“購買蘸醬？加密分析師Kevin（@Kev_Capital_TA）建議Dogecoin當前的市場結構信號“最後的機會”

嚴格的編輯政策，側重於準確性，相關性和公正性

Crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) suggests that Dogecoin’s current market structure signals “the last opportunity” for investors to acquire the meme coin at relatively low prices. Kevin’s analysis, shared with members of his Telegram group, converges several technical indicators.

加密分析師Kevin（@kev_capital_ta）建議，Dogecoin當前的市場結構信號是“最後的機會”，投資者以相對較低的價格購買模因硬幣。凱文（Kevin）與他的電報小組成員分享的分析收集了幾個技術指標。

He notes that Dogecoin is testing the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is typically used by analysts to identify support or resistance zones based on prior price swings. In the case of Dogecoin’s weekly chart, this Fib level is around $0.158, having been tested several times before.

他指出，Dogecoin正在測試宏觀0.5斐波那契回曲水平，分析師通常使用該水平來根據先前的價格波動來識別支持或阻力區域。就Dogecoin的每週圖表而言，此FIB水平約為0.158美元，在幾次之前進行了測試。

Dogecoin is also testing the lower boundary of a multi‐year descending trend line, which began at the 2021 peak and has been acting as resistance. A break above this trend line, visible around $0.47–$0.48, could be pivotal for setting the stage for further recovery.

Dogecoin還正在測試多年降趨勢線的下邊界，該趨勢線始於2021峰，一直充當電阻。高於此趨勢線的突破，可見約0.47- $ 0.48，對於為進一步恢復而設置舞台可能是關鍵的。

Moreover, the 200‐week Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), often regarded as markers of long‐term market health, are situated in the approximate $0.13–$0.17 corridor. The overlap between these critical moving averages and the Fib levels underscores what Kevin sees as a strong risk‐to‐reward setup for long‐term positioning.

此外，經常被視為長期市場健康標誌的200週簡單移動平均線（SMA）和指數移動平均線（EMA）的位置約為0.13-0.17美元的走廊。這些關鍵移動平均值與FIB水平之間的重疊強調了凱文認為長期定位的強大風險到獎勵設置。

Finally, he observes that the 3‐Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached territory he considers “historically low,” hinting at a possible oversold condition. Typically, oversold or overbought conditions are used by traders to gauge how far an asset has moved in one direction and may suggest a potential reversal.

最後，他觀察到，為期3天的相對力量指數（RSI）已經到達了他認為“歷史低位”的領土，這暗示了可能的超售狀況。通常，交易者使用超賣條件或過高的條件來衡量資產向一個方向移動的距離，並可能暗示潛在的逆轉。

“If BTC holds up and Macro Economic Data and Monetary policy adjust then you just got your last opportunity to buy Dogecoin relatively cheap. A lot of factors at play and lots of work to do But the risk reward at this level is superb given the circumstances,” Kevin said.

“如果BTC堅持下去，宏觀經濟數據和貨幣政策調整，那麼您剛剛獲得了相對便宜購買Dogecoin的最後機會。凱文說：“有很多因素和許多工作要做，但是鑑於這種情況，在這個水平上的風險回報非常出色。”

He suggests that despite strong employment numbers and moderating inflation (supported by Truflation data and falling energy costs), the market is “wiping out trillions of dollars of wealth everyday on pure speculation of what imaginary Tariffs are gonna do that they knew were coming.”

他建議，儘管就業數量有大量的就業人數和適度的通貨膨脹（受到繁瑣的數據和能源成本下降），但市場卻“每天都在耗盡數万億美元的財富，以純粹猜測他們知道的想像中要做的事情即將來臨。”

“Employment numbers are phenomenal, growth is still strong, inflation is coming down rapidly per Truflation data and energy costs falling are the reason, the Fed is about to start easing again, wars are getting ready to end soon,” he adds.

他補充說：“就業人數是驚人的，增長仍然很強，通貨膨脹率每次繁瑣的數據迅速下降，而能源成本下降是原因，美聯儲即將開始緩解，戰爭已經準備好盡快結束。”

Kevin believes that the Federal Reserve may soon pivot to more accommodative policies and that ongoing geopolitical tensions may be waning. In his words, the current sell‐off “makes zero sense” and appears to be a “controlled attack on the markets by the powers that be” to sway public sentiment.

凱文（Kevin）認為，美聯儲可能很快可能會轉移到更寬鬆的政策，並且持續的地緣政治緊張局勢可能正在減弱。用他的話說，目前的賣出“使零有意義”，並且似乎是“受到公眾情緒的權力對市場的控制攻擊”。

“I think it’s pretty obvious that there is a controlled attack on the markets by the powers that be to try and derail this administration and turn the retail crowd against them because this whole sell off makes zero sense. A lot of people are gonna look real stupid when it all settles out and the truth is revealed,” Kevin concludes.

“我認為很明顯，試圖使本屆政府脫軌並將零售人群反對他們的權力對市場進行了控制攻擊，因為整個賣出是零有意義的。當所有人都解決時，很多人看起來真的很愚蠢，事實就被揭示了。”凱文總結道。