狗狗幣模仿 2020 年減半後的行為，暗示 2025 年可能會出現另一次拋物線飆升

狗狗幣的價格走勢仍然引起關注，其持續盤整維持在 0.4 美元上方。

Dogecoin’s price has been consolidating for the past few weeks, holding up above $0.4. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading around $0.409. While this dip might appear concerning to some, crypto analyst Master Kenobi believes it is a natural and necessary phase in Dogecoin’s journey toward another bullish breakout.

過去幾週，狗狗幣的價格一直在盤整，維持在 0.4 美元以上。截至撰寫本文時，狗狗幣的交易價格約為 0.409 美元。雖然這種下跌可能會讓一些人感到擔憂，但加密貨幣分析師 Master Kenobi 認為，這是狗狗幣走向另一次看漲突破之旅的自然且必要的階段。

According to his analysis shared on social media platform X, Dogecoin needs to close below $0.465 in the weekly timeframe. Although it sounds bearish at the get-go, it is actually based off a very bullish price outlook for the meme coin.

根據他在社群媒體平台 X 上分享的分析，狗狗幣需要在每週時間範圍內收於 0.465 美元以下。儘管一開始聽起來很悲觀，但它實際上是基於對模因幣非常樂觀的價格前景。

Dogecoin’s Consolidation Resembles Its 2020 Post-Halving Behavior

狗狗幣的整合類似 2020 年減半後的行為

Kenobi’s outlook is not rooted in immediate bearishness but in a broader perspective comparing Dogecoin’s current price consolidation to its behavior during late 2020, right before the crazy rally in 2021.

克諾比的前景並非植根於眼前的悲觀情緒，而是從更廣泛的角度出發，將狗狗幣當前的價格盤整與 2020 年末（即 2021 年瘋狂上漲之前）的行為進行比較。

Cryptocurrencies are known to exhibit similar price performances in cycles. Interestingly, Dogecoin’s recent price performance is reminiscent of its price action in 2020 following the Bitcoin halving earlier that year. Analysis of the Dogecoin weekly candlestick price chart shows that the Dogecoin price rallied in late 2020, entered a consolidation phase, and subsequently exploded during the 2021 bull market.

眾所周知，加密貨幣在周期中表現出類似的價格表現。有趣的是，狗狗幣最近的價格表現讓人想起 2020 年早些時候比特幣減半後的價格走勢。狗狗幣週燭台價格圖的分析顯示，狗狗幣價格在 2020 年底上漲，進入盤整階段，隨後在 2021 年多頭市場爆發。

The parallels between those movements and Dogecoin’s current trajectory are very notable, with 2024’s Bitcoin halving earlier this year setting the stage for a similar cyclical pattern. As it stands, the Dogecoin price is now consolidating after a notable rally in October and November 2024, much like the 2020 movement.

這些走勢與狗狗幣當前軌跡之間的相似之處非常明顯，今年稍早 2024 年比特幣減半為類似的週期性模式奠定了基礎。目前來看，狗狗幣價格在 2024 年 10 月和 11 月顯著上漲後目前正在盤整，就像 2020 年的走勢一樣。

The Importance Of Closing Below $0.465 This Week

本週收盤價低於 0.465 美元的重要性

Although the current consolidation might be slowing down bullish sentiment, it might not be over yet. Crypto analyst Master Kenobi expects this consolidation to continue in order for the current Dogecoin price action to completely mirror that of the 2020/2021 movement, suggesting a repeat of 2021’s dramatic rally could occur by 2025.

儘管目前的盤整可能會減緩看漲情緒，但它可能還沒結束。加密貨幣分析師 Master Kenobi 預計這種整合將繼續，以便當前狗狗幣的價格走勢完全反映 2020/2021 年的走勢，這表明到 2025 年可能會重複 2021 年的大幅上漲。

To fully replicate its 2020-2021 cycle, Dogecoin needs to close this week in the red, with a price below $0.465. Particularly, the analyst noted that this is necessary for the Dogecoin price in order to continue healthy consolidation. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at $0.409, meaning it is well on track to close the week below $0.465.

為了完全複製 2020-2021 年的週期，狗狗幣需要在本週以虧損收盤，價格低於 0.465 美元。該分析師特別指出，這對於狗狗幣價格繼續健康整合是必要的。截至撰寫本文時，狗狗幣價格為 0.409 美元，這意味著本週收盤價預計將低於 0.465 美元。

If Dogecoin’s current price action continues to align with the patterns observed in 2020, it may be on track for another parabolic surge next year. In another technical analysis, Master Kenobi noted that the ongoing red week falls exactly 238 days after the last halving, perfectly aligning with the previous cycle.

如果狗狗幣目前的價格走勢繼續與 2020 年觀察到的模式保持一致，那麼明年它可能會再次出現拋物線飆升。在另一項技術分析中，克諾比大師指出，目前的紅色週正好是上一次減半後的 238 天，與上一個週期完全一致。

Based on this pattern, he predicts that a red weekly close will be followed by two consecutive green weeks, paving the way for a significant price surge to begin in the third week, around December 30th.

根據這一模式，他預測，紅色週收盤之後將是連續兩週綠色週，為第三週（12 月 30 日左右）開始的價格大幅上漲鋪平道路。