Crypto Market Nearing Bull Cycle Peak, Market Analysts Suggest Caution

Yerevan (CoinChapter.com) — The cryptocurrency market is entering the later stages of its current bull cycle, according to CryptoQuant. Analysts are advised to be cautious as key indicators suggest a potential cyclical peak by early 2025.

Bull Market Timing: Peak Expected by Q1 or Q2 2025

The bull market, which began in Jan. 2023, is expected to hit its peak between the first and second quarters of 2025, according to Crypto Dan, a contributor at CryptoQuant. The analysis highlights increased investment activity from both new and existing participants, suggesting the market is nearing the end of its cycle.

“With a substantial influx of new investments as well as additional funds from existing investors, it is reasonable to expect that the market is now in the latter stages of this cycle,”

the post noted on Jan. 6.

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Metrics Show Market Trends

CryptoQuant data shows a spike in short-term Bitcoin holding patterns. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the percentage of Bitcoin (BTC) traded for less than one month rose to 36%, echoing patterns observed in previous bull market peaks.

The report indicates this ratio could continue rising, potentially doubling or quadrupling, before the market corrects during the transition to a bear cycle. CryptoQuant stresses the importance of risk management in such an environment.

“Expectations for substantial gains in both Bitcoin and altcoins should still be kept open,”

the post added.

“Nevertheless, from a conservative standpoint and with risk management in mind, caution is advised.”

Diverging Views on Market Trajectory

While CryptoQuant signals caution, other analysts have offered more optimistic forecasts. VanEck projects Bitcoin reaching $180,000 and Ethereum surpassing $6,000 by the end of 2025. Betting on a medium-term peak in Q1 2025, Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s head of digital asset research, also anticipates new all-time highs later in the year.

Betting platforms Polymarket and Kalshi also predict new record highs for Bitcoin and Ethereum in 202025. They further expect regulatory developments, including approvals for new crypto ETFs and a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the United States.