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以太坊(ETH)在短暂复苏后面临新的抛售压力,在分析师提出的担忧中跌破 3,400 美元。该水平缺乏强劲支撑,导致进一步下跌至 2,850 美元或更低的可能性。期权交易活动表明卖出看涨期权和买入看跌期权增加,导致现货 ETH 价格面临下行压力。
Ethereum Faces Downward Pressure, Risks Falling Below $3,000
以太坊面临下行压力,有跌破3000美元的风险
The Ethereum (ETH) market has encountered a significant sell-off, with prices plummeting below $3,400 once more. This downturn follows a brief recovery last week that saw ETH climb above $3,600.
以太坊(ETH)市场遭遇大幅抛售,价格再次跌破 3,400 美元。这次低迷是在上周 ETH 短暂回升并升至 3,600 美元上方之后发生的。
Critical Support Broken
关键支撑被打破
According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Ethereum's descent below the crucial support level of $3,460 raises concerns. This development challenges bullish sentiment and increases the likelihood of further price declines.
加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 表示,以太坊跌破 3,460 美元的关键支撑位引发了担忧。这一事态发展挑战了看涨情绪,并增加了价格进一步下跌的可能性。
Options Trading Weighs on Spot Price
期权交易影响现货价格
Recent market activity reveals heightened selling pressure on ETH options. QCP Capital reports increased interest in selling calls and acquiring puts, which has contributed to downward pressure on the spot ETH price and elevated implied volatilities. Notably, the demand for puts has outpaced calls, resulting in a significant downside risk reversal skew of -5% in April.
最近的市场活动表明 ETH 期权的抛售压力加大。 QCP Capital 报告称,卖出看涨期权和买入看跌期权的兴趣增加,这导致 ETH 现货价格面临下行压力,隐含波动率上升。值得注意的是,看跌期权的需求超过了看涨期权,导致 4 月份下行风险逆转偏度显着达 -5%。
Technical Resistance
技术阻力
On the upside, Ethereum faces immediate resistance at around $3,400, corresponding to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downward movement. Additional resistance lies at $3,420, aligning with the trend line and a subsequent hurdle at $3,450. Clearing these levels could lead to a test of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
上行方面,以太坊面临 3,400 美元左右的直接阻力,对应于近期下行走势的 23.6% 斐波那契回撤位。额外阻力位于 3,420 美元,与趋势线和随后的阻力位 3,450 美元保持一致。清除这些水平可能会导致测试 50% 斐波那契回撤水平。
Further resistance is anticipated near $3,520, where the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA) converges. Breaking above this level could signal bullish momentum, with potential targets at the $3,650 barrier.
预计进一步阻力位于 3,520 美元附近,100 小时简单移动平均线 (SMA) 汇聚于此。突破该水平可能预示看涨势头,潜在目标为 3,650 美元关口。
On-Chain Strength
链上实力
Despite the price decline, Ethereum's on-chain indicators suggest underlying strength. The number of non-zero Ethereum addresses has surged to a new all-time high in recent weeks. This indicates a growing user base and sustained interest in the Ethereum ecosystem.
尽管价格下跌,但以太坊的链上指标显示出潜在的实力。最近几周,非零以太坊地址数量激增至历史新高。这表明用户群不断增长以及对以太坊生态系统的持续兴趣。
Downside Potential
下行潜力
With the critical support level breached, Ethereum faces the possibility of a continued correction towards $2,850 or even lower. The absence of robust support at the current levels increases the likelihood of further price declines.
随着关键支撑位被突破,以太坊面临继续回调至 2,850 美元甚至更低的可能性。当前水平缺乏强劲支撑增加了价格进一步下跌的可能性。
Conclusion
结论
Ethereum's recent price action has raised concerns among analysts. Technical resistance and options market activity suggest that further downward pressure is possible. However, on-chain indicators hint at underlying strength within the Ethereum ecosystem. The market's trajectory in the coming days will determine whether Ethereum can regain its upward momentum or succumb to further selling pressure.
以太坊最近的价格走势引起了分析师的担忧。技术阻力和期权市场活动表明,可能存在进一步下行压力。然而,链上指标暗示了以太坊生态系统的潜在实力。未来几天的市场轨迹将决定以太坊能否重获上涨动力,还是屈服于进一步的抛售压力。
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