加密货币采用呈爆炸式增长，超过互联网增长：Pal 预测到 2025 年用户将达到十亿

著名金融专家拉乌尔·帕尔 (Raoul Pal) 预测，加密货币将被大规模采用，甚至超过互联网。 Pal 根据活跃钱包地址和 IP 地址计算采用率，估计目前约有 5.5 亿人使用加密货币。他认为整个金融体系将过渡到“代币化轨道”，并预计该行业的市值在牛市周期期间将飙升至 12 万亿美元，到 3032 周期结束时将飙升至 100 万亿美元。

Expert Raoul Pal Forecasts Exponential Crypto Adoption, Predicting a User Base of One Billion by 2025

专家 Raoul Pal 预测加密货币采用呈指数级增长，预计到 2025 年用户群将达到 10 亿

Renowned Financial Analyst Raoul Pal, Co-founder and CEO of Real Vision, has shared his bullish outlook on the future of cryptocurrencies, predicting a surge in their adoption rates that will eclipse even the rapid growth of the internet.

Real Vision 联合创始人兼首席执行官、著名金融分析师 Raoul Pal 分享了他对加密货币未来的乐观前景，并预测加密货币采用率的飙升甚至将超越互联网的快速增长。

Global Crypto Adoption on the Rise

全球加密货币采用率不断上升

During a recent appearance on the Bankless YouTube channel, Pal elaborated on his earlier Twitter post in which he asserted that crypto adoption was outpacing internet adoption by a factor of two. He explained that this calculation takes into account the number of active wallet addresses for cryptocurrencies versus the number of IP addresses for the internet.

最近在 Bankless YouTube 频道上露面时，Pal 详细阐述了他之前的 Twitter 帖子，其中他声称加密货币的采用速度是互联网采用速度的两倍。他解释说，这一计算考虑了加密货币的活跃钱包地址数量与互联网 IP 地址的数量。

Current Cryptocurrency User Base and Future Projections

当前的加密货币用户群和未来预测

Pal estimates that there are currently approximately 550 million cryptocurrency users worldwide. However, he believes this figure represents a "midcurve" and that the number of active wallet addresses should be used instead of the broader category of crypto users.

Pal 估计，目前全球约有 5.5 亿加密货币用户。然而，他认为这个数字代表了“中曲线”，应该使用活跃钱包地址的数量，而不是更广泛的加密用户类别。

Looking ahead, Pal predicts that crypto adoption will continue to accelerate, reaching one billion users by the end of 2025. He also envisions the overall market capitalization of the cryptocurrency industry soaring to $12 trillion during the current bull cycle and eventually hitting $100 trillion by the end of the 2032 cycle.

展望未来，Pal 预测加密货币的采用将继续加速，到 2025 年底用户将达到 10 亿。他还预计，在当前的牛市周期中，加密货币行业的整体市值将飙升至 12 万亿美元，并最终在 2025 年达到 100 万亿美元。 2032 年周期结束。

Adoption as a Bullish Indicator for Cryptocurrencies

采用作为加密货币的看涨指标

Pal emphasized that the adoption rate of cryptocurrencies is a key indicator of their future performance. He cited the example of Solana (SOL), which experienced a meteoric rise to new all-time highs during the 2021 bull run. This surge was largely driven by the rapid adoption of Solana by investors and users within the cryptocurrency community.

帕尔强调，加密货币的采用率是其未来表现的关键指标。他引用了 Solana (SOL) 的例子，该公司在 2021 年牛市期间迅速上涨至历史新高。这一激增主要是由于加密货币社区内的投资者和用户迅速采用 Solana。

Potential Altcoin Candidates for the Next Bull Run

下一次牛市的潜在山寨币候选者

Pal acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding which altcoins might lead the next bull run but highlighted that cryptocurrencies with the highest adoption rates are strong contenders. He identified Sui (SUI), Aptos (APT), and Cosmos (ATOM) as potential candidates for such a run.

帕尔承认哪些山寨币可能引领下一轮牛市存在不确定性，但强调采用率最高的加密货币是强有力的竞争者。他认为 Sui (SUI)、Aptos (APT) 和 Cosmos (ATOM) 是此次竞选的潜在候选者。

Market Transition into Altcoin Season

市场过渡到山寨币季节

Pal also discussed the current market dynamics, suggesting that the cryptocurrency market is transitioning into its summer period. During this time, Bitcoin is expected to continue its upward trajectory, reaching new highs before its overall dominance wanes. This shift typically signals the onset of altcoin season, when altcoins typically experience significant price increases.

帕尔还讨论了当前的市场动态，表明加密货币市场正在过渡到夏季。在此期间，比特币预计将继续其上升轨迹，在其整体主导地位减弱之前达到新高。这种转变通常标志着山寨币季节的开始，此时山寨币通常会经历显着的价格上涨。

Conclusion

结论

Raoul Pal's optimistic outlook on the future of cryptocurrencies stems from his belief in their increasing adoption rates and the fundamental shift within the financial system towards "tokenized rails." While the path to broader adoption may require time and the further maturation of the cryptocurrency sector, Pal remains confident in the long-term prospects of digital assets.

Raoul Pal 对加密货币未来的乐观前景源于他对加密货币采用率不断提高以及金融体系向“代币化轨道”的根本转变的信念。尽管更广泛采用的道路可能需要时间和加密货币行业的进一步成熟，但帕尔对数字资产的长期前景仍然充满信心。