加密貨幣市場步履蹣跚：Layer-1 山寨幣分析

由於美國和亞洲市場情況不利，加密貨幣市場正在經歷拋售，比特幣跌破 63,000 美元，主要的第一層山寨幣突破了關鍵支撐位。調整階段為買家提供了折扣入場的機會，但山寨幣能否恢復還有待觀察。

Cryptocurrency Market Falters Amidst Global Market Turmoil: A Detailed Analysis of Layer-1 Altcoins

全球市場動盪中加密貨幣市場步履蹣跚：第一層山寨幣的詳細分析

Amidst widespread uncertainty gripping the global financial landscape, the cryptocurrency market has found itself on shaky ground, with Bitcoin (BTC), the industry's bellwether, plummeting below the $63,000 mark. This bearish sentiment has cascaded across the altcoin landscape, with layer-1 altcoins, the foundational building blocks of the blockchain ecosystem, bearing the brunt of the sell-off. This article delves into the intricacies of the current market dynamics and provides an in-depth analysis of several prominent layer-1 altcoins, examining their price trajectories, technical indicators, and potential recovery scenarios.

在全球金融格局普遍存在不確定性的情況下，加密貨幣市場已經岌岌可危，產業領頭羊比特幣 (BTC) 暴跌至 63,000 美元大關以下。這種看跌情緒已經蔓延到整個山寨幣領域，作為區塊鏈生態系統的基礎構建模組的第一層山寨幣首當其衝受到拋售。本文深入研究了當前市場動態的複雜性，並對幾種著名的第一層山寨幣進行了深入分析，研究了它們的價格軌跡、技術指標和潛在的復甦情景。

Ethereum: A Bearish Dive Amidst a Sea of Red

以太坊：紅海中的看跌跳水

As Bitcoin's price crumbled, Ethereum (ETH), the largest layer-1 altcoin, endured a sharp bearish plunge. The sell-off wave crashed through the psychologically significant $3,000 mark, signaling the possibility of further downward pressure. Ethereum's price action has breached the crucial 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), indicating a bearish trend. This technical indicator suggests a potential drop towards the ascending support trendline, which could lead to a decline below $3,000 and a retest of the $2,800 level.

隨著比特幣價格暴跌，最大的第一層山寨幣以太幣（ETH）經歷了急劇的下跌。拋售浪潮衝破了 3,000 美元的重要心理關卡，預示著進一步下行壓力的可能性。以太坊的價格走勢已經突破了關鍵的 50 天指數移動平均線（EMA），顯示看跌趨勢。該技術指標表明可能會跌向上升支撐趨勢線，這可能導致跌破 3,000 美元並重新測試 2,800 美元水準。

However, a glimmer of hope remains in the form of the support trendline. Historically, this level has acted as a barrier against excessive price declines, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. Therefore, a bounce back could propel Ethereum's price back to the $4,000 mark in the post-halving period.

然而，支撐趨勢線仍然存在一線希望。從歷史上看，這一水平一直是防止價格過度下跌的障礙，增加了逆轉的可能性。因此，反彈可能會推動以太坊價格在減半後重返 4,000 美元大關。

Binance Coin: Relative Resilience Amidst Market Mayhem

幣安幣：市場混亂中的相對彈性

Compared to its peers, Binance Coin (BNB) has exhibited relative resilience amidst the market downturn. The massive correction has shaved approximately 6% off BNB's value in the past two weeks, but it has managed to maintain a sideways trend. The 4-hour chart reveals a dip below the 50 and 200 EMA and a breach of a support trendline. Nevertheless, BNB has held above the psychologically important $500 level, hinting at a potential double-bottom reversal around $540.

與同行相比，幣安幣（BNB）在市場低迷時期表現出相對的韌性。過去兩週，大規模調整已使 BNB 的價值下跌約 6%，但仍保持橫盤趨勢。 4 小時圖顯示跌破 50 和 200 EMA 並突破支撐趨勢線。儘管如此，BNB 仍保持在 500 美元的重要心理關卡上方，暗示可能在 540 美元左右出現雙底反轉。

Optimistically, a reversal could drive BNB's price towards the $650 mark. The altcoin's strong fundamentals and the upcoming halving event provide a foundation for a potential upswing.

樂觀的是，逆轉可能會將 BNB 的價格推向 650 美元大關。山寨幣強勁的基本面和即將到來的減半事件為潛在的上漲奠定了基礎。

Solana: A Pullback of Epic Proportions

Solana：史詩般的回調

As one of the top-performing layer-1 altcoins in early 2024, Solana (SOL) has experienced a significant pullback. The price has fallen below the $150 mark and is inching towards $100. According to the Fibonacci retracement, the breakdown below the 50-day EMA has tested the 50% Fib level at $135. A further decline below this level could put the $100 mark and the 200-day EMA in jeopardy.

