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以太坊(ETH)在短暫復甦後面臨新的拋售壓力,在分析師提出的擔憂中跌破 3,400 美元。該水平缺乏強勁支撐,導致進一步下跌至 2,850 美元或更低的可能性。選擇權交易活動顯示賣出買權和買入看跌選擇權增加,導致現貨 ETH 價格面臨下行壓力。
Ethereum Faces Downward Pressure, Risks Falling Below $3,000
以太坊面臨下行壓力,有跌破3000美元的風險
The Ethereum (ETH) market has encountered a significant sell-off, with prices plummeting below $3,400 once more. This downturn follows a brief recovery last week that saw ETH climb above $3,600.
以太坊(ETH)市場遭遇大幅拋售,價格再次跌破 3,400 美元。這次低迷是在上週 ETH 短暫回升併升至 3,600 美元上方之後發生的。
Critical Support Broken
關鍵支撐被打破
According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Ethereum's descent below the crucial support level of $3,460 raises concerns. This development challenges bullish sentiment and increases the likelihood of further price declines.
加密貨幣分析師 Ali Martinez 表示,以太幣跌破 3,460 美元的關鍵支撐位引發了擔憂。這一事態發展挑戰了看漲情緒,並增加了價格進一步下跌的可能性。
Options Trading Weighs on Spot Price
選擇權交易影響現貨價格
Recent market activity reveals heightened selling pressure on ETH options. QCP Capital reports increased interest in selling calls and acquiring puts, which has contributed to downward pressure on the spot ETH price and elevated implied volatilities. Notably, the demand for puts has outpaced calls, resulting in a significant downside risk reversal skew of -5% in April.
最近的市場活動顯示 ETH 選擇權的拋售壓力加大。 QCP Capital 報告稱,賣出看漲期權和買入看跌期權的興趣增加,這導致 ETH 現貨價格面臨下行壓力,隱含波動率上升。值得注意的是,看跌期權的需求超過了看漲期權,導致 4 月下行風險逆轉偏度顯著達 -5%。
Technical Resistance
技術阻力
On the upside, Ethereum faces immediate resistance at around $3,400, corresponding to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downward movement. Additional resistance lies at $3,420, aligning with the trend line and a subsequent hurdle at $3,450. Clearing these levels could lead to a test of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
上檔方面,以太幣面臨約 3,400 美元的直接阻力,對應於近期下行走勢的 23.6% 斐波那契回檔位。額外阻力位於 3,420 美元,與趨勢線和隨後的阻力位 3,450 美元保持一致。清除這些水準可能會導致測試 50% 斐波那契回撤水準。
Further resistance is anticipated near $3,520, where the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA) converges. Breaking above this level could signal bullish momentum, with potential targets at the $3,650 barrier.
預計進一步阻力位於 3,520 美元附近,100 小時簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 匯聚於此。突破該水準可能預示看漲勢頭,潛在目標為 3,650 美元關口。
On-Chain Strength
鏈上實力
Despite the price decline, Ethereum's on-chain indicators suggest underlying strength. The number of non-zero Ethereum addresses has surged to a new all-time high in recent weeks. This indicates a growing user base and sustained interest in the Ethereum ecosystem.
儘管價格下跌,但以太坊的鏈上指標顯示出潛在的實力。最近幾週,非零以太坊地址數量激增至歷史新高。這表明用戶群不斷增長以及對以太坊生態系統的持續興趣。
Downside Potential
下行潛力
With the critical support level breached, Ethereum faces the possibility of a continued correction towards $2,850 or even lower. The absence of robust support at the current levels increases the likelihood of further price declines.
隨著關鍵支撐位被突破,以太坊面臨繼續回調至 2,850 美元甚至更低的可能性。目前水準缺乏強勁支撐增加了價格進一步下跌的可能性。
Conclusion
結論
Ethereum's recent price action has raised concerns among analysts. Technical resistance and options market activity suggest that further downward pressure is possible. However, on-chain indicators hint at underlying strength within the Ethereum ecosystem. The market's trajectory in the coming days will determine whether Ethereum can regain its upward momentum or succumb to further selling pressure.
以太坊最近的價格走勢引起了分析師的擔憂。技術阻力和期權市場活動表明,可能存在進一步下行壓力。然而,鏈上指標暗示了以太坊生態系統的潛在實力。未來幾天的市場軌跡將決定以太坊能否重獲上漲動力,還是屈服於進一步的拋售壓力。
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