狗狗幣 (DOGE) 價格分析：NVT 比率暗示下降趨勢出現時潛在的高估

狗狗幣（DOGE）最近的價格走勢非常戲劇性，這種流行的迷因幣飆升至上個月的最高點之一，然後經歷了急劇逆轉。

Dogecoin’s recent price action has been dramatic, with the popular meme coin surging to one of its highest points in the last month before experiencing a sharp reversal. This volatility has left investors questioning how low the asset might drop if this bearish trend continues.

狗狗幣最近的價格走勢非常戲劇性，這種流行的迷因幣飆升至上個月的最高點之一，然後經歷了急劇逆轉。這種波動性讓投資人質疑，如果這種看跌趨勢持續下去，資產可能會跌至多低。

Analyzing DOGE’s price trend, the NVT (Network Value to Transaction) ratio, and overall market sentiment provides some insight into the potential direction of the coin in the coming days.

分析 DOGE 的價格趨勢、NVT（網路價值與交易）比率以及整體市場情緒，可以為該代幣未來幾天的潛在方向提供一些見解。

Price trend signals possible downtrend for Dogecoin

價格趨勢顯示狗狗幣可能呈下降趨勢

Dogecoin’s price chart shows a noticeable downtrend after its recent peak.

狗狗幣的價格圖表顯示，在最近的峰值之後出現了明顯的下降趨勢。

Following the bullish run that pushed it to a high of $0.17976, the asset has fallen back, trading near $0.15048 at the time of writing. This drop is accompanied by declining trading volume, suggesting that buying momentum has weakened.

在多頭市場將其推至 0.17976 美元高點之後，該資產已回落，截至撰寫本文時交易價格接近 0.15048 美元。這一下降伴隨著交易量的下降，顯示購買動力已經減弱。

The MACD indicator, which had recently shown bullish momentum, has started to flatten, indicating a potential shift toward bearish dominance.

最近顯示出看漲勢頭的 MACD 指標已開始趨於平緩，顯示可能轉向看跌主導地位。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

The RSI also hovers near the 56.63 mark, shifting from overbought levels. If this trend continues, Dogecoin could test the key support levels at the 0.382 ($0.14970) and 0.5 ($0.14042) Fibonacci retracement levels.

RSI 也徘徊在 56.63 附近，脫離超買水準。如果這種趨勢持續下去，狗狗幣可能會測試 0.382（0.14970 美元）和 0.5（0.14042 美元）斐波那契回檔位的關鍵支撐位。

Rising NVT ratio hints at potential Dogecoin overvaluation

NVT 比率上升暗示狗狗幣可能被高估

The Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio for Dogecoin has also been a crucial metric to observe. Historically, Dogecoin’s NVT ratio has had peaks and valleys, with higher peaks often correlating to market sell-offs.

狗狗幣的網路價值與交易（NVT）比率也是一個需要觀察的關鍵指標。從歷史上看，狗狗幣的 NVT 比率有過高峰和低谷，較高的高峰通常與市場拋售相關。

Source: Santiment

資料來源：Santiment

The recent spike in the NVT ratio indicates a possible overvaluation relative to the current transaction volume, which could signal a further price correction.

最近 NVT 比率的飆升表明相對於當前交易量可能存在高估，這可能預示著價格進一步調整。

A high NVT ratio can reflect an increased valuation without a corresponding rise in transaction volume, potentially highlighting investor speculation rather than organic network usage.

高 NVT 比率可以反映估值的增加，而交易量卻沒有相應增加，這可能凸顯投資者的投機行為，而不是有機的網路使用情況。

If this indicator continues to rise, it may suggest further downside risks for Dogecoin.

如果該指標持續上升，則可能表示狗狗幣有進一步下行風險。

Key levels to watch amidst bearish sentiment

看跌情緒中值得關注的關鍵水平

In addition to the support levels mentioned, traders are likely keeping a close eye on the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for Dogecoin, which sit around $0.12409 and $0.12724, respectively.

除了提到的支撐位之外，交易者可能會密切關注狗狗幣的 50 天和 200 天移動平均線，分別約為 0.12409 美元和 0.12724 美元。

A breakdown below these averages could trigger additional selling pressure, pushing DOGE to revisit the $0.12 range. Conversely, if DOGE can stabilize around the $0.15 level, it may signal that the recent downtrend is nearing exhaustion.

跌破這些平均值可能會引發額外的拋售壓力，推動 DOGE 重新回到 0.12 美元的區間。相反，如果DOGE能夠穩定在0.15美元附近，則可能預示著近期的下跌趨勢已接近耗盡。

Is your portfolio green? Check out the Dogecoin Profit Calculator

您的投資組合是綠色的嗎？查看狗狗幣利潤計算器

However, with the current market sentiment and the heightened NVT ratio, the downside appears more likely in the short term.

然而，鑑於當前的市場情緒和 NVT 比率的提高，短期內下行的可能性似乎更大。

Dogecoin’s recent price trend and elevated NVT ratio suggest a challenging road ahead. If bearish sentiment persists, Dogecoin may retest lower support levels before finding a stable ground.

狗狗幣最近的價格趨勢和 NVT 比率的上升表明未來的道路充滿挑戰。如果看跌情緒持續存在，狗狗幣可能會在找到穩定的基礎之前重新測試較低的支撐位。