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Dogecoin正在努力捍卫其0.15美元的支持水平,这个数字现在是一个关键的战场。在短短的一周内,鲸鱼卸下了超过5.7亿个门多格,这表明情绪发生了重大转变。这些大型持有人似乎正在失去信心,而用过的产出利润率(SOPR)变成红色,这意味着许多人亏本兑现。尽管销量很高,但在一周中,Dogecoin的销量仅下降了1.5%。小小的下降表明,购买的买方实力(从零售或中级持有者那里)介入以捕获下跌的价格。但是,这是卷土重来的开始还是只是休息之前,尚不清楚。
Dogecoin price has struggled to defend the $0.15 support—a number that’s now a key battleground. In just one week, whales offloaded over 570 million DOGE, signaling a major shift in sentiment.
Dogecoin Price一直在努力捍卫0.15美元的支持 - 这个数字现在是一个关键的战场。在短短的一周内,鲸鱼卸下了超过5.7亿个门多格,这表明情绪发生了重大转变。
These large holders appear to be losing faith, with the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) turning red, suggesting many are cashing out at a loss. Despite this heavy selling, DOGE has only dropped 1.5% over the week.
这些大型持有人似乎正在失去信心,而用过的产出利润率(SOPR)变成红色,这表明许多人正在亏本兑现。尽管销量很高,但在一周中,多奇的销量仅下降了1.5%。
This small decline suggests buy-side strength—likely from retail or mid-level holders—who are stepping in to catch the falling price. But whether this is the start of a comeback or just a break before further decline remains unclear.
这种小小的下降表明,购买方强度(从零售或中级持有者那里)介入以捕获下跌的价格。但是,这是卷土重来的开始还是只是休息之前,尚不清楚。
Dogecoin STHs Show Capitulation, 1-3 Month Cohort Drops
Dogecoin Sths表演投降,1-3个月的队列滴滴
A deeper look at short-term holders (STHs) reveals even more signs of weakness. Back in January, the 1–3 month group held 17.47% of the total supply—one of the biggest cohorts during Dogecoin’s rally to $0.41.
对短期持有人(STH)的更深入研究揭示了更多的弱点迹象。早在一月份,这个1-3个月的小组持有总供应量的17.47%,这是Dogecoin集会期间最大的队列之一,达到0.41美元。
Now, their holdings have fallen to just 6.5%, showing that many exited their positions after prices dropped. This drop is backed by a negative SOPR, which suggests that coins are being sold at a loss.
现在,他们的持股量仅下降到6.5%,表明许多人在价格下降后退出了头寸。该下降是由负SOPR支持的,这表明硬币正在亏本出售。
Such actions indicate panic and loss of confidence among those who bought during the hype. These sell-offs have weakened Dogecoin’s structure, putting more pressure on the $0.15 level and increasing the risk of a further dip.
这种行动表明在炒作期间购买的人的恐慌和信心丧失。这些抛售削弱了多霉素的结构,对0.15美元的水平施加了更大的压力,并增加了进一步下降的风险。
At the same time, long-term holders (LTHs) are showing strong support, and they’ve actually increased their DOGE holdings. When Dogecoin spiked to $0.41 earlier this year, long-term investors began accumulating more.
同时,长期持有人(LTHS)表现出强烈的支持,他们实际上增加了他们的总督持有量。当Dogecoin今年早些时候飙升至0.41美元时,长期投资者开始积累更多。
Since then, the 1–2 year group has raised their stake from 28% to 32% of the supply, becoming the largest holder category.
从那以后,1 - 2年的小组将其股份从供应量增加到28%,成为最大的持有人类别。
At the same time, retail buyers are quietly absorbing the sell-side pressure. During the price retracement to $0.14, over 16 million DOGE flowed out of exchanges, a sign that buyers are still active.
同时,零售买家正在悄悄地吸收卖方压力。在价格回溯到0.14美元的过程中,超过1600万门的交易所从交易所流出,这表明买家仍然活跃。
Together, these groups are helping to steady the market, even as whales and short-term holders retreat.
这些群体共同帮助市场稳定,即使鲸鱼和短期持有人撤退。
Can $0.15 Hold Or Will Dogecoin Crack?
$ 0.15可以持有还是会破坏狗果?
Dogecoin is now caught between strong hands and selling pressure. The $0.15 support zone is still holding, but barely.
Dogecoin现在被强大的手和销售压力陷入困境。 $ 0.15的支撑区仍在持有,但几乎没有。
The next move depends on whether retail and LTHs can absorb what’s left of the sell-side liquidity. Right now, DOGE’s price looks stable, but that could just be temporary.
下一步取决于零售和LTHS是否可以吸收卖方流动性剩下的东西。目前,Doge的价格看起来稳定,但这可能只是暂时的。
If buyers step in with enough strength, we might see a rebound. But if the selling continues, a drop to lower levels like $0.14 or even $0.12 is still possible.
如果买家能够以足够的力量介入,我们可能会看到反弹。但是,如果销售继续,仍然有可能下降到较低的水平,例如0.14美元甚至0.12美元。
Dogecoin’s fate rests on what happens next. Keep an eye on $0.15—because that line could decide everything.
Dogecoin的命运取决于接下来会发生的事情。请注意0.15美元 - 因为该线可以决定一切。
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