中國對加密貨幣監管的立場繼續主導討論

中國對加密貨幣監管的立場繼續主導著討論，尤其是當謠言傳播到其2021年比特幣禁令的潛在逆轉時。

China’s stance on cryptocurrency regulation continues to be a hot topic, especially with rumors swirling about a potential reversal of its 2021 Bitcoin ban. However, recent data seems to indicate that the chances of China lifting its Bitcoin ban by March 31, 2025, have taken a nosedive.

中國對加密貨幣法規的立場仍然是一個熱門話題，尤其是關於其2021年比特幣禁令的潛在逆轉的傳言。但是，最近的數據似乎表明，中國在2025年3月31日之前取消比特幣禁令的機會已經毫無疑問。

China's 2021 Bitcoin Ban and Capital Flight

中國2021年的比特幣禁令和資本飛行

In 2021, The People’s Bank of China imposed a nationwide ban on digital currency transactions, citing concerns over their role in facilitating financial crimes and disrupting traditional financial systems.

2021年，中國人民銀行對數字貨幣交易實施了禁令，理由是他們擔心其在促進金融犯罪和破壞傳統金融體系中的作用。

Despite the ban, blockchain data from Chainalysis shows that over $50 billion in digital currencies left East Asia between 2019 and 2020, with a substantial portion linked to Chinese investors moving capital abroad.

儘管禁令，但鏈條分析的區塊鏈數據表明，在2019年至2020年之間，超過500億美元的數字貨幣離開了東亞，其中大量與中國投資者遷移國外的投資者有關。

This significant outflow, coupled with high activity levels on local cryptocurrency exchanges, likely contributed to China’s strict crackdown on digital assets.

這種重要的流出，再加上當地加密貨幣交換的高活動水平，可能導致中國嚴格鎮壓數字資產。

China Bitcoin Ban Probability Drops

中國比特幣禁令概率下降

Data from Polymarket, which tracks probabilities related to policy shifts, highlights the decreasing optimism around China’s Bitcoin regulations.

來自Polymarket的數據跟踪與政策變化有關的概率，強調了對中國比特幣法規的樂觀態度下降。

The drop in probability suggests a growing belief that China will maintain its rigid stance on cryptocurrencies, at least through March 2025.

概率下降表明，人們越來越相信中國將保持對加密貨幣的嚴格立場，至少至2025年3月。

Bitcoin Holdings Across the Globe

全球比特幣持有

China still holds a significant amount of Bitcoin despite its harsh regulations on the cryptocurrency. A report on Bitcoin holdings by nine countries shows China and the United States leading the way in global Bitcoin investments.

儘管中國對加密貨幣的嚴格規定，中國仍然擁有大量比特幣。關於九個國家的比特幣持有的報告顯示，中國和美國在全球比特幣投資方面領先。

Other notable countries with Bitcoin reserves include Ukraine, El Salvador, and Germany, although their holdings are considerably smaller. Together, these nations hold more than 529,000 BTC, valued at approximately $55.3 billion.

其他具有比特幣儲量的著名國家包括烏克蘭，薩爾瓦多和德國，儘管其持股量較小。這些國家共同擁有超過529,000 BTC，價值約553億美元。

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