Dogecoin（Doge）價格預測：歷史是否會重演並在第三季度2025年寄出Doge？

Dogecoin（Doge）是世界上最重要的模因硬幣，有望完成其七年來最不鐘錶的第一季度

Dogecoin (DOGE), the world’s foremost meme coin, is poised to register its most bearish first quarter in seven years, with an estimated quarterly loss of around 46%.

Dogecoin（Doge）是世界上最重要的模因硬幣，準備在七年來註冊其最不鐘錶的第一季度，估計季度損失約為46％。

This downturn has sparked speculation that Dogecoin may be replicating its 2018 price action, which saw it not only record its worst Q1 loss ever but also experience a stellar Q3 recovery from the year’s lows.

這種衰退引發了人們的猜測，即Dogecoin可能正在復制其2018年的價格行動，這不僅看到了有史以來最糟糕的第一季度損失，而且還從今年的低谷中獲得了出色的第三季度恢復。

Dogecoin’s performance in 2024. The meme coin is currently on track for its worst Q1 performance since 2018.

Dogecoin在2024年的表現。 MemeCoin目前以其自2018年以來最糟糕的第一季度表現而有條理。

According to data from CryptoRank, Dogecoin’s performance in Q1 2025 marks a significant departure from previous years. The last time DOGE recorded a Q1 loss was in 2022, but that was a relatively modest decline of 6.8%. In contrast, 2023 saw a gain of nearly 10%, and 2024 recorded an astonishing 147% increase during the same period.

根據Cryptorank的數據，Dogecoin在第一季度2025年的表現與往年有很大的不同。 Doge上次記錄了第1季度的損失是2022年，但相對較小的下降6.8％。相比之下，2023年的增長近10％，同期2024年的增長率為147％。

Many market participants started the year with high hopes for Dogecoin, as several analysts anticipated 2025 to mark the peak of its bull run. However, the price movement has yet to align with these optimistic projections.

許多市場參與者開始了對Dogecoin的高希望，這是幾位分析師預計2025年的牛頭峰。但是，價格變動尚未與這些樂觀的預測保持一致。

In January, DOGE closed with a minor gain of 4%. But February saw the meme coin plummet by 38.5%, and March has so far added to the losses with a 17.5% decline. This brings the total estimated loss for Q1 2025 to around 46%.

一月份，Doge以4％的少量收益結束。但是2月份的模因硬幣下降了38.5％，到目前為止，損失增加了17.5％。這使第1季度2025的總估計損失達到約46％。

Could Dogecoin Be Replicating 2018 Price Action?

Dogecoin可以復制2018年的價格行動嗎？

Historically, 2018 was the only year when Dogecoin recorded a worse Q1 performance, with a staggering loss of 68.8%. If DOGE follows the same pattern, it could experience a further downturn in Q2, similar to the 11.5% loss seen in Q2 2018.

從歷史上看，2018年是Dogecoin的唯一一年表現較差的第一季度表現，損失驚人的68.8％。如果Doge遵循相同的模式，它可能會在第二季度進一步下滑，類似於2018年第2季度的11.5％損失。

However, a silver lining remains—Dogecoin rebounded with an impressive 138% gain in Q3 of 2018. If history repeats itself, we could see a significant resurgence in Q3 of 2025, potentially erasing Q1 and Q2 losses.

然而，一線希望仍然存在 - dogecoin在2018年第三季度以令人印象深刻的138％的收益反彈。如果歷史自行重演，我們可以看到2025年第三季度的重大復興，可能會消除Q1和Q2損失。

Crypto analysts are divided on whether Dogecoin will follow its historical trajectory. Some expect to see a continuation of the bear market, while others believe a strong rally is still possible later this year.

加密分析師是否會遵循其歷史軌跡。有些人希望看到熊市的延續，而另一些人認為今年晚些時候仍然有可能進行強烈的集會。

Dogecoin Price Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels

Dogecoin價格分析：關鍵支持和阻力水平

Prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently noted that Dogecoin continues to hold above the lower boundary of an ascending channel, which has been in place since 2015.

