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著名金融專家 Raoul Pal 預測,加密貨幣將被大規模採用,甚至超過網路。 Pal 根據活躍錢包位址和 IP 位址計算採用率,估計目前約有 5.5 億人使用加密貨幣。他認為整個金融體系將過渡到“代幣化軌道”,並預計該行業的市值在牛市週期期間將飆升至 12 兆美元,到 3032 週期結束時將飆升至 100 萬億美元。
Expert Raoul Pal Forecasts Exponential Crypto Adoption, Predicting a User Base of One Billion by 2025
專家 Raoul Pal 預測加密貨幣採用呈指數級增長,預計到 2025 年用戶群將達到 10 億
Renowned Financial Analyst Raoul Pal, Co-founder and CEO of Real Vision, has shared his bullish outlook on the future of cryptocurrencies, predicting a surge in their adoption rates that will eclipse even the rapid growth of the internet.
Real Vision 聯合創始人兼首席執行官、著名金融分析師 Raoul Pal 分享了他對加密貨幣未來的樂觀前景,並預測加密貨幣採用率的飆升甚至將超越互聯網的快速增長。
Global Crypto Adoption on the Rise
全球加密貨幣採用率不斷上升
During a recent appearance on the Bankless YouTube channel, Pal elaborated on his earlier Twitter post in which he asserted that crypto adoption was outpacing internet adoption by a factor of two. He explained that this calculation takes into account the number of active wallet addresses for cryptocurrencies versus the number of IP addresses for the internet.
最近在 Bankless YouTube 頻道上露面時,Pal 詳細闡述了他之前的 Twitter 帖子,其中他聲稱加密貨幣的採用速度是互聯網採用速度的兩倍。他解釋說,這項計算考慮了加密貨幣的活躍錢包位址數量與網路 IP 位址的數量。
Current Cryptocurrency User Base and Future Projections
目前的加密貨幣用戶群和未來預測
Pal estimates that there are currently approximately 550 million cryptocurrency users worldwide. However, he believes this figure represents a "midcurve" and that the number of active wallet addresses should be used instead of the broader category of crypto users.
Pal 估計,目前全球約有 5.5 億加密貨幣用戶。然而,他認為這個數字代表了“中曲線”,應該使用活躍錢包位址的數量,而不是更廣泛的加密用戶類別。
Looking ahead, Pal predicts that crypto adoption will continue to accelerate, reaching one billion users by the end of 2025. He also envisions the overall market capitalization of the cryptocurrency industry soaring to $12 trillion during the current bull cycle and eventually hitting $100 trillion by the end of the 2032 cycle.
展望未來,Pal 預測加密貨幣的採用將繼續加速,到2025 年底用戶將達到10 億。 2025 年達到100 兆美元。
Adoption as a Bullish Indicator for Cryptocurrencies
採用作為加密貨幣的看漲指標
Pal emphasized that the adoption rate of cryptocurrencies is a key indicator of their future performance. He cited the example of Solana (SOL), which experienced a meteoric rise to new all-time highs during the 2021 bull run. This surge was largely driven by the rapid adoption of Solana by investors and users within the cryptocurrency community.
帕爾強調,加密貨幣的採用率是未來表現的關鍵指標。他引用了 Solana (SOL) 的例子,該公司在 2021 年牛市期間迅速上漲至歷史新高。這一激增主要是由於加密貨幣社群內的投資者和用戶迅速採用 Solana。
Potential Altcoin Candidates for the Next Bull Run
下一次多頭市場的潛在山寨幣候選者
Pal acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding which altcoins might lead the next bull run but highlighted that cryptocurrencies with the highest adoption rates are strong contenders. He identified Sui (SUI), Aptos (APT), and Cosmos (ATOM) as potential candidates for such a run.
帕爾承認哪些山寨幣可能引領下一輪牛市存在不確定性,但強調採用率最高的加密貨幣是強有力的競爭者。他認為 Sui (SUI)、Aptos (APT) 和 Cosmos (ATOM) 是此次競選的潛在候選人。
Market Transition into Altcoin Season
市場過渡到山寨幣季節
Pal also discussed the current market dynamics, suggesting that the cryptocurrency market is transitioning into its summer period. During this time, Bitcoin is expected to continue its upward trajectory, reaching new highs before its overall dominance wanes. This shift typically signals the onset of altcoin season, when altcoins typically experience significant price increases.
帕爾也討論了當前的市場動態,表明加密貨幣市場正在過渡到夏季。在此期間,比特幣預計將繼續其上升軌跡,在其整體主導地位減弱之前達到新高。這種轉變通常標誌著山寨幣季節的開始,此時山寨幣通常會經歷顯著的價格上漲。
Conclusion
結論
Raoul Pal's optimistic outlook on the future of cryptocurrencies stems from his belief in their increasing adoption rates and the fundamental shift within the financial system towards "tokenized rails." While the path to broader adoption may require time and the further maturation of the cryptocurrency sector, Pal remains confident in the long-term prospects of digital assets.
Raoul Pal 對加密貨幣未來的樂觀前景源於他對加密貨幣採用率不斷提高以及金融體係向「代幣化軌道」的根本轉變的信念。儘管更廣泛採用的道路可能需要時間和加密貨幣行業的進一步成熟,但帕爾對數位資產的長期前景仍然充滿信心。
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