以前的金融危机中幸存下来。目前的经济动荡是否代表着根本不同的威胁仍然是投资者和经济观察者的核心问题。

Market Impact

市场影响

As traditional financial markets experience extreme volatility, with stock indexes swinging dramatically and gold setting new records, the debate between gold advocates like Schiff and cryptocurrency enthusiasts has intensified. Gold’s strong performance during this period has certainly strengthened the position of traditional safe-haven proponents.

随着传统金融市场的极端波动，随着股票指数的巨大摇摆和黄金创造新的记录，诸如Schiff和加密货币爱好者等黄金倡导者之间的辩论加剧了。在此期间，黄金的出色表现无疑加强了传统的避风势支持者的地位。

However, cryptocurrency supporters highlight the young asset class’s resilience through previous market downturns and its fundamental value proposition as protection against currency devaluation and government financial control. They suggest that the current divergence in performance may represent a temporary phase.

但是，加密货币支持者通过以前的市场下滑及其基本价值主张来强调年轻资产类别的韧性，以保护货币贬值和政府财务控制。他们认为当前性能的差异可能代表临时阶段。

Schiff’s warning to investors that it’s “not too late to sell stocks” extends his bearish outlook beyond cryptocurrencies to the broader market, suggesting he anticipates continued economic difficulties that could further test both traditional and digital assets.

席夫向投资者发出警告，即“出售股票还为时不晚”将他的看跌前景扩展到了更广阔的市场，这表明他预计持续的经济困难可以进一步测试传统和数字资产。

As markets navigate these turbulent waters, Schiff’s bold prediction about Bitcoin’s fate has added fuel to an already heated discussion regarding the role of different asset classes during periods of financial stress.

当市场驾驶这些动荡的水域时，席夫对比特币命运的大胆预测为已经激烈的讨论增加了有关在财务压力期间不同资产类别的作用的讨论。

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