著名的加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）最近指出，Dogecoin繼續佔據上升頻道的下邊界，該頻道自2015年以來一直存在。

As seen in the chart below, Martinez highlighted that if demand spikes at the current level, DOGE could rally toward the mid or upper range of the channel. His chart analysis suggests that the mid-range target sits at $4, while the upper boundary extends beyond $7.

如下圖所示，馬丁內斯強調說，如果需求在當前級別上峰值，則Doge可以朝向通道的中部或上範圍。他的圖表分析表明，中檔目標位於4美元，而上邊界則超過7美元。

Analyst Trader Tardigrade suggests that Dogecoin may have already found its bottom amid the recent market crash. He speculates that DOGE could follow historical fractals from September 2024, potentially leading to a bullish reversal.

分析師Trader Tardigrade提出，在最近的市場崩潰中，Dogecoin可能已經找到了其最低點。他推測，Doge可以從2024年9月開始跟隨歷史分形，這可能導致看漲的逆轉。

Another respected analyst, Mater Kenobi, supports this view, stating that DOGE could break out again in a manner similar to its September 2024 movement, which saw it surge from $0.36 to $0.76.

另一位受人尊敬的分析師Mater Kenobi支持了這一觀點，並指出，Doge可以以類似於2024年9月的運動的方式再次爆發，這使其從0.36美元上漲至0.76美元。

Analyst Predicts DOGE Could Hit $10 in 2025

分析師預測，Doge可能在2025年達到10美元

In a recent technical analysis of the monthly Dogecoin price chart, crypto analyst Dima Potts suggests that DOGE could be preparing for another parabolic rally.

加密分析師Dima Potts在最近對每月Dogecoin價格圖表的技術分析中表明，Doge可以為另一場拋物線集會做準備。

According to Potts, Dogecoin is known for its cycles of accumulation and parabolic trends. Historically, major price explosions tend to occur during the fourth year of each four-year cycle.

根據Potts的說法，Dogecoin以其積累和拋物線趨勢循環而聞名。從歷史上看，在每個四年周期的第四年中，主要的價格爆炸往往發生。

Sharing a monthly DOGE price chart using Heikin Ashi candlesticks, Potts highlights striking similarities in Dogecoin’s past movements in 2017 and 2021. During these bull market periods, DOGE experienced significant price surges.

Potts使用Heikin Ashi燭台共享每月的Doge價格圖表，突出了Dogecoin在2017年和2021年的過去運動中引起的相似之處。在這些牛市期間，Doge經歷了很大的價格飆升。

The analyst's chart uses curved green and red lines to denote the phases of accumulation and breakout. Vertical green lines mark the starting points of these explosive moves, aligning closely with Bitcoin’s post-halving price rallies.

分析師的圖表使用彎曲的綠色和紅線來表示積累和突破的階段。垂直綠線標誌著這些爆炸性動作的起點，與比特幣的備用後價格集會緊密相符。

According to Potts, if Dogecoin follows its past 37x growth pattern, it could close the daily candle on December 31, 2025, at an all-time high of $11.71. However, he suggests that $11.71 may not be the price peak of this market cycle.

根據Potts的說法，如果Dogecoin遵循其過去37倍的增長方式，它可能會在2025年12月31日以11.71美元的歷史高處關閉每日蠟燭。但是，他認為$ 11.71可能不是這個市場週期的價格峰值。

suggest that $11.71 may not be the price peak of this market cycle. According to Potts,

表明$ 11.71可能不是這個市場週期的價格高峰。根據Potts的說法

It’s worth noting that with every new cycle, Dogecoin’s price performance becomes even stronger. For instance, in 2017, DO

值得注意的是，每一個新的周期，Dogecoin的價格績效變得更加強勁。例如，在2017年做