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本周,狗狗币(DOGE)引领了加密货币市场的反弹,引发了人们对山寨币季节可能即将到来的猜测。狗狗币的飙升引起了人们对其价格走势与更广泛的山寨币市场趋势之间潜在相关性的关注。随着比特币的主导地位趋于平稳,分析师观察到,狗狗币的上涨往往先于山寨币表现优异的时期。对于狗狗币的势头是否确实能引发更广泛的山寨币季节,加密社区仍然存在分歧,一些专家警告说,比特币季节仍然占据主导地位。
Dogecoin Rally Reignites Speculation of Altcoin Season
狗狗币反弹重新点燃了对山寨币季节的猜测
The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a surge in Dogecoin's price this week, sparking speculation among analysts and traders regarding the potential onset of an "altseason." Altseason refers to a period in the crypto market characterized by outperformance of alternative cryptocurrencies relative to Bitcoin.
本周,加密货币市场狗狗币的价格飙升,引发了分析师和交易员对“山寨币季节”可能到来的猜测。 Altseason 是指加密货币市场中替代加密货币相对于比特币表现优于比特币的时期。
The Dogecoin rally has been attributed to several factors, including the recent announcement by Elon Musk, a known supporter of the cryptocurrency, about the potential integration of crypto payments into his X social media platform. This news triggered a significant price increase, propelling Dogecoin to a 17% gain and making it the top performer among the top 100 cryptocurrencies on Thursday.
狗狗币的上涨归因于多种因素,其中包括加密货币的知名支持者埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)最近宣布的有关将加密支付整合到其 X 社交媒体平台的可能性。这一消息引发价格大幅上涨,推动狗狗币上涨 17%,成为周四前 100 名加密货币中表现最好的。
The surge in Dogecoin's price has led some observers to theorize that it could be the catalyst for a broader altcoin season. Crypto YouTuber Scott Melker has suggested that mainstream interest in cryptocurrencies will return once Dogecoin reaches a new all-time high. He cites the previous bull cycle, which was marked by widespread fervor for memecoins like Dogecoin and the proliferation of NFT mania, as evidence for this theory.
狗狗币价格的飙升让一些观察人士推测,它可能会成为更广泛的山寨币季节的催化剂。加密 YouTuber Scott Melker 表示,一旦狗狗币达到历史新高,主流对加密货币的兴趣就会回归。他引用了之前的牛市周期作为这一理论的证据,该周期的特点是对狗狗币等 memecoin 的广泛热情以及 NFT 狂热的扩散。
Another trader, Donovan Jolley, has also noted that Dogecoin's significant rallies have historically been followed by altseasons. With Bitcoin's dominance in the market recently wavering, Jolley sees this as a potential trigger for an altseason.
另一位交易员多诺万·乔利 (Donovan Jolley) 也指出,狗狗币的大幅上涨历来都会伴随着山寨币季节。随着比特币在市场上的主导地位最近出现动摇,乔利认为这是山寨季的潜在触发因素。
However, despite the optimistic outlook, Blockchain Center, a crypto market data provider, believes that the market remains firmly in "Bitcoin season." Their "Alt-Season Index," which measures the percentage of the top 50 cryptocurrencies outperforming Bitcoin over a 90-day period, currently stands at just 47%. For altseason to be considered underway, this index would need to cross 75%.
然而,尽管前景乐观,加密货币市场数据提供商Blockchain Center认为,市场仍坚定地处于“比特币季节”。他们的“替代季节指数”衡量了 90 天内表现优于比特币的前 50 种加密货币的百分比,目前仅为 47%。如果要考虑进行山寨季,该指数需要超过 75%。
It is important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and the decline in Bitcoin's dominance cannot be directly linked to Dogecoin's price rallies. Additionally, gains during altseason are typically more significant for altcoins than for large-cap cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin due to the lower capital requirements for smaller tokens.
值得注意的是,相关性并不意味着因果关系,比特币主导地位的下降不能与狗狗币的价格上涨直接相关。此外,由于较小代币的资本要求较低,山寨币在山寨币季节期间的收益通常比比特币等大盘加密货币更为显着。
Despite its recent outperformance, Dogecoin remains significantly below its all-time high, highlighting the potential for further upside. The cryptocurrency's continued dominance in the memecoin sector and its potential to drive an altseason underscore its enduring relevance in the crypto market.
尽管狗狗币最近表现出色,但仍远低于历史高点,凸显了进一步上涨的潜力。这种加密货币在 memecoin 领域的持续主导地位及其推动山寨币季节的潜力凸显了其在加密货币市场中的持久相关性。
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