“购买蘸酱？加密分析师Kevin（@Kev_Capital_TA）建议Dogecoin当前的市场结构信号“最后的机会”

严格的编辑政策，侧重于准确性，相关性和公正性

Crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) suggests that Dogecoin’s current market structure signals “the last opportunity” for investors to acquire the meme coin at relatively low prices. Kevin’s analysis, shared with members of his Telegram group, converges several technical indicators.

加密分析师Kevin（@kev_capital_ta）建议，Dogecoin当前的市场结构信号是“最后的机会”，投资者以相对较低的价格购买模因硬币。凯文（Kevin）与他的电报小组成员分享的分析收集了几个技术指标。

He notes that Dogecoin is testing the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is typically used by analysts to identify support or resistance zones based on prior price swings. In the case of Dogecoin’s weekly chart, this Fib level is around $0.158, having been tested several times before.

他指出，Dogecoin正在测试宏观0.5斐波那契回曲水平，分析师通常使用该水平来根据先前的价格波动来识别支持或阻力区域。就Dogecoin的每周图表而言，此FIB水平约为0.158美元，在几次之前进行了测试。

Dogecoin is also testing the lower boundary of a multi‐year descending trend line, which began at the 2021 peak and has been acting as resistance. A break above this trend line, visible around $0.47–$0.48, could be pivotal for setting the stage for further recovery.

Dogecoin还正在测试多年降趋势线的下边界，该趋势线始于2021峰，一直充当电阻。高于此趋势线的突破，可见约0.47- $ 0.48，对于为进一步恢复而设置舞台可能是关键的。

Moreover, the 200‐week Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), often regarded as markers of long‐term market health, are situated in the approximate $0.13–$0.17 corridor. The overlap between these critical moving averages and the Fib levels underscores what Kevin sees as a strong risk‐to‐reward setup for long‐term positioning.

此外，经常被视为长期市场健康标志的200周简单移动平均线（SMA）和指数移动平均线（EMA）的位置约为0.13-0.17美元的走廊。这些关键移动平均值与FIB水平之间的重叠强调了凯文认为长期定位的强大风险到奖励设置。

Finally, he observes that the 3‐Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached territory he considers “historically low,” hinting at a possible oversold condition. Typically, oversold or overbought conditions are used by traders to gauge how far an asset has moved in one direction and may suggest a potential reversal.

最后，他观察到，为期3天的相对力量指数（RSI）已经到达了他认为“历史低位”的领土，这暗示了可能的超售状况。通常，交易者使用超卖条件或过高的条件来衡量资产向一个方向移动的距离，并可能暗示潜在的逆转。

“If BTC holds up and Macro Economic Data and Monetary policy adjust then you just got your last opportunity to buy Dogecoin relatively cheap. A lot of factors at play and lots of work to do But the risk reward at this level is superb given the circumstances,” Kevin said.

“如果BTC坚持下去，宏观经济数据和货币政策调整，那么您刚刚获得了相对便宜购买Dogecoin的最后机会。凯文说：“有很多因素和许多工作要做，但是鉴于这种情况，在这个水平上的风险回报非常出色。”

He suggests that despite strong employment numbers and moderating inflation (supported by Truflation data and falling energy costs), the market is “wiping out trillions of dollars of wealth everyday on pure speculation of what imaginary Tariffs are gonna do that they knew were coming.”

他建议，尽管就业数量有大量的就业人数和适度的通货膨胀（受到繁琐的数据和能源成本下降），但市场却“每天都在耗尽数万亿美元的财富，以纯粹猜测他们知道的想象中要做的事情即将来临。”

“Employment numbers are phenomenal, growth is still strong, inflation is coming down rapidly per Truflation data and energy costs falling are the reason, the Fed is about to start easing again, wars are getting ready to end soon,” he adds.

他补充说：“就业人数是惊人的，增长仍然很强，通货膨胀率每次繁琐的数据迅速下降，而能源成本下降是原因，美联储即将开始缓解，战争已经准备好尽快结束。”

Kevin believes that the Federal Reserve may soon pivot to more accommodative policies and that ongoing geopolitical tensions may be waning. In his words, the current sell‐off “makes zero sense” and appears to be a “controlled attack on the markets by the powers that be” to sway public sentiment.

凯文（Kevin）认为，美联储可能很快可能会转移到更宽松的政策，并且持续的地缘政治紧张局势可能正在减弱。用他的话说，目前的卖出“使零有意义”，并且似乎是“受到公众情绪的权力对市场的控制攻击”。

“I think it’s pretty obvious that there is a controlled attack on the markets by the powers that be to try and derail this administration and turn the retail crowd against them because this whole sell off makes zero sense. A lot of people are gonna look real stupid when it all settles out and the truth is revealed,” Kevin concludes.

“我认为很明显，试图使本届政府脱轨并将零售人群反对他们的权力对市场进行了控制攻击，因为整个卖出是零有意义的。当所有人都解决时，很多人看起来真的很愚蠢，事实就被揭示了。”凯文总结道。