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今天早上的就业报告最终导致了国库收益率略有增加。比特币是世界上最大的加密货币,徘徊在98,400美元左右
Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies moved higher on Friday after a somewhat perplexing jobs report this morning that ultimately led to a slight increase in Treasury yields.
比特币和其他重大加密货币在今天早上有一些令人困惑的工作报告后,周五提高了较高的状态,最终导致了国库收益率略有增加。
As of 11 a.m. ET, a few of the largest gainers among the top 10 tokens included XRP, which rose nearly 8.5%, followed by Ethereum, which gained about 3.5% from the late afternoon yesterday. Dogecoin and Avalanche also traded higher, up 4.5% and 3%, respectively. Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, hovered around $98,400.
截至美国东部时间上午11点,前十名代币中最大的涨幅中有几个,XRP上涨了近8.5%,其次是以太坊,比昨天下午的下午增长了约3.5%。 Dogecoin和Avalanche的交易也更高,分别增长了4.5%和3%。比特币是世界上最大的加密货币,徘徊在98,400美元左右。
The monthly jobs report often can impact the entire market, including stocks and cryptocurrencies, because it provides investors with important data about the health of the economy and offers clues about inflation and how the Federal Reserve might proceed with interest rates.
每月就业报告通常会影响整个市场,包括股票和加密货币,因为它为投资者提供了有关经济健康状况的重要数据,并提供有关通货膨胀以及美联储如何以利率进行的线索。
In January, the U.S. economy added 143,000 jobs on a seasonally adjusted basis, below the Dow Jones estimate of 169,000. However, the unemployment rate ticked lower to 4% and average hourly earnings rose 0.5% from the prior month, compared to 0.3% expected by economists. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised down the number of jobs added to the economy in the 12 months ending in March of 2024 by 589,000, a reminder that the data often changes, which is why investors should be cautious about reading too much into one report.
一月份,美国经济以季节性调整的基础增加了143,000个工作岗位,低于道琼斯的估计值169,000。但是,失业率下降到4%,平均每小时收入比上个月增长0.5%,而经济学家预期的预期为0.3%。美国劳工统计局还修改了截至2024年3月的12个月在经济中增加的工作数量,提醒数据通常会发生变化,这就是为什么投资者应该谨慎地将太多阅读为一个报告。
At first glance, the 143,000 jobs added to the economy suggested some softening in the labor market, which could be perceived as bullish by investors looking for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. However, the lower unemployment number and strong average hourly earnings growth says the opposite.
乍一看,经济增加了143,000个工作岗位,这表明劳动力市场有些软化,这可以被寻求美联储降低利率的投资者认为是看涨的。但是,较低的失业人数和强劲的平均小时收入增长恰恰相反。
"The foundation of the labor market remains incredibly sturdy. Revisions to the past year's data may have rearranged a few rooms in the house, but they did not fundamentally change the structure," Cory Stahle, an economist at the Indeed Hiring Lab, wrote in a blog post after the report. "The data continue to give the Federal Reserve ample flexibility to take a measured approach to cutting rates as it engineers an economic soft landing."
“劳动力市场的基础仍然非常坚固。过去一年数据的修订可能已经重新排列了房屋中的几个房间,但他们并没有从根本上改变结构,”确实是招聘实验室的经济学家Cory Stahle写道。报告之后的博客文章。 “数据继续为美联储提供了足够的灵活性,以采取一种测量的方法来削减费率,因为它正在设计经济软化。”
The report didn't seem to change investors' minds about the trajectory of rate cuts. The majority of traders using 30-day futures to bet on the Fed's benchmark federal funds rate still see the earliest chance of a rate cut happening in June, with a slight majority only expecting one more rate cut in 2025. Keep in mind that these probabilities change daily.
该报告似乎并没有改变投资者对降低税率轨迹的想法。大多数交易者使用30天期货来押注美联储的基准联邦资金利率仍然是6月发生降低降低的最早机会,而略有少数票只能在2025年降低一个税率。请记住,请记住这些概率每天更改。
In more token-specific news, Chicago's CBOE Exchange yesterday filed four applications to the Securities and Exchange Commission asking for permission to trade spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for XRP. The four ETFs would come from WisdomTree, Bitwise, 21Shares, and Canary.
在更多特定于代币的新闻中,芝加哥的CBOE Exchange昨天向美国证券交易委员会提交了四项申请,要求允许将XRP的现货加密货币交易所资金(ETFS)交易。这四个ETF将来自WisdomTree,Bitwise,21shares和Canary。
I find most of this recent jobs data to support a healthy labor market and Treasury yields are higher, so it's a bit confusing to see crypto reacting so positively. Usually, the sector benefits from lower yields. Perhaps the prior revisions are seen as reason to believe that the economy is not as strong as the numbers show, and that there could be more rate cuts on the horizon.
我发现,最近的大部分工作数据都支持健康的劳动力市场,而财政部收益率更高,因此看到加密货币的反应如此积极,这有点令人困惑。通常,该行业受益于较低的收益。也许先前的修订被视为认为经济不像数字显示的那样强大,并且可能会削减更多的速度。
Ultimately, I like Ethereum as a long-term hold due to the widespread use of its network. XRP is intriguing due to its work with cross-border payments and several catalysts that could boost the token higher such as its own spot-crypto ETFs. However, due to its volatility, I'd recommend XRP as a smaller, speculative position. I currently have no interest in Dogecoin.
最终,由于广泛使用其网络,我喜欢以太坊作为长期持有。 XRP由于其跨境支付的工作而引人入胜,并且几种催化剂可能会提高令牌更高的速度,例如其自己的Spot-Crypto ETF。但是,由于其波动性,我建议XRP作为较小的投机位置。我目前对Dogecoin不感兴趣。
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