以太坊兌比特幣暴跌，分析師預測進一步下跌

由於擔心貨幣政策收緊，加密貨幣分析師本傑明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 預測 ETH/BTC 交易對可能下跌 38%。由於突破關鍵支撐位，以太坊相對於比特幣的價值可能會在今年夏天觸底。如果聯準會放鬆政策，ETH/BTC 可能會出現潛在復甦；然而，以太坊的美元價值可能會繼續面臨小幅下跌。

Ethereum Faces Downturn Against Bitcoin, Analyst Warns

分析師警告以太坊相對於比特幣面臨低迷

Renowned cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen has issued a pessimistic forecast for the Ethereum (ETH) to Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair, predicting a further decline in the coming months. This bearish outlook stems from the belief that the ETH/BTC ratio will reach its lowest point this summer, potentially marking a 38% drop in the relative value of Ethereum to Bitcoin.

著名加密貨幣分析師本傑明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）對以太坊（ETH）對比特幣（BTC）交易對做出了悲觀預測，預計未來幾個月將進一步下跌。這種看跌前景源於人們相信 ETH/BTC 比率將在今年夏天達到最低點，這可能標誌著以太坊相對於比特幣的相對價值下降 38%。

ETH/BTC's Weakness Unleashed

ETH/BTC 的疲軟已被釋放

Currently, the ETH/BTC ratio stands at 0.04869 BTC, or $3,070, having broken below its crucial horizontal pivot of 0.05, which it has maintained since May 6, 2021. This represents a lower low compared to mid-June 2022, when ETH/BTC tested the same level and rebounded. However, despite the subsequent recovery, it has remained below the descending resistance line since September 10, 2022.

目前，ETH/BTC 比率為0.04869 BTC，即3,070 美元，已跌破其自2021 年5 月6 日以來一直保持的關鍵水平樞軸0.05。低點，當時ETH/ BTC測試同一水平並反彈。然而，儘管隨後有所復甦，但自2022年9月10日以來一直處於下降阻力線下方。

The relentless downward pressure has now breached the horizontal level, indicating a potential for further decline. Cowen warns that the next significant support point for the ETH/BTC pair lies at the horizontal support zone starting at 0.03, suggesting a potential 38% decrease.

持續的下行壓力現已突破水平水平，顯示有進一步下跌的可能性。 Cowen 警告稱，ETH/BTC 貨幣對的下一個重要支撐點位於從 0.03 開始的水平支撐區域，表明可能下跌 38%。

Mid-June Bottom Possible, Dependent on Fed

六月中旬可能觸底，取決於聯準會

Cowen speculates that the earliest ETH/BTC could bottom is mid-June, but this is contingent upon the fiscal decisions of the United States Federal Reserve. If the Fed eases its monetary policies, it could trigger a bullish phase for the ETH/BTC pair.

Cowen 推測 ETH/BTC 最早可能在 6 月中旬觸底，但這取決於聯準會的財務決策。如果聯準會放鬆貨幣政策，可能會引發 ETH/BTC 貨幣對的看漲階段。

ETH Price Analysis

ETH價格分析

Ethereum's recent price action has been marked by volatility and downward pressure. On March 11, it surpassed the $4,000 threshold, reaching a peak of approximately $4,100, but by March 20, it had declined to $3,062. A subsequent rebound pushed the price to $3,730 by April 8, but it proved to be reactionary, sending ETH lower than before.

以太坊最近的價格走勢以波動和下行壓力為標誌。 3月11日，它突破了4,000美元的門檻，達到了約4,100美元的峰值，但到3月20日，它已經跌至3,062美元。隨後的反彈將價格在 4 月 8 日推升至 3,730 美元，但事實證明這是一種反作用，導致 ETH 價格低於之前。

On April 13, Ethereum's price plunged to $2,840, reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci extension level. Wave analysis and the daily chart RSI suggest a potential further decline to $2,750, completing the ABC correction as wave four of a five-wave impulse that began in mid-October 2023.

4 月 13 日，以太坊價格暴跌至 2,840 美元，觸及 0.786 斐波那契擴展位。波浪分析和日線圖 RSI 表明，金價可能進一步下跌至 2,750 美元，完成 ABC 修正，作為 2023 年 10 月中旬開始的五浪沖擊中的第四浪。

Consolidation and Sideways Movement

盤整和橫盤運動

Cowen's projection for the ETH/BTC pair is supported by the broader outlook for ETH. He does not anticipate a new all-time high for ETH in its next upward turn, but rather a prolonged consolidation. This could result in ETH maintaining its sideways movement while Bitcoin's price increases, effectively losing value to BTC and driving down the ETH/BTC trading pair.

Cowen 對 ETH/BTC 貨幣對的預測得到了 ETH 更廣泛前景的支持。他預計 ETH 在下一次上漲時不會創下歷史新高，而是會出現長期盤整。這可能會導致 ETH 在比特幣價格上漲的同時維持橫盤走勢，從而有效地讓 BTC 失去價值，並壓低 ETH/BTC 交易對。

Disclaimer

免責聲明

It is crucial to note that this article does not constitute financial or investment advice. The information provided is solely the opinion of the author and should not be construed as trading or investment recommendations. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and subject to unpredictable movements. Investors, traders, and other users should conduct thorough research and be aware of all relevant regulations before making any investment decisions.

值得注意的是，本文並不構成財務或投資建議。所提供的資訊僅代表作者的觀點，不應被視為交易或投資建議。加密貨幣的波動性很大，且波動難以預測。投資者、交易者和其他用戶在做出任何投資決定之前應進行徹底的研究並了解所有相關法規。