狗狗币模仿 2020 年减半后的行为，暗示 2025 年可能会出现另一次抛物线飙升

狗狗币的价格走势仍然引起关注，其持续盘整维持在 0.4 美元上方。

Dogecoin’s price has been consolidating for the past few weeks, holding up above $0.4. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading around $0.409. While this dip might appear concerning to some, crypto analyst Master Kenobi believes it is a natural and necessary phase in Dogecoin’s journey toward another bullish breakout.

过去几周，狗狗币的价格一直在盘整，维持在 0.4 美元以上。截至撰写本文时，狗狗币的交易价格约为 0.409 美元。虽然这种下跌可能会让一些人感到担忧，但加密货币分析师 Master Kenobi 认为，这是狗狗币走向另一次看涨突破之旅的自然且必要的阶段。

According to his analysis shared on social media platform X, Dogecoin needs to close below $0.465 in the weekly timeframe. Although it sounds bearish at the get-go, it is actually based off a very bullish price outlook for the meme coin.

根据他在社交媒体平台 X 上分享的分析，狗狗币需要在每周时间范围内收于 0.465 美元以下。尽管一开始听起来很悲观，但它实际上是基于对模因币非常乐观的价格前景。

Dogecoin’s Consolidation Resembles Its 2020 Post-Halving Behavior

狗狗币的整合类似于 2020 年减半后的行为

Kenobi’s outlook is not rooted in immediate bearishness but in a broader perspective comparing Dogecoin’s current price consolidation to its behavior during late 2020, right before the crazy rally in 2021.

克诺比的前景并非植根于眼前的悲观情绪，而是从更广泛的角度出发，将狗狗币当前的价格盘整与 2020 年末（即 2021 年疯狂上涨之前）的行为进行比较。

Cryptocurrencies are known to exhibit similar price performances in cycles. Interestingly, Dogecoin’s recent price performance is reminiscent of its price action in 2020 following the Bitcoin halving earlier that year. Analysis of the Dogecoin weekly candlestick price chart shows that the Dogecoin price rallied in late 2020, entered a consolidation phase, and subsequently exploded during the 2021 bull market.

众所周知，加密货币在周期中表现出类似的价格表现。有趣的是，狗狗币最近的价格表现让人想起 2020 年早些时候比特币减半后的价格走势。对狗狗币周烛台价格图的分析显示，狗狗币价格在 2020 年底上涨，进入盘整阶段，随后在 2021 年牛市期间爆发。

The parallels between those movements and Dogecoin’s current trajectory are very notable, with 2024’s Bitcoin halving earlier this year setting the stage for a similar cyclical pattern. As it stands, the Dogecoin price is now consolidating after a notable rally in October and November 2024, much like the 2020 movement.

这些走势与狗狗币当前轨迹之间的相似之处非常明显，今年早些时候 2024 年比特币减半为类似的周期性模式奠定了基础。目前来看，狗狗币价格在 2024 年 10 月和 11 月显着上涨后目前正在盘整，就像 2020 年的走势一样。

The Importance Of Closing Below $0.465 This Week

本周收盘价低于 0.465 美元的重要性

Although the current consolidation might be slowing down bullish sentiment, it might not be over yet. Crypto analyst Master Kenobi expects this consolidation to continue in order for the current Dogecoin price action to completely mirror that of the 2020/2021 movement, suggesting a repeat of 2021’s dramatic rally could occur by 2025.

尽管当前的盘整可能会减缓看涨情绪，但它可能还没有结束。加密货币分析师 Master Kenobi 预计这种整合将继续，以便当前狗狗币的价格走势完全反映 2020/2021 年的走势，这表明到 2025 年可能会重复 2021 年的大幅上涨。

To fully replicate its 2020-2021 cycle, Dogecoin needs to close this week in the red, with a price below $0.465. Particularly, the analyst noted that this is necessary for the Dogecoin price in order to continue healthy consolidation. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at $0.409, meaning it is well on track to close the week below $0.465.

为了完全复制 2020-2021 年的周期，狗狗币需要在本周以亏损收盘，价格低于 0.465 美元。该分析师特别指出，这对于狗狗币价格继续健康整合是必要的。截至撰写本文时，狗狗币价格为 0.409 美元，这意味着本周收盘价有望低于 0.465 美元。

If Dogecoin’s current price action continues to align with the patterns observed in 2020, it may be on track for another parabolic surge next year. In another technical analysis, Master Kenobi noted that the ongoing red week falls exactly 238 days after the last halving, perfectly aligning with the previous cycle.

如果狗狗币当前的价格走势继续与 2020 年观察到的模式保持一致，那么明年它可能会再次出现抛物线飙升。在另一项技术分析中，克诺比大师指出，当前的红色周正好是上一次减半后的 238 天，与上一个周期完全一致。

Based on this pattern, he predicts that a red weekly close will be followed by two consecutive green weeks, paving the way for a significant price surge to begin in the third week, around December 30th.

根据这一模式，他预测，红色周收盘之后将是连续两周绿色周，为第三周（12 月 30 日左右）开始的价格大幅上涨铺平道路。