Dogecoin（Doge）价格预测：历史是否会重演并在第三季度2025年寄出Doge？

Dogecoin（Doge）是世界上最重要的模因硬币，有望完成其七年来最不钟表的第一季度

Dogecoin (DOGE), the world’s foremost meme coin, is poised to register its most bearish first quarter in seven years, with an estimated quarterly loss of around 46%.

Dogecoin（Doge）是世界上最重要的模因硬币，准备在七年来注册其最不钟表的第一季度，估计季度损失约为46％。

This downturn has sparked speculation that Dogecoin may be replicating its 2018 price action, which saw it not only record its worst Q1 loss ever but also experience a stellar Q3 recovery from the year’s lows.

这种衰退引发了人们的猜测，即Dogecoin可能正在复制其2018年的价格行动，这不仅看到了有史以来最糟糕的第一季度损失，而且还从今年的低谷中获得了出色的第三季度恢复。

Dogecoin’s performance in 2024. The meme coin is currently on track for its worst Q1 performance since 2018.

Dogecoin在2024年的表现。MemeCoin目前以其自2018年以来最糟糕的第一季度表现而有条理。

According to data from CryptoRank, Dogecoin’s performance in Q1 2025 marks a significant departure from previous years. The last time DOGE recorded a Q1 loss was in 2022, but that was a relatively modest decline of 6.8%. In contrast, 2023 saw a gain of nearly 10%, and 2024 recorded an astonishing 147% increase during the same period.

根据Cryptorank的数据，Dogecoin在第一季度2025年的表现与往年有很大的不同。 Doge上次记录了第1季度的损失是2022年，但相对较小的下降6.8％。相比之下，2023年的增长近10％，同期2024年的增长率为147％。

Many market participants started the year with high hopes for Dogecoin, as several analysts anticipated 2025 to mark the peak of its bull run. However, the price movement has yet to align with these optimistic projections.

许多市场参与者开始了对Dogecoin的高希望，这是几位分析师预计2025年的牛头峰。但是，价格变动尚未与这些乐观的预测保持一致。

In January, DOGE closed with a minor gain of 4%. But February saw the meme coin plummet by 38.5%, and March has so far added to the losses with a 17.5% decline. This brings the total estimated loss for Q1 2025 to around 46%.

一月份，Doge以4％的少量收益结束。但是2月份的模因硬币下降了38.5％，到目前为止，损失增加了17.5％。这使第1季度2025的总估计损失达到约46％。

Could Dogecoin Be Replicating 2018 Price Action?

Dogecoin可以复制2018年的价格行动吗？

Historically, 2018 was the only year when Dogecoin recorded a worse Q1 performance, with a staggering loss of 68.8%. If DOGE follows the same pattern, it could experience a further downturn in Q2, similar to the 11.5% loss seen in Q2 2018.

从历史上看，2018年是Dogecoin的唯一一年表现较差的第一季度表现，损失惊人的68.8％。如果Doge遵循相同的模式，它可能会在第二季度进一步下滑，类似于2018年第2季度的11.5％损失。

However, a silver lining remains—Dogecoin rebounded with an impressive 138% gain in Q3 of 2018. If history repeats itself, we could see a significant resurgence in Q3 of 2025, potentially erasing Q1 and Q2 losses.

然而，一线希望仍然存在 - dogecoin在2018年第三季度以令人印象深刻的138％的收益反弹。如果历史自行重演，我们可以看到2025年第三季度的重大复兴，可能会消除Q1和Q2损失。

Crypto analysts are divided on whether Dogecoin will follow its historical trajectory. Some expect to see a continuation of the bear market, while others believe a strong rally is still possible later this year.

加密分析师是否会遵循其历史轨迹。有些人希望看到熊市的延续，而另一些人认为今年晚些时候仍然有可能进行强烈的集会。

Dogecoin Price Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels

Dogecoin价格分析：关键支持和阻力水平

Prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently noted that Dogecoin continues to hold above the lower boundary of an ascending channel, which has been in place since 2015.

著名的加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）最近指出，Dogecoin继续占据上升频道的下边界，该频道自2015年以来一直存在。

As seen in the chart below, Martinez highlighted that if demand spikes at the current level, DOGE could rally toward the mid or upper range of the channel. His chart analysis suggests that the mid-range target sits at $4, while the upper boundary extends beyond $7.

如下图所示，马丁内斯强调说，如果需求在当前级别上峰值，则Doge可以朝向通道的中部或上范围。他的图表分析表明，中档目标位于4美元，而上边界则超过7美元。

Analyst Trader Tardigrade suggests that Dogecoin may have already found its bottom amid the recent market crash. He speculates that DOGE could follow historical fractals from September 2024, potentially leading to a bullish reversal.

分析师Trader Tardigrade提出，在最近的市场崩溃中，Dogecoin可能已经找到了其最低点。他推测，Doge可以从2024年9月开始跟随历史分形，这可能导致看涨的逆转。

Another respected analyst, Mater Kenobi, supports this view, stating that DOGE could break out again in a manner similar to its September 2024 movement, which saw it surge from $0.36 to $0.76.

另一位受人尊敬的分析师Mater Kenobi支持了这一观点，并指出，Doge可以以类似于2024年9月的运动的方式再次爆发，这使其从0.36美元上涨至0.76美元。

Analyst Predicts DOGE Could Hit $10 in 2025

分析师预测，Doge可能在2025年达到10美元

In a recent technical analysis of the monthly Dogecoin price chart, crypto analyst Dima Potts suggests that DOGE could be preparing for another parabolic rally.

加密分析师Dima Potts在最近对每月Dogecoin价格图表的技术分析中表明，Doge可以为另一场抛物线集会做准备。

According to Potts, Dogecoin is known for its cycles of accumulation and parabolic trends. Historically, major price explosions tend to occur during the fourth year of each four-year cycle.

根据Potts的说法，Dogecoin以其积累和抛物线趋势循环而闻名。从历史上看，在每个四年周期的第四年中，主要的价格爆炸往往发生。

Sharing a monthly DOGE price chart using Heikin Ashi candlesticks, Potts highlights striking similarities in Dogecoin’s past movements in 2017 and 2021. During these bull market periods, DOGE experienced significant price surges.

Potts使用Heikin Ashi烛台共享每月的Doge价格图表，突出了Dogecoin在2017年和2021年的过去运动中引起的相似之处。在这些牛市期间，Doge经历了很大的价格飙升。

The analyst's chart uses curved green and red lines to denote the phases of accumulation and breakout. Vertical green lines mark the starting points of these explosive moves, aligning closely with Bitcoin’s post-halving price rallies.

分析师的图表使用弯曲的绿色和红线来表示积累和突破的阶段。垂直绿线标志着这些爆炸性动作的起点，与比特币的备用后价格集会紧密相符。

According to Potts, if Dogecoin follows its past 37x growth pattern, it could close the daily candle on December 31, 2025, at an all-time high of $11.71. However, he suggests that $11.71 may not be the price peak of this market cycle.

根据Potts的说法，如果Dogecoin遵循其过去37倍的增长方式，它可能会在2025年12月31日以11.71美元的历史高处关闭每日蜡烛。但是，他认为$ 11.71可能不是这个市场周期的价格峰值。

suggest that $11.71 may not be the price peak of this market cycle. According to Potts,

表明$ 11.71可能不是这个市场周期的价格高峰。根据Potts的说法

It’s worth noting that with every new cycle, Dogecoin’s price performance becomes even stronger. For instance, in 2017, DO

值得注意的是，每一个新的周期，Dogecoin的价格绩效变得更加强劲。例如，在2017年做