加密貨幣市場暴跌：比特幣的大幅回檔引發了與過去熊市的比較

過去幾天，加密貨幣市場大幅下跌，比特幣跌至 6 萬美元，山寨幣也緊跟在後。然而，分析師認為這些回調是正常的，因為比特幣在歷史上曾在先前的減半之前進行調整。著名交易商 Rekt Capital 指出，自熊市底部以來，比特幣也表現出了類似的回撤模式，而比特幣分析師 CryptoCon 對長期前景仍持樂觀態度，預測 2024 年 12 月將出現週期頂部。

Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market Experience Significant Declines in Recent Days

比特幣和加密貨幣市場近幾天大幅下跌

Over the past several days, the cryptocurrency market has been characterized by substantial losses, with Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies experiencing a sharp downturn.

過去幾天，加密貨幣市場呈現大幅虧損的特點，比特幣（BTC）等主要加密貨幣經歷了大幅下滑。

Bitcoin's Retraces and Recoveries

比特幣的回調和恢復

BTC, the leading cryptocurrency, initially plunged towards $60,000 before recovering some losses. However, it subsequently resumed its decline, resulting in a significant loss of value. The price action has drawn comparisons to previous bear market cycles, with renowned trader Rekt Capital noting that Bitcoin has exhibited similar retracement patterns. Notably, these patterns have included a 20% decline and, on one occasion, an 18% retracement.

領先的加密貨幣 BTC 最初暴跌至 60,000 美元，然後收復了部分損失。然而，隨後又恢復下跌，導致價值大幅損失。這次價格走勢與先前的熊市週期進行了比較，著名交易商 Rekt Capital 指出，比特幣也表現出了類似的回檔模式。值得注意的是，這些模式包括 20% 的下跌，並且有一次出現 18% 的回撤。

Current Pullback Reflects Historical Trends

當前的回檔反映了歷史趨勢

Rekt Capital has estimated that the current Bitcoin pullback stands at approximately 16%, nearly matching the lows of the -18% retracement witnessed in March of this year. Historically, these pullbacks have been followed by significant price surges, providing some optimism for investors.

Rekt Capital 估計，目前比特幣的回檔幅度約為 16%，幾乎與今年 3 月 -18% 回檔的低點持平。從歷史上看，這些回調之後都會出現價格大幅上漲，這給投資者帶來了一些樂觀情緒。

Shifting Market Dynamics

不斷變化的市場動態

Crypto investor Trader Tardigrade has observed that Bitcoin is currently undergoing a routine market move. According to Tardigrade, shakeouts have occurred multiple times since the start of the 2024 cycle, with each episode followed by a subsequent price increase.

加密貨幣投資者交易員 Tardigrade 觀察到，比特幣目前正在經歷常規的市場趨勢。據 Tardigrade 稱，自 2024 年周期開始以來，震盪已發生多次，每次震盪後都會出現價格上漲。

Optimistic Outlook for Bitcoin's Long-Term Trajectory

對比特幣長期軌跡的樂觀展望

Despite the recent declines, renowned Bitcoin analyst CryptoCon has expressed a positive outlook regarding the cryptocurrency's long-term prospects. CryptoCon asserts that Bitcoin remains on track for a cycle top projected for December 2024, despite certain metrics indicating potential overheating. This view is supported by historical precedents, as Bitcoin has typically corrected its price ahead of previous halvings.

儘管最近出現下跌，但著名的比特幣分析師 CryptoCon 對加密貨幣的長期前景表示了積極的展望。 CryptoCon 斷言，儘管某些指標表明比特幣可能會出現過熱，但比特幣仍有望在 2024 年 12 月達到週期頂部。這種觀點得到了歷史先例的支持，因為比特幣通常會在先前的減半之前修正其價格。

Analysts' Consensus

分析師共識

The consensus among analysts and market observers is that the current pullbacks are not unexpected. History shows that BTC has undergone similar corrections before previous halvings, suggesting that the current decline may be a normal part of the market cycle.

分析師和市場觀察家的共識是，當前的回檔並不令人意外。歷史表明，比特幣在先前的減半之前也經歷過類似的調整，這表明當前的下跌可能是市場週期的正常部分。