以太幣 (ETH) 價格預測：修正還是上漲 15%？

以太坊（ETH）的價格在本週期中一直難以跟上其他主要加密貨幣的步伐。儘管 ETH 今年迄今上漲 32%，但表現明顯落後於比特幣的 112% 和 Solana 的 115% 的漲幅。

ETH price trails other major cryptocurrencies this cycle with a 32% YTD gain, compared to BTC's 112% and SOL's 115%. Among the top 10 coins, ETH has seen the least growth, outperforming only Avalanche.

ETH 價格本週期落後其他主要加密貨幣，年初至今上漲 32%，而 BTC 為 112%，SOL 為 115%。在排名前 10 名的幣種中，ETH 的成長最為緩慢，僅超過 Avalanche。

This lackluster performance highlights growing uncertainty around ETH, as key metrics like whale activity and net exchange flows suggest investors are hesitant to bet heavily on Ethereum.

這種低迷的表現突顯了 ETH 的不確定性日益增加，因為鯨魚活動和淨交易流量等關鍵指標表明投資者對大力押注以太坊猶豫不決。

ETH Net Transfer Volume Positive for 6 Days Running

ETH 淨轉帳量連續 6 天為正

Ethereum’s Net Flow From/To Exchanges has seen significant shifts in recent weeks. Between November 13 and November 18, the net flow was consistently positive, peaking at 83,500 on November 18.

最近幾週，以太坊交易所的淨流量發生了重大變化。 11月13日至18日期間，淨流量持續為正值，並於11月18日達到高峰83,500。

Earlier in the month, it hit its highest value in two weeks, reaching 128,000 on November 10. However, on November 19, the trend reversed, with the flow turning sharply negative at -33,400.

本月早些時候，它觸及兩週來的最高值，於11月10日達到128,000。

A high volume of ETH being sent to exchanges often indicates bearish sentiment, as users may be preparing to sell their holdings. Conversely, ETH being withdrawn from exchanges can signal a bullish outlook, as holders typically store assets in private wallets for the long haul.

大量 ETH 被發送到交易所通常表明看跌情緒，因為用戶可能正準備出售其持有的資產。相反，ETH 從交易所撤出可能預示著看漲的前景，因為持有者通常將資產長期存儲在私人錢包中。

Despite the net outflow on November 19, it came after six consecutive days of positive flows. This suggests that while the recent withdrawal is a promising sign, sustained negative flows are needed for the signal to turn decisively bullish for ETH price trajectory.

儘管11月19日出現淨流出，但這是在連續六天的正資金流出之後發生的。這表明，雖然最近的撤資是一個有希望的信號，但需要持續的負流才能使訊號轉向對 ETH 價格軌跡果斷看漲。

Ethereum Whales Seem To Be Second-Guessing

以太坊鯨魚似乎在事後猜測

The number of Ethereum whales holding at least 1,000 ETH surged significantly between November 7 and November 13, increasing from 5,527 to 5,561. This marked a strong period of accumulation by large holders, suggesting heightened interest during that time frame.

11 月 7 日至 13 日期間，持有至少 1,000 ETH 的以太坊鯨魚數量大幅增加，從 5,527 隻增加到 5,561 隻。這標誌著大股東的強勁增持時期，顯示在此期間興趣濃厚。

However, the number dropped sharply on November 14 to 5,534 and has struggled to recover since then. Currently sitting at 5,542, the metric's ups and downs indicate lingering uncertainty among whales. Their hesitance suggests that they are unsure of ETH's price potential for sustained surges in the near term.

然而，該數字在 11 月 14 日大幅下降至 5,534 人，此後一直難以恢復。目前該指標為 5,542，其起伏表明鯨魚之間仍存在揮之不去的不確定性。他們的猶豫表明他們不確定 ETH 的價格在短期內持續飆升的潛力。

ETH Price Prediction: A Correction or a 15% Upside?

ETH 價格預測：修正還是上漲 15%？

Ethereum’s short-term EMA lines remain above the long-term ones, but the gap between them is narrowing. If the short-term line crosses below the long-term line, it would form a death cross, a bearish signal that could indicate a stronger downtrend ahead.

以太坊的短期均線仍高於長期均線，但兩者之間的差距正在縮小。如果短期線跌破長期線，則將形成死亡交叉，這是一個看跌訊號，可能表示未來會有更強的下降趨勢。

If Ethereum enters a downtrend, it may test its nearest support at $2,990. A break below this level could lead to further declines, with the price potentially falling to $2,570.

如果以太坊進入下跌趨勢，它可能會測試最近的支撐位 2,990 美元。跌破該水平可能會導致進一步下跌，價格可能跌至 2,570 美元。

On the other hand, renewed confidence from whales could push ETH price higher. In this scenario, the price might first test resistance at $3,219 and then climb to $3,448, offering a potential upside of around 15%.

另一方面，鯨魚重拾信心可能會推高 ETH 價格。在這種情況下，價格可能會先測試 3,219 美元的阻力位，然後攀升至 3,448 美元，潛在上漲空間約為 15%。