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加密貨幣新聞文章

加密貨幣今天在有些令人困惑的工作報告之後移動得更高

2025/02/08 00:31

今天早上的就業報告最終導致了國庫收益率略有增加。比特幣是世界上最大的加密貨幣,徘徊在98,400美元左右

加密貨幣今天在有些令人困惑的工作報告之後移動得更高

Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies moved higher on Friday after a somewhat perplexing jobs report this morning that ultimately led to a slight increase in Treasury yields.

比特幣和其他重大加密貨幣在今天早上有一些令人困惑的工作報告後,週五提高了較高的狀態,最終導致了國庫收益率略有增加。

As of 11 a.m. ET, a few of the largest gainers among the top 10 tokens included XRP, which rose nearly 8.5%, followed by Ethereum, which gained about 3.5% from the late afternoon yesterday. Dogecoin and Avalanche also traded higher, up 4.5% and 3%, respectively. Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, hovered around $98,400.

截至美國東部時間上午11點,前十名代幣中最大的漲幅中有幾個,XRP上漲了近8.5%,其次是以太坊,比昨天下午的下午增長了約3.5%。 Dogecoin和Avalanche的交易也更高,分別增長了4.5%和3%。比特幣是世界上最大的加密貨幣,徘徊在98,400美元左右。

The monthly jobs report often can impact the entire market, including stocks and cryptocurrencies, because it provides investors with important data about the health of the economy and offers clues about inflation and how the Federal Reserve might proceed with interest rates.

每月就業報告通常會影響整個市場,包括股票和加密貨幣,因為它為投資者提供了有關經濟健康狀況的重要數據,並提供有關通貨膨脹以及美聯儲如何以利率進行的線索。

In January, the U.S. economy added 143,000 jobs on a seasonally adjusted basis, below the Dow Jones estimate of 169,000. However, the unemployment rate ticked lower to 4% and average hourly earnings rose 0.5% from the prior month, compared to 0.3% expected by economists. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised down the number of jobs added to the economy in the 12 months ending in March of 2024 by 589,000, a reminder that the data often changes, which is why investors should be cautious about reading too much into one report.

一月份,美國經濟以季節性調整的基礎增加了143,000個工作崗位,低於道瓊斯的估計值169,000。但是,失業率下降到4%,平均每小時收入比上個月增長0.5%,而經濟學家預期的預期為0.3%。美國勞工統計局還修改了截至2024年3月的12個月在經濟中增加的工作數量,提醒數據通常會發生變化,這就是為什麼投資者應該謹慎地將太多閱讀為一個報告。

At first glance, the 143,000 jobs added to the economy suggested some softening in the labor market, which could be perceived as bullish by investors looking for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. However, the lower unemployment number and strong average hourly earnings growth says the opposite.

乍一看,經濟增加了143,000個工作崗位,這表明勞動力市場有些軟化,這可以被尋求美聯儲降低利率的投資者認為是看漲的。但是,較低的失業人數和強勁的平均小時收入增長恰恰相反。

"The foundation of the labor market remains incredibly sturdy. Revisions to the past year's data may have rearranged a few rooms in the house, but they did not fundamentally change the structure," Cory Stahle, an economist at the Indeed Hiring Lab, wrote in a blog post after the report. "The data continue to give the Federal Reserve ample flexibility to take a measured approach to cutting rates as it engineers an economic soft landing."

“勞動力市場的基礎仍然非常堅固。過去一年數據的修訂可能已經重新排列了房屋中的幾個房間,但他們並沒有從根本上改變結構,”確實是招聘實驗室的經濟學家Cory Stahle寫道。報告之後的博客文章。 “數據繼續為美聯儲提供了足夠的靈活性,以採取一種測量的方法來削減費率,因為它正在設計經濟軟化。”

The report didn't seem to change investors' minds about the trajectory of rate cuts. The majority of traders using 30-day futures to bet on the Fed's benchmark federal funds rate still see the earliest chance of a rate cut happening in June, with a slight majority only expecting one more rate cut in 2025. Keep in mind that these probabilities change daily.

該報告似乎並沒有改變投資者對降低稅率軌蹟的想法。大多數交易者使用30天期貨來押注美聯儲的基準聯邦資金利率仍然是6月發生降低降低的最早機會,而略有少數票只能在2025年降低一個稅率。請記住,請記住這些概率每天更改。

In more token-specific news, Chicago's CBOE Exchange yesterday filed four applications to the Securities and Exchange Commission asking for permission to trade spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for XRP. The four ETFs would come from WisdomTree, Bitwise, 21Shares, and Canary.

在更多特定於代幣的新聞中,芝加哥的CBOE Exchange昨天向美國證券交易委員會提交了四項申請,要求允許將XRP的現貨加密貨幣交易所資金(ETFS)交易。這四個ETF將來自WisdomTree,Bitwise,21shares和Canary。

I find most of this recent jobs data to support a healthy labor market and Treasury yields are higher, so it's a bit confusing to see crypto reacting so positively. Usually, the sector benefits from lower yields. Perhaps the prior revisions are seen as reason to believe that the economy is not as strong as the numbers show, and that there could be more rate cuts on the horizon.

我發現,最近的大部分工作數據都支持健康的勞動力市場,而財政部收益率更高,因此看到加密貨幣的反應如此積極,這有點令人困惑。通常,該行業受益於較低的收益。也許先前的修訂被視為認為經濟不像數字顯示的那樣強大,並且可能會削減更多的速度。

Ultimately, I like Ethereum as a long-term hold due to the widespread use of its network. XRP is intriguing due to its work with cross-border payments and several catalysts that could boost the token higher such as its own spot-crypto ETFs. However, due to its volatility, I'd recommend XRP as a smaller, speculative position. I currently have no interest in Dogecoin.

最終,由於廣泛使用其網絡,我喜歡以太坊作為長期持有。 XRP由於其跨境支付和幾種催化劑的工作而引人入勝,這些催化劑可能會提高令牌更高(例如其自己的斑點Crypto ETF)。但是,由於其波動性,我建議XRP作為較小的投機位置。我目前對Dogecoin不感興趣。

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