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面對貨幣政策波動和地緣政治緊張局勢,美元的主導地位正在削弱。由於購買力下降、美國制裁、美國國債飆升以及人民幣和俄羅斯盧布等替代貨幣的崛起等原因,各國正在放棄美元。這次由金磚國家主導的去美元化運動,旨在減少國際貿易對美元的依賴,打造更平衡的金融體系。
The Waning Supremacy of the U.S. Dollar: A Multipolar Monetary Landscape Emerges
美元霸權的衰退:多極貨幣格局的出現
Once a beacon of stability and a cornerstone of the global economy, the U.S. dollar is facing an erosion of its dominance. Fluctuating monetary policies, geopolitical tensions, and the rise of alternative currencies are challenging the foundation of its hegemony. Like the BRICS nations, countries worldwide are shedding the dollar for a multitude of reasons.
美元曾經是穩定的燈塔和全球經濟的基石,但其主導地位正面臨侵蝕。貨幣政策的波動、地緣政治的緊張局勢以及替代貨幣的崛起正在挑戰其霸權的基礎。與金磚國家一樣,世界各國出於多種原因正在放棄美元。
The Rationale for Abandoning the Dollar
放棄美元的理由
Several factors are driving nations to distance themselves from the U.S. dollar. First and foremost, the alarming erosion of the dollar's purchasing power has been a major concern. Since 1913, the dollar has lost a staggering 99% of its value, a decline accelerated by recent U.S. monetary policy. The Federal Reserve's plan to reduce interest rates three times this year risks further exacerbating inflation, undermining confidence in the dollar.
有幾個因素促使各國遠離美元。首先也是最重要的是,美元購買力的驚人下降一直是一個主要問題。自 1913 年以來,美元已貶值 99%,令人震驚,美國近期的貨幣政策加速了美元貶值。聯準會今年三次降息的計畫可能會進一步加劇通膨,削弱人們對美元的信心。
Furthermore, the economic sanctions imposed by the United States have alienated it from some of its traditional allies. These measures have prompted affected nations to seek alternatives for international transactions, diminishing the dollar's global prevalence. Trading partners of sanctioned nations are also adopting other currencies to avoid the complications associated with the dollar.
此外,美國實施的經濟制裁也使其與一些傳統盟友疏遠。這些措施促使受影響國家尋求國際交易的替代方案,從而削弱了美元的全球流行度。受制裁國家的貿易夥伴也正在採用其他貨幣,以避免與美元相關的複雜情況。
The skyrocketing national debt of the United States, currently hovering around $34 trillion and projected to reach $35 trillion, is another reason for the loss of faith in the U.S. dollar. This financial instability is a major concern for nations that have traditionally relied on the dollar.
美國國債飆升,目前徘徊在34兆美元左右,預計將達到35兆美元,這也是人們對美元失去信心的另一個原因。這種金融不穩定是傳統上依賴美元的國家的主要擔憂。
Finally, the strengthening of local and regional currencies, such as the Chinese yuan, Kenyan shilling, and Russian ruble, is indicative of the growing appetite for alternatives to the dollar. These currencies are gaining credibility and usage, reflecting a shift towards a more multipolar global financial system.
最後,人民幣、肯亞先令和俄羅斯盧布等當地和區域貨幣的走強表明人們對美元替代品的需求不斷增長。這些貨幣正在獲得信譽和使用,反映出全球金融體係正朝著更加多極化的方向轉變。
BRICS-Led De-Dollarization
金磚國家主導的去美元化
The BRICS nations have been particularly active in reducing their dependence on the U.S. dollar in international trade. They have promoted the use of their own currencies in bilateral and regional transactions, which not only strengthens their economic autonomy but also disrupts the dollar's dominance.
金磚國家在減少國際貿易中對美元的依賴方面尤其積極。他們推動在雙邊和區域交易中使用本國貨幣,這不僅增強了他們的經濟自主權,也打破了美元的主導地位。
In a bold move to counter the long-held hegemony of the U.S. dollar, the BRICS are planning to create a common currency. Such a move would significantly alter the global financial landscape, providing a credible alternative to the dollar.
為了對抗美元長期霸權,金磚國家正計劃創造共同貨幣,這是一項大膽的舉措。此舉將顯著改變全球金融格局,提供美元的可靠替代品。
The BRICS' efforts to establish a common reserve currency, coupled with the growing reliability of regional currencies, reflect a global quest for a more balanced financial system, one less reliant on the dollar. This evolution has the potential to not only diversify the international monetary landscape but also reduce U.S. economic hegemony in the future.
金磚國家建立共同儲備貨幣的努力,加上區域貨幣可靠性的不斷提高,反映了全球對更平衡的金融體系的追求,減少對美元的依賴。這種演變不僅有可能使國際貨幣格局多樣化,而且有可能削弱美國未來的經濟霸權。
A New Era of Monetary Diversity
貨幣多元化的新時代
The decline of the U.S. dollar's dominance is not a sudden event but rather a culmination of several factors. The erosion of its purchasing power, the alienating effects of U.S. foreign policy, the rising national debt, and the growing strength of alternative currencies are all contributing to a shift in the global financial landscape.
美元主導地位的衰退並非突發事件,而是多種因素共同作用的結果。其購買力的削弱、美國外交政策的疏離效應、國家債務的增加以及替代貨幣的日益強勢,都導致了全球金融格局的轉變。
The BRICS-led de-dollarization movement is a testament to the growing desire for a more equitable and balanced global financial system. The emergence of alternative currencies is a sign that the world is moving towards a multipolar monetary environment. This evolution has the potential to reshape international trade, reduce economic vulnerabilities, and foster a more stable and equitable global economy.
金磚國家主導的去美元化運動證明了人們日益渴望建立更公平和平衡的全球金融體系。替代貨幣的出現是世界正在走向多極化貨幣環境的標誌。這種演變有可能重塑國際貿易、減少經濟脆弱性並促進更穩定和公平的全球經濟。
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