狗狗幣與比特幣：哪個比較好？

狗狗幣今年的漲幅為 324%，超過了比特幣 107% 的回報率（BTC 1.65%）。展望未來，買哪一個比較好？

Dogecoin (CRYPTO:DOGE) has had an interesting 2024. The meme token started the year trading near its 52-week low, but news of Donald Trump's presidential campaign brought new attention to the token, sending it soaring.

狗狗幣(CRYPTO:DOGE) 度過了有趣的2024 年。 ，導致其飆升。

Dogecoin is now up more than 324% this year, easily beating the 107% return generated by Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC). So, which one is the better buy going forward?

狗狗幣今年的漲幅已超過 324%，輕鬆超過了比特幣 (CRYPTO:BTC) 107% 的回報率。那麼，哪一款是未來更好的選擇呢？

The Musk influence Throughout 2021, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk often shared Dogecoin-related memes on social media — particularly on X (NYSE:PARA) (formerly Twitter), which he now owns. He even called it his favorite cryptocurrency, which investors took as a crystal-clear endorsement.

馬斯克的影響力整個2021 年，特斯拉（納斯達克股票代碼：TSLA）執行長馬斯克（Elon Musk）經常在社群媒體上分享與狗狗幣相關的表情包，特別是在他現在擁有的X（NYSE：PARA）（以前的Twitter）上。他甚至稱之為他最喜歡的加密貨幣，投資者將其視為明確的認可。

Musk's influence over Dogecoin's price movements hit a fever pitch when he appeared on Saturday Night Live on May 8, 2021. Investors speculated that Musk would make an even bigger, more public proclamation of his support. As it turns out, he merely participated in a comedy skit — nothing of substance came from the event. Dogecoin immediately plunged, and it still hasn't reclaimed the all-time high it hit that weekend.

當馬斯克於2021 年5 月8 日出現在《週六夜現場》中時，他對狗狗幣價格走勢的影響力達到了巔峰。支持聲明。事實證明，他只是參加了一個喜劇短劇——這次活動沒有帶來任何實質內容。狗狗幣立即暴跌，但仍未收復週末創下的歷史新高。

To Musk's credit, he tried to add some utility to Dogecoin to help support its value. At the end of 2021, he announced that Tesla would accept the token as payment for certain items of merchandise. That didn't move the needle in terms of adoption, and its price continued to trend lower.

值得讚揚的是，馬斯克試圖為狗狗幣添加一些實用性，以幫助支持其價值。 2021 年底，他宣布特斯拉將接受代幣作為某些商品的付款方式。這並沒有對採用率產生任何影響，而且其價格繼續走低。

But Dogecoin appears to be back. Musk was a big financial backer of President-elect Trump's reelection campaign, and one of Trump's first post-election announcements was his intent to form a new entity called the "Department of Government Efficiency" — D.O.G.E for short — which appeared to be a reference to Musk's favorite cryptocurrency.

但狗狗幣似乎又回來了。馬斯克是當選總統川普連任競選活動的重要財政支持者，川普在選舉後的第一個公告就是他打算成立一個名為「政府效率部」（簡稱DOGE）的新實體，這似乎是一個參考馬斯克最喜歡的加密貨幣。

Musk will serve as the head of D.O.G.E alongside Vivek Ramaswamy. Shockingly, but not surprisingly, Dogecoin has more than doubled since Nov. 5, though there's no indication that the new initiative — which will not be an official government department — will have any tangible connection to the token.

馬斯克將與 Vivek Ramaswamy 一起擔任 DOGE 的負責人。令人震驚但並不奇怪的是，狗狗幣自11 月5 日以來已經上漲了一倍多，儘管沒有跡象表明這項新舉措（不是官方政府部門）將與該代幣有任何切實的聯繫。

Bitcoin has real tailwinds Many enthusiasts predict cryptocurrencies could eventually become a replacement for traditional money. Bitcoin, for example, is decentralized, so it can't be manipulated by any one person or government, and it's built on a reliable system of record called the blockchain. However, consumers and businesses haven't adopted Bitcoin in large enough numbers to give it real utility as a currency.

