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XRP顯示,隨著關鍵波動率指示器達到自2024年底以來未見水平,可以釋放能量的跡象。
Key takeaways:
關鍵要點:
* XRP’s Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart have narrowed to their lowest point since late 2024, an occurrence that often precedes major price moves in either direction.
* XRP在4小時圖表上的Bollinger樂隊已縮小到2024年底以來的最低點,這種情況通常是在這兩個方向上的主要價格移動之前。
* The fifth-largest cryptocurrency is currently trading at $2.14, having risen 3.78% in recent trading.
*第五大加密貨幣目前的交易價格為2.14美元,在最近的交易中上漲了3.78%。
* Its price action comes during a broader cryptocurrency market rally. Bitcoin, the leading digital asset, surged to a one-month high of $87,465 earlier today.
*其價格行動是在更廣泛的加密貨幣市場集會上進行的。領先的數字資產比特幣(Bitcoin)今天早些時候飆升至87,465美元。
Technical analysis reveals that the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart have narrowed to their lowest point since October 2024.
技術分析表明,自2024年10月以來,4小時圖表上的布林樂隊已縮小到最低點。
This compression often precedes a major price movement in either direction. The Bollinger Band indicator, which measures volatility using standard deviations from a moving average, is showing a “squeeze” pattern that typically resolves in a strong directional move.
這種壓縮通常在兩個方向上的主要價格轉移之前。 Bollinger帶指示器使用標準偏差與移動平均值來測量波動率,它顯示出一種“擠壓”模式,通常可以在強烈的方向移動中解析。
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted this pattern, signaling a potential breakout on the horizon.
加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez)強調了這種模式,這表明了地平線上的潛在突破。
The Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the $XRP 4-hour chart, signaling that a major price move could be just around the corner.pic.twitter.com/Yeu0f71PPG
布林樂隊在$ XRP 4小時的圖表上擠壓,這表明主要價格轉移可能只是拐角處。
— Ali (@ali_charts) April 20, 2025
- Ali(@ali_charts)2025年4月20日
Market Context
市場環境
Bitcoin’s rally comes alongside strength in gold, both of which are benefiting from weakness in the U.S. dollar. The DXY index, which measures the strength of the greenback against other major fiat currencies, plunged to a three-year low of 92.2 on Monday.
比特幣的集會伴隨著黃金的力量,兩者都從美元的弱點中受益。 DXY指數衡量了對其他主要法定貨幣的綠色強度,週一下降到92.2的三年低點。
This dollar weakness has provided a tailwind for cryptocurrency prices. Other major altcoins are performing similarly to XRP. Ethereum (ETH) and BNB both posted gains of 1.6% in recent trading.
這種美元的弱點為加密貨幣價格提供了風風。其他主要山寨幣的性能與XRP相似。以太坊(ETH)和BNB都在最近的交易中均收入1.6%。
What’s interesting about the current market dynamic is that cryptocurrencies appear to be decoupling from U.S. equities. While crypto assets are gaining, stock futures have been trading in negative territory.
當前市場動態的有趣之處在於,加密貨幣似乎與美國股票取消。儘管加密資產獲得了收益,但股票期貨一直在負面交易。
Technical Outlook
技術前景
XRP is currently holding above a critical support level near $1.21, which analysts consider important for maintaining a bullish outlook. A drop below this threshold could increase bearish pressure, but as long as the price stays above it, the possibility of a rebound remains intact.
XRP目前的持續支持水平接近1.21美元,該分析師認為這對於維持看漲的前景很重要。低於此閾值的下降可能會增加看跌壓力,但是只要價格停留在其上方,反彈的可能性仍然完好無損。
In the short term, market watchers are focusing on the $1.82 to $2.22 range as a key demand zone. The price has reacted within this zone before, and another bounce from this area could signal the start of a new upward trend.
在短期內,市場觀察家將重點放在$ 1.82到$ 2.22的範圍上,作為關鍵需求區。價格之前在該區域內做出了反應,該區域的另一場反彈可能標誌著新的上升趨勢的開始。
The token has already surged to an intraday high of $2.12, reaching its highest level since April 16. The Bollinger Band squeeze appears to be playing out, with a green candle breaking above the upper band.
該令牌已經飆升至2.12美元的盤中高點,達到了4月16日以來的最高水平。布林樂隊Squeeze似乎正在播放,綠色蠟燭在上層樂隊上方破裂。
What History Tells Us
歷史告訴我們什麼
Similar Bollinger Band patterns in the past have preceded major price movements for XRP. Both XRP and Bitcoin surged in November-December following an extended range-bound period that left their bandwidth at levels comparable to those observed today.
過去,類似的布林樂隊圖案在XRP的主要價格轉移之前。 XRP和比特幣在11月至12月的延長范圍結合期間都飆升,這使其帶寬的水平與今天觀察到的水平相當。
However, traders should note that tighter bands don’t always indicate an upcoming rally. They can also foreshadow a sell-off. For example, the bands tightened in October 2022 before a major decline after the FTX exchange collapse.
但是,交易者應注意,更緊密的樂隊並不總是表明即將舉行的集會。他們還可以預示拋售。例如,在FTX交換崩潰之後,樂隊在2022年10月收緊。
Recent hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and selling by some large holders may favor downside risk. At the same time, speculation about Powell potentially being fired has added another layer of uncertainty to markets.
美聯儲董事長杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)和一些大型持有人出售的鷹派評論可能會贊成下行風險。同時,關於鮑威爾可能被解僱的猜測增加了市場的另一層不確定性。
If momentum builds to the upside, resistance levels to watch are near $2.33 and $2.46. Breaking these levels would confirm further recovery potential.
如果動量發展到上行空間,則要觀看的阻力水平接近2.33美元和2.46美元。打破這些水平將確認進一步的恢復潛力。
Although there is no strong bullish confirmation yet, the current price pullback appears to be corrective rather than the start of a deeper decline. XRP remains in a watch zone, and any strong move above $2.22 could improve the outlook for the token in the coming days.
儘管目前尚無強烈看漲確認,但目前的價格下降似乎是糾正的,而不是更深層次的下降。 XRP仍留在手錶區,任何強勁的舉動都超過2.22美元,都可以改善未來幾天代幣的前景。
For now, market participants are watching closely to see which direction this compressed spring will uncoil.
目前,市場參與者正在密切關注,以查看該壓縮的彈簧將脫落的哪個方向。
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