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Dogecoin正在努力捍衛其0.15美元的支持水平,這個數字現在是一個關鍵的戰場。在短短的一周內,鯨魚卸下了超過5.7億個門多格,這表明情緒發生了重大轉變。這些大型持有人似乎正在失去信心,而用過的產出利潤率(SOPR)變成紅色,這意味著許多人虧本兌現。儘管銷量很高,但在一周中,Dogecoin的銷量僅下降了1.5%。小小的下降表明,購買的買方實力(從零售或中級持有者那裡)介入以捕獲下跌的價格。但是,這是捲土重來的開始還是只是休息之前,尚不清楚。
Dogecoin price has struggled to defend the $0.15 support—a number that’s now a key battleground. In just one week, whales offloaded over 570 million DOGE, signaling a major shift in sentiment.
Dogecoin Price一直在努力捍衛0.15美元的支持 - 這個數字現在是一個關鍵的戰場。在短短的一周內,鯨魚卸下了超過5.7億個門多格,這表明情緒發生了重大轉變。
These large holders appear to be losing faith, with the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) turning red, suggesting many are cashing out at a loss. Despite this heavy selling, DOGE has only dropped 1.5% over the week.
這些大型持有人似乎正在失去信心,而用過的產出利潤率(SOPR)變成紅色,這表明許多人正在虧本兌現。儘管銷量很高,但在一周中,多奇的銷量僅下降了1.5%。
This small decline suggests buy-side strength—likely from retail or mid-level holders—who are stepping in to catch the falling price. But whether this is the start of a comeback or just a break before further decline remains unclear.
這種小小的下降表明,購買方強度(從零售或中級持有者那裡)介入以捕獲下跌的價格。但是,這是捲土重來的開始還是只是休息之前,尚不清楚。
Dogecoin STHs Show Capitulation, 1-3 Month Cohort Drops
Dogecoin Sths表演投降,1-3個月的隊列滴滴
A deeper look at short-term holders (STHs) reveals even more signs of weakness. Back in January, the 1–3 month group held 17.47% of the total supply—one of the biggest cohorts during Dogecoin’s rally to $0.41.
對短期持有人(STH)的更深入研究揭示了更多的弱點跡象。早在一月份,這個1-3個月的小組持有總供應量的17.47%,這是Dogecoin集會期間最大的隊列之一,達到0.41美元。
Now, their holdings have fallen to just 6.5%, showing that many exited their positions after prices dropped. This drop is backed by a negative SOPR, which suggests that coins are being sold at a loss.
現在,他們的持股量僅下降到6.5%,表明許多人在價格下降後退出了頭寸。該下降是由負SOPR支持的,這表明硬幣正在虧本出售。
Such actions indicate panic and loss of confidence among those who bought during the hype. These sell-offs have weakened Dogecoin’s structure, putting more pressure on the $0.15 level and increasing the risk of a further dip.
這種行動表明在炒作期間購買的人的恐慌和信心喪失。這些拋售削弱了多黴素的結構,對0.15美元的水平施加了更大的壓力,並增加了進一步下降的風險。
At the same time, long-term holders (LTHs) are showing strong support, and they’ve actually increased their DOGE holdings. When Dogecoin spiked to $0.41 earlier this year, long-term investors began accumulating more.
同時,長期持有人(LTHS)表現出強烈的支持,他們實際上增加了他們的總督持有量。當Dogecoin今年早些時候飆升至0.41美元時,長期投資者開始積累更多。
Since then, the 1–2 year group has raised their stake from 28% to 32% of the supply, becoming the largest holder category.
從那以後,1 - 2年的小組將其股份從供應量增加到28%,成為最大的持有人類別。
At the same time, retail buyers are quietly absorbing the sell-side pressure. During the price retracement to $0.14, over 16 million DOGE flowed out of exchanges, a sign that buyers are still active.
同時,零售買家正在悄悄地吸收賣方壓力。在價格回溯到0.14美元的過程中,超過1600萬門的交易所從交易所流出,這表明買家仍然活躍。
Together, these groups are helping to steady the market, even as whales and short-term holders retreat.
這些群體共同幫助市場穩定,即使鯨魚和短期持有人撤退。
Can $0.15 Hold Or Will Dogecoin Crack?
$ 0.15可以持有還是會破壞狗果?
Dogecoin is now caught between strong hands and selling pressure. The $0.15 support zone is still holding, but barely.
Dogecoin現在被強大的手和銷售壓力陷入困境。 $ 0.15的支撐區仍在持有,但幾乎沒有。
The next move depends on whether retail and LTHs can absorb what’s left of the sell-side liquidity. Right now, DOGE’s price looks stable, but that could just be temporary.
下一步取決於零售和LTHS是否可以吸收賣方流動性剩下的東西。目前,Doge的價格看起來穩定,但這可能只是暫時的。
If buyers step in with enough strength, we might see a rebound. But if the selling continues, a drop to lower levels like $0.14 or even $0.12 is still possible.
如果買家能夠以足夠的力量介入,我們可能會看到反彈。但是,如果銷售繼續,仍然有可能下降到較低的水平,例如0.14美元甚至0.12美元。
Dogecoin’s fate rests on what happens next. Keep an eye on $0.15—because that line could decide everything.
Dogecoin的命運取決於接下來會發生的事情。請注意0.15美元 - 因為該線可以決定一切。
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