加密分析師圖表Guy（@ChartingGuy）已發表了關於Dogecoin的警告說明

加密分析師圖表Guy（@ChartingGuy）已發表了關於Dogecoin的警告說明，暗示他將出售Meme Coin，如果某些斐波那契反回接頭水平未能打破

Crypto analyst Charting Guy is putting Charting Guy’s own bullish Dogecoin (DOGE) theory to the test, warning that he will sell the meme coin if certain Fibonacci retracement levels fail to break in the coming months.

Crypto分析師圖表Guy正在將蓋伊（Guy）自己的看漲狗狗（Doge）理論放在測試中，警告說，如果在未來幾個月內某些斐波那契回撤水平未破壞，他將出售模因硬幣。

His statement comes as Dogecoin is trading around $0.20, according to the shared weekly chart on TradingView, showing a steep –14.94% weekly change.

根據TradingView的共享每週圖表，他的聲明是Dogecoin的交易約為0.20美元，顯示每週的幅度為–14.94％。

A series of key Fibonacci retracements run from 0.0 up to 1.618 at approximately $4.13. Notable lines include the 0.382 Fib around $0.1397, the 0.50 Fib just above $0.1997 (near current price), the 0.618 Fib near $0.2677, the 0.702 Fib around $0.33, the 0.786 Fib around $0.43, and the 1.0 Fib near $0.76.

一系列關鍵的斐波那契回曲從0.0到1.618，約為4.13美元。值得注意的線包括0.382 FIB約0.1397美元，0.50 FIB略高於$ 0.1997（接近當前價格），0.618 FIB接近$ 0.2677，0.702 FIB約0.33美元，0.786 fib，0.786 FIB約0.43美元，約為0.43美元和1.0 fib近0.76美元。

Charting Guy says that if DOGE “comes back and hits the 0.702 or 0.786 fib over the next few months and can’t break it,” then he plans to “sell majority if not all of bag.” He adds that his personal thesis calls for a major top in late April or early May, regardless of whether prices reach $0.30, $0.40, or even $1.00.

蓋伊·蓋伊（Charting Guy）說，如果Doge“回來並在接下來的幾個月中擊中0.702或0.786 FIB，無法打破它”，那麼他計劃“出售多數票，如果不是全部袋子”。他補充說，他的個人論文要求4月下旬或5月初的主要頂級，無論價格是否達到0.30美元，0.40美元，甚至1.00美元。

“Yes, this invalidates my bullish DOGE charts but I was going to sell anyways whether it’s at $0.30 or $1 late April,” Charting Guy said. He also notes a “key low” potentially landing in March 2026, adding that he “can’t make that up.”

“是的，這使我的看漲教堂圖表無效，但無論如何我都會出售4月下旬的$ 0.30還是1美元，” Charting Guy說。他還指出，2026年3月的“關鍵低”潛在著陸，並補充說他“無法彌補”。

Part of this analysis involves a potential repetition of what Tony “The Bull” Severino (@tonythebullBTC) calls the “XRP 2021 fractal,” where XRP remained largely range-bound and failed to push to new all-time highs during its specific cycle phase.

該分析的一部分涉及對Tony“ The Bull” Severino（@TonyTheBullBTC）稱之為“ XRP 2021 Fractal”的潛在重複，其中XRP在很大程度上保持了範圍，並且在其特定週期階段未能將其推向新的歷史高位。

According to Severino, “Dogecoin continues to follow the XRP 2021 fractal.” He originally drew parallels last October, warning that DOGE might “pull an XRP this cycle,” showing how XRP traded pretty much sideways at a similar point in its market cycle. However, analyst Sun (@Sunfire1126) objects, saying that Dogecoin isn’t specifically mimicking XRP. Sun adds that “most coins have done this move so far,” and includes other altcoins such as ADA and HBAR, both of which have stalled around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement or lower.

根據Severino的說法，“ Dogecoin繼續遵循XRP 2021分形。”他最初在去年10月吸引了相似之處，警告說，Doge可能會“在這個週期中拉動XRP”，顯示了XRP在其市場週期的類似點上幾乎側面交易的方式。但是，分析師Sun（@Sunfire1126）對像說，Dogecoin並沒有特別模仿XRP。 Sun補充說：“大多數硬幣已經完成了這一舉動，”包括ADA和HBAR等其他Altcoins，它們都停在0.618 fibonacci回收期或更低。

Charting Guy says he remains “open to the idea of it breaking” higher but is equally open to “another rejection.” Should the price fail at $0.33 (0.702 Fib) or $0.43 (0.786 Fib) by late April, then he confirms his plan to exit the market.

圖表蓋伊說，他仍然“對破裂的想法開放”，但同樣對“另一種拒絕”開放。如果價格在4月下旬的價格為0.33美元（0.702 FIB）或0.43美元（0.786 FIB），那麼他確認他的計劃退出市場。

When one user suggested he had turned bearish, Charting Guy responded: “No, if you learned to read, I plan on selling end of April whether this scenario plays out and it only gets to $0.30/$0.40, or whether my bullish scenarios play out and it makes a higher high.”

當一位用戶建議他變成看跌時，蓋伊回答說：“不，如果您學會了閱讀，我計劃在4月底銷售這種情況，無論這種情況都可以播放，並且只能達到0.30 $ 0.30/$ 0.40，或者我的看漲場景是否播放並且會佔高高。”

The shift in tone from Charting Guy is especially notable, as only two months ago he remained largely bullish on DOGE. In early January, he highlighted a wick down to $0.26—the 0.618 Fib—calling it an ideal buying opportunity.

從圖表的人那裡的語氣轉變尤其值得注意，因為僅兩個月前，他在大多數情況下仍然看漲。 1月初，他強調了一個燈芯下降到0.26美元（0.618 Fib），這是一個理想的購買機會。

Back then, he believed DOGE would avoid revisiting that zone and was “finally ready” for a next leg up, with $1 as a “minimum target” and $4 as the highest. Since then, however, DOGE has stalled under $0.30, and Charting Guy now leans on Fibonacci hurdles—$0.33 and $0.43—as the deciding factors on whether he will exit his position by late April or early May.

那時，他認為Doge會避免重新審視該區域，並“最終準備好”下一個腿，其中1美元是“最低目標”，最高為4美元。但是，從那以後，Doge的停滯不見的價格低於0.30美元，而排行榜的Guy現在依靠斐波那契障礙（0.33美元和0.43美元），這是他是否將在4月下旬還是5月初退出職位的決定因素。