作為 2024 年初表現最好的 Layer-1 山寨幣之一，Solana (SOL) 經歷了大幅回檔。價格已跌破 150 美元大關，正向 100 美元逼近。根據斐波那契回撤，跌破 50 日均線已測試 135 美元的 50% 斐波那契水準。進一步跌破該水準可能會危及 100 美元大關和 200 日均線。

However, the psychological level of $100 is a confluence of multiple bullish catalysts, which could ignite a reversal. A bounce back at this level would present an exceptional dip-buying opportunity for sidelined traders. Furthermore, the highly anticipated post-halving rally could propel SOL's price higher, potentially reaching $250 within a few weeks.

然而，100 美元的心理水平是多種看漲催化劑的匯合，可能會引發逆轉。此水準的反彈將為觀望交易者提供絕佳的逢低買入機會。此外，備受期待的減半後反彈可能會推動 SOL 的價格走高，可能在幾週內達到 250 美元。

Avalanche: A Pivotal Moment on the Horizon

雪崩：地平線上的關鍵時刻

Before the market crash, the Avalanche (AVAX) network experienced impressive growth, with its price surging to $60. However, the downturn triggered a bearish momentum, resulting in a drop below $50. This decline has formed a falling channel pattern on the daily chart, with the price currently testing the 200-day EMA.

在市場崩盤之前，Avalanche (AVAX) 網路經歷了令人印象深刻的成長，其價格飆升至 60 美元。然而，經濟低迷引發了看跌勢頭，導致價格跌破 50 美元。此次下跌在日線圖上形成了下跌通道模式，目前價格正在測試 200 日均線。

Despite the crash, AVAX stands at a pivotal stage where a bounce back could be imminent. The strong support at $29 and the 200-day EMA provide a platform for a potential bull cycle. Breaking the $50 resistance level could lead to a surge towards $75.

儘管遭遇了暴跌，但 AVAX 仍處於關鍵階段，反彈可能迫在眉睫。 29 美元的強勁支撐和 200 日均線為潛在的牛市週期提供了平台。突破 50 美元阻力位可能會導致價格飆升至 75 美元。

Cardano: A Dip Below the Rubicon

卡爾達諾：跌破盧比孔河

Cardano (ADA) came agonizingly close to the psychological mark of $1 before encountering a swift dip that heralded a bearish cycle. Similar to other layer-1 altcoins, the broader market correction intensified ADA's pullback, resulting in a drop below $0.50. The immense overhead supply has breached the crucial 50 and 200 EMA and the long-established support trendline.

卡爾達諾 (ADA) 一度非常接近 1 美元的心理關口，隨後迅速下跌，預示著看跌週期的到來。與其他 Layer-1 山寨幣類似，更廣泛的市場調整加劇了 ADA 的回調，導致其跌破 0.50 美元。龐大的間接供應已經突破了關鍵的 50 和 200 EMA 以及長期建立的支撐趨勢線。

As ADA trades below $0.50, buyers are attempting to find support at the $0.46 demand zone. A successful reversal would reclaim the $0.50 level and potentially test the $0.67 mark.

由於 ADA 交易價格低於 0.50 美元，買家試圖在 0.46 美元的需求區域尋找支撐。如果成功反轉，將重新回到 0.50 美元的水平，並可能測試 0.67 美元的關卡。

Conclusion: A Symphony of Potential Reversal Opportunities

結論：潛在逆轉機會的交響曲

As the overall market undergoes a correction, some layer-1 altcoins present immediate reversal opportunities, while others are yet to reach their next crucial demand level to establish a solid foundation for recovery. Nonetheless, theongoing market volatility has created a wave of correction, offering a window of opportunity for investors to accumulate assets at a discount.

隨著整體市場經歷調整，一些第一層山寨幣呈現立即逆轉的機會，而另一些則尚未達到下一個關鍵需求水平，無法為復甦奠定堅實的基礎。儘管如此，持續的市場波動引發了一波調整，為投資者提供了折扣累積資產的機會。

While the current market landscape may appear uncertain, the underlying fundamentals of these layer-1 altcoins remain strong. The upcoming halving events for Ethereum and Binance Coin could act as a catalyst for a bullish resurgence. Additionally, the ongoing development and adoption of these blockchain platforms provide a long-term perspective of growth potential.

儘管當前的市場格局可能顯得不確定，但這些第一層山寨幣的基本面仍然強勁。即將到來的以太坊和幣安幣減半事件可能會成為看漲復甦的催化劑。此外，這些區塊鏈平台的持續開發和採用提供了成長潛力的長期前景。

Therefore, investors should approach this market correction with a discerning eye, carefully evaluating the individual characteristics and technical indicators of each altcoin to identify the most promising opportunities for capital appreciation.

因此，投資人應該以敏銳的眼光對待這次市場調整，仔細評估每種山寨幣的個人特徵和技術指標，以確定最有希望的資本增值機會。