以太坊兑比特币暴跌，分析师预测进一步下跌

由于担心货币政策收紧，加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 预测 ETH/BTC 交易对可能下跌 38%。由于突破关键支撑位，以太坊相对于比特币的价值可能会在今年夏天触底。如果美联储放松政策，ETH/BTC 可能会出现潜在复苏；然而，以太坊的美元价值可能会继续面临小幅下跌。

Ethereum Faces Downturn Against Bitcoin, Analyst Warns

分析师警告以太坊相对于比特币面临低迷

Renowned cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen has issued a pessimistic forecast for the Ethereum (ETH) to Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair, predicting a further decline in the coming months. This bearish outlook stems from the belief that the ETH/BTC ratio will reach its lowest point this summer, potentially marking a 38% drop in the relative value of Ethereum to Bitcoin.

著名加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）对以太坊（ETH）对比特币（BTC）交易对做出了悲观预测，预计未来几个月将进一步下跌。这种看跌前景源于人们相信 ETH/BTC 比率将在今年夏天达到最低点，这可能标志着以太坊相对于比特币的相对价值下降 38%。

ETH/BTC's Weakness Unleashed

ETH/BTC 的疲软已被释放

Currently, the ETH/BTC ratio stands at 0.04869 BTC, or $3,070, having broken below its crucial horizontal pivot of 0.05, which it has maintained since May 6, 2021. This represents a lower low compared to mid-June 2022, when ETH/BTC tested the same level and rebounded. However, despite the subsequent recovery, it has remained below the descending resistance line since September 10, 2022.

目前，ETH/BTC 比率为 0.04869 BTC，即 3,070 美元，已跌破其自 2021 年 5 月 6 日以来一直保持的关键水平枢轴 0.05。与 2022 年 6 月中旬相比，这是一个较低的低点，当时 ETH/ BTC测试同一水平并反弹。然而，尽管随后有所复苏，但自2022年9月10日以来一直处于下降阻力线下方。

The relentless downward pressure has now breached the horizontal level, indicating a potential for further decline. Cowen warns that the next significant support point for the ETH/BTC pair lies at the horizontal support zone starting at 0.03, suggesting a potential 38% decrease.

持续的下行压力现已突破水平水平，表明有进一步下跌的可能性。 Cowen 警告称，ETH/BTC 货币对的下一个重要支撑点位于从 0.03 开始​​的水平支撑区域，表明可能下跌 38%。

Mid-June Bottom Possible, Dependent on Fed

六月中旬可能触底，取决于美联储

Cowen speculates that the earliest ETH/BTC could bottom is mid-June, but this is contingent upon the fiscal decisions of the United States Federal Reserve. If the Fed eases its monetary policies, it could trigger a bullish phase for the ETH/BTC pair.

Cowen 推测 ETH/BTC 最早可能在 6 月中旬触底，但这取决于美联储的财政决策。如果美联储放松货币政策，可能会引发 ETH/BTC 货币对的看涨阶段。

ETH Price Analysis

ETH价格分析

Ethereum's recent price action has been marked by volatility and downward pressure. On March 11, it surpassed the $4,000 threshold, reaching a peak of approximately $4,100, but by March 20, it had declined to $3,062. A subsequent rebound pushed the price to $3,730 by April 8, but it proved to be reactionary, sending ETH lower than before.

以太坊最近的价格走势以波动和下行压力为标志。 3月11日，它突破了4,000美元的门槛，达到了约4,100美元的峰值，但到3月20日，它已经跌至3,062美元。随后的反弹将价格在 4 月 8 日推升至 3,730 美元，但事实证明这是一种反作用，导致 ETH 价格低于之前。

On April 13, Ethereum's price plunged to $2,840, reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci extension level. Wave analysis and the daily chart RSI suggest a potential further decline to $2,750, completing the ABC correction as wave four of a five-wave impulse that began in mid-October 2023.

4 月 13 日，以太坊价格暴跌至 2,840 美元，触及 0.786 斐波那契扩展位。波浪分析和日线图 RSI 表明，金价可能进一步下跌至 2,750 美元，完成 ABC 修正，作为 2023 年 10 月中旬开始的五浪冲击中的第四浪。

Consolidation and Sideways Movement

盘整和横盘运动

Cowen's projection for the ETH/BTC pair is supported by the broader outlook for ETH. He does not anticipate a new all-time high for ETH in its next upward turn, but rather a prolonged consolidation. This could result in ETH maintaining its sideways movement while Bitcoin's price increases, effectively losing value to BTC and driving down the ETH/BTC trading pair.

Cowen 对 ETH/BTC 货币对的预测得到了 ETH 更广泛前景的支持。他预计 ETH 在下一次上涨时不会创下历史新高，而是会出现长期盘整。这可能会导致 ETH 在比特币价格上涨的同时维持横盘走势，从而有效地让 BTC 失去价值，并压低 ETH/BTC 交易对。

Disclaimer

免责声明

It is crucial to note that this article does not constitute financial or investment advice. The information provided is solely the opinion of the author and should not be construed as trading or investment recommendations. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and subject to unpredictable movements. Investors, traders, and other users should conduct thorough research and be aware of all relevant regulations before making any investment decisions.

值得注意的是，本文并不构成财务或投资建议。所提供的信息仅代表作者的观点，不应被视为交易或投资建议。加密货币的波动性很大，并且波动难以预测。投资者、交易者和其他用户在做出任何投资决定之前应进行彻底的研究并了解所有相关法规。