加密货币市场暴跌：比特币的大幅回调引发了与过去熊市的比较

过去几天，加密货币市场大幅下跌，比特币跌至 6 万美元，山寨币也紧随其后。然而，分析师认为这些回调是正常的，因为比特币在历史上曾在之前的减半之前进行过调整。著名交易商 Rekt Capital 指出，自熊市底部以来，比特币也表现出了类似的回撤模式，而比特币分析师 CryptoCon 对长期前景仍持乐观态度，预测 2024 年 12 月将出现周期顶部。

Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market Experience Significant Declines in Recent Days

比特币和加密货币市场近几天大幅下跌

Over the past several days, the cryptocurrency market has been characterized by substantial losses, with Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies experiencing a sharp downturn.

过去几天，加密货币市场呈现大幅亏损的特点，比特币（BTC）等主要加密货币经历了大幅下滑。

Bitcoin's Retraces and Recoveries

比特币的回调和恢复

BTC, the leading cryptocurrency, initially plunged towards $60,000 before recovering some losses. However, it subsequently resumed its decline, resulting in a significant loss of value. The price action has drawn comparisons to previous bear market cycles, with renowned trader Rekt Capital noting that Bitcoin has exhibited similar retracement patterns. Notably, these patterns have included a 20% decline and, on one occasion, an 18% retracement.

领先的加密货币 BTC 最初暴跌至 60,000 美元，然后收复了部分损失。然而，其随后又恢复下跌，导致价值大幅损失。此次价格走势与之前的熊市周期进行了比较，著名交易商 Rekt Capital 指出，比特币也表现出了类似的回调模式。值得注意的是，这些模式包括 20% 的下跌，并且有一次出现 18% 的回撤。

Current Pullback Reflects Historical Trends

当前的回调反映了历史趋势

Rekt Capital has estimated that the current Bitcoin pullback stands at approximately 16%, nearly matching the lows of the -18% retracement witnessed in March of this year. Historically, these pullbacks have been followed by significant price surges, providing some optimism for investors.

Rekt Capital 估计，目前比特币的回调幅度约为 16%，几乎与今年 3 月份 -18% 回调的低点持平。从历史上看，这些回调之后都会出现价格大幅上涨，这给投资者带来了一些乐观情绪。

Shifting Market Dynamics

不断变化的市场动态

Crypto investor Trader Tardigrade has observed that Bitcoin is currently undergoing a routine market move. According to Tardigrade, shakeouts have occurred multiple times since the start of the 2024 cycle, with each episode followed by a subsequent price increase.

加密货币投资者交易员 Tardigrade 观察到，比特币目前正在经历常规的市场走势。据 Tardigrade 称，自 2024 年周期开始以来，震荡已发生多次，每次震荡后都会出现价格上涨。

Optimistic Outlook for Bitcoin's Long-Term Trajectory

对比特币长期轨迹的乐观展望

Despite the recent declines, renowned Bitcoin analyst CryptoCon has expressed a positive outlook regarding the cryptocurrency's long-term prospects. CryptoCon asserts that Bitcoin remains on track for a cycle top projected for December 2024, despite certain metrics indicating potential overheating. This view is supported by historical precedents, as Bitcoin has typically corrected its price ahead of previous halvings.

尽管最近出现下跌，但著名的比特币分析师 CryptoCon 对加密货币的长期前景表示了积极的展望。 CryptoCon 断言，尽管某些指标表明比特币可能出现过热，但比特币仍有望在 2024 年 12 月达到周期顶部。这种观点得到了历史先例的支持，因为比特币通常会在之前的减半之前修正其价格。

Analysts' Consensus

分析师共识

The consensus among analysts and market observers is that the current pullbacks are not unexpected. History shows that BTC has undergone similar corrections before previous halvings, suggesting that the current decline may be a normal part of the market cycle.

分析师和市场观察人士的共识是，当前的回调并不意外。历史表明，比特币在之前的减半之前也经历过类似的调整，这表明当前的下跌可能是市场周期的正常部分。