比特幣具有真正的優勢許多愛好者預測加密貨幣最終可能成為傳統貨幣的替代品。例如，比特幣是去中心化的，因此它不能被任何人或政府操縱，並且它建立在稱為區塊鏈的可靠記錄系統之上。然而，消費者和企業尚未大量採用比特幣，無法賦予其作為貨幣的真正實用性。

In fact, just 8,952 merchants accept Bitcoin as payment worldwide, according to Cryptwerk. That's far better than Dogecoin, which a mere 2,521 businesses are willing to accept, but if consumers can't spend their crypto on everyday goods and services, they don't have much reason to hold onto it. Without widespread adoption, it's very difficult for a currency to maintain value.

事實上，根據 Cryptwerk 的數據，全球只有 8,952 家商家接受比特幣作為支付方式。這比狗狗幣好得多，只有 2,521 家企業願意接受狗狗幣，但如果消費者無法將加密貨幣用於日常商品和服務，他們就沒有太多理由持有它。如果沒有廣泛採用，貨幣就很難保值。

There is a growing consensus that Bitcoin might serve better as a store of value rather than a currency, making it similar to gold. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved a number of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) this year, providing investors with a simple, regulated way to park money in the cryptocurrency.

人們越來越認識到，比特幣可能更適合作為一種價值儲存手段，而不是一種貨幣，這使得它類似於黃金。美國證券交易委員會今年批准了一批比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF），為投資者提供了一種簡單、受監管的方式將資金存放在加密貨幣中。

A single Bitcoin currently trades for around $92,000, but Cathie Wood's Ark Investment Management thinks that the price could soar as high as $1.48 million by 2030, based on eight potential use cases that could drive adoption.

目前單一比特幣的交易價格約為 92,000 美元，但 Cathie Wood 的 Ark Investment Management 認為，基於可能推動採用的八個潛在用例，到 2030 年，價格可能飆升至 148 萬美元。

Bitcoin becoming an accepted analogue of digital gold is one of those use cases, and Ark believes it will become a part of the asset base for institutional investors, which is a real possibility now that spot Bitcoin ETFs are widely available. Ark predicts companies — and even governments — could choose to hold Bitcoin in their reserves alongside traditional cash, a potential hedge against negative economic events like inflation.

比特幣成為公認的數位黃金類似物就是這些用例之一，Ark 相信它將成為機構投資者資產基礎的一部分，隨著現貨比特幣 ETF 的廣泛使用，這確實有可能。 Ark 預測，公司——甚至政府——可以選擇將比特幣與傳統現金一​​起作為儲備，作為對沖通膨等負面經濟事件的潛在對沖手段。

Interestingly, Trump has said he's open to the idea of creating a Bitcoin reserve for the U.S. government, which means the world's wealthiest nation could become an active buyer of the cryptocurrency.

有趣的是，川普表示，他對為美國政府建立比特幣儲備的想法持開放態度，這意味著世界上最富有的國家可能成為加密貨幣的積極買家。

Dogecoin investors should learn from what happened after 2021 Even though Dogecoin is sitting on triple the percentage gain of Bitcoin this year, it still hasn't touched its old peak. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to set new highs, and it has a clear case for further upside.

狗狗幣投資者應該從 2021 年之後發生的事情中吸取教訓 儘管狗狗幣今年的漲幅是比特幣的三倍，但它仍然沒有觸及以前的峰值。與此同時，比特幣繼續創下新高，並且有明顯的進一步上漲空間。

Dogecoin has little utility, and it doesn't have the support of institutional investors or regulators. Therefore, it's merely a vehicle for speculation. Investors should learn from what happened the last time a speculative frenzy sent the token surging — it suffered a 92% decline over the following year because there were no fundamentals behind its momentum.

狗狗幣沒什麼用處，也沒有機構投資者或監管機構的支持。因此，它只是投機的一個工具。投資者應該吸取上次投機狂潮導致代幣飆升的教訓——第二年它下跌了 92%，因為其勢頭背後沒有基本面支撐。

As a result, Bitcoin is the better long-term buy

因此，比特幣是更好的長期購買選擇