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本週,狗狗幣(DOGE)引領了加密貨幣市場的反彈,引發了人們對山寨幣季節可能即將到來的猜測。狗狗幣的飆升引起了人們對其價格走勢與更廣泛的山寨幣市場趨勢之間潛在相關性的關注。隨著比特幣的主導地位趨於平穩,分析師觀察到,狗狗幣的上漲往往先於山寨幣表現優異的時期。對於狗狗幣的勢頭是否確實能引發更廣泛的山寨幣季節,加密社群仍然存在分歧,一些專家警告說,比特幣季節仍然佔據主導地位。
Dogecoin Rally Reignites Speculation of Altcoin Season
狗狗幣反彈重新點燃了對山寨幣季節的猜測
The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a surge in Dogecoin's price this week, sparking speculation among analysts and traders regarding the potential onset of an "altseason." Altseason refers to a period in the crypto market characterized by outperformance of alternative cryptocurrencies relative to Bitcoin.
本週,加密貨幣市場狗狗幣的價格飆升,引發了分析師和交易員對「山寨幣季節」可能到來的猜測。 Altseason 是指加密貨幣市場中替代加密貨幣相對於比特幣表現優於比特幣的時期。
The Dogecoin rally has been attributed to several factors, including the recent announcement by Elon Musk, a known supporter of the cryptocurrency, about the potential integration of crypto payments into his X social media platform. This news triggered a significant price increase, propelling Dogecoin to a 17% gain and making it the top performer among the top 100 cryptocurrencies on Thursday.
狗狗幣的上漲歸因於多種因素,其中包括加密貨幣的知名支持者 Elon Musk最近宣布的有關將加密支付整合到其 X 社交媒體平台的可能性。這項消息引發價格大幅上漲,推動狗狗幣上漲 17%,成為週四前 100 名加密貨幣中表現最好的。
The surge in Dogecoin's price has led some observers to theorize that it could be the catalyst for a broader altcoin season. Crypto YouTuber Scott Melker has suggested that mainstream interest in cryptocurrencies will return once Dogecoin reaches a new all-time high. He cites the previous bull cycle, which was marked by widespread fervor for memecoins like Dogecoin and the proliferation of NFT mania, as evidence for this theory.
狗狗幣價格的飆升讓一些觀察家推測,它可能會成為更廣泛的山寨幣季節的催化劑。加密 YouTuber Scott Melker 表示,一旦狗狗幣達到歷史新高,主流對加密貨幣的興趣就會回歸。他引用了先前的牛市週期作為這一理論的證據,該週期的特點是對狗狗幣等 memecoin 的廣泛熱情以及 NFT 狂熱的擴散。
Another trader, Donovan Jolley, has also noted that Dogecoin's significant rallies have historically been followed by altseasons. With Bitcoin's dominance in the market recently wavering, Jolley sees this as a potential trigger for an altseason.
另一位交易員多諾萬喬利 (Donovan Jolley) 也指出,狗狗幣的大幅上漲歷來都會伴隨著山寨幣季節。隨著比特幣在市場上的主導地位最近動搖,喬利認為這是山寨季的潛在觸發因素。
However, despite the optimistic outlook, Blockchain Center, a crypto market data provider, believes that the market remains firmly in "Bitcoin season." Their "Alt-Season Index," which measures the percentage of the top 50 cryptocurrencies outperforming Bitcoin over a 90-day period, currently stands at just 47%. For altseason to be considered underway, this index would need to cross 75%.
然而,儘管前景樂觀,加密貨幣市場數據提供商Blockchain Center認為,市場仍堅定地處於「比特幣季節」。他們的「替代季節指數」衡量了 90 天內表現優於比特幣的前 50 種加密貨幣的百分比,目前僅為 47%。如果要考慮進行山寨季,該指數需要超過 75%。
It is important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and the decline in Bitcoin's dominance cannot be directly linked to Dogecoin's price rallies. Additionally, gains during altseason are typically more significant for altcoins than for large-cap cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin due to the lower capital requirements for smaller tokens.
值得注意的是,相關性並不意味著因果關係,比特幣主導地位的下降不能與狗狗幣的價格上漲直接相關。此外,由於較小代幣的資本需求較低,山寨幣在山寨幣季節期間的收益通常比比特幣等大盤加密貨幣更為顯著。
Despite its recent outperformance, Dogecoin remains significantly below its all-time high, highlighting the potential for further upside. The cryptocurrency's continued dominance in the memecoin sector and its potential to drive an altseason underscore its enduring relevance in the crypto market.
儘管狗狗幣最近表現出色,但仍遠低於歷史高點,凸顯了進一步的上漲潛力。這種加密貨幣在 memecoin 領域的持續主導地位及其推動山寨幣季節的潛力凸顯了其在加密貨幣市場中的持久相關性。
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