中国对加密货币监管的立场继续主导讨论

中国对加密货币监管的立场继续主导着讨论，尤其是当谣言传播到其2021年比特币禁令的潜在逆转时。

China’s stance on cryptocurrency regulation continues to be a hot topic, especially with rumors swirling about a potential reversal of its 2021 Bitcoin ban. However, recent data seems to indicate that the chances of China lifting its Bitcoin ban by March 31, 2025, have taken a nosedive.

中国对加密货币法规的立场仍然是一个热门话题，尤其是关于其2021年比特币禁令的潜在逆转的传言。但是，最近的数据似乎表明，中国在2025年3月31日之前取消比特币禁令的机会已经毫无疑问。

China's 2021 Bitcoin Ban and Capital Flight

中国2021年的比特币禁令和资本飞行

In 2021, The People’s Bank of China imposed a nationwide ban on digital currency transactions, citing concerns over their role in facilitating financial crimes and disrupting traditional financial systems.

2021年，中国人民银行在全国范围内禁止数字货币交易，理由是他们在促进金融犯罪和破坏传统金融体系中的作用。

Despite the ban, blockchain data from Chainalysis shows that over $50 billion in digital currencies left East Asia between 2019 and 2020, with a substantial portion linked to Chinese investors moving capital abroad.

尽管禁令，但链条分析的区块链数据表明，在2019年至2020年之间，超过500亿美元的数字货币离开了东亚，其中大量与中国投资者迁移国外的投资者有关。

This significant outflow, coupled with high activity levels on local cryptocurrency exchanges, likely contributed to China’s strict crackdown on digital assets.

这种重要的流出，再加上当地加密货币交换的高活动水平，可能导致中国严格镇压数字资产。

China Bitcoin Ban Probability Drops

中国比特币禁令概率下降

Data from Polymarket, which tracks probabilities related to policy shifts, highlights the decreasing optimism around China’s Bitcoin regulations.

来自Polymarket的数据跟踪与政策变化有关的概率，强调了对中国比特币法规的乐观态度下降。

The drop in probability suggests a growing belief that China will maintain its rigid stance on cryptocurrencies, at least through March 2025.

概率下降表明，人们越来越相信中国将保持对加密货币的严格立场，至少至2025年3月。

Bitcoin Holdings Across the Globe

全球比特币持有

China still holds a significant amount of Bitcoin despite its harsh regulations on the cryptocurrency. A report on Bitcoin holdings by nine countries shows China and the United States leading the way in global Bitcoin investments.

尽管中国对加密货币的严格规定，中国仍然拥有大量比特币。关于九个国家的比特币持有的报告显示，中国和美国在全球比特币投资方面领先。

Other notable countries with Bitcoin reserves include Ukraine, El Salvador, and Germany, although their holdings are considerably smaller. Together, these nations hold more than 529,000 BTC, valued at approximately $55.3 billion.

其他具有比特币储量的著名国家包括乌克兰，萨尔瓦多和德国，尽管其持股量较小。这些国家共同拥有超过529,000 BTC，价值约553亿美元。

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