|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
今年對於比特幣來說充滿了催化劑。一月份,備受期待的現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)獲得批准。
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has had a volatile ride in 2024 so far. After surging about 60% through the first three months of the year, it has traded in a relatively tight range since. As of Sept. 26, the world's top digital asset sits 11% below its all-time high from March.
到目前為止,比特幣(CRYPTO:BTC)在 2024 年經歷了波動。今年前三個月飆升約 60% 後,此後一直在相對狹窄的區間內交易。截至 9 月 26 日,這一全球頂級數位資產的價格較 3 月以來的歷史高點低了 11%。
The bulls are hoping that Bitcoin can break out and get back to producing monster returns. Should you buy this cryptocurrency while it's trading for less than $70,000?
看多者希望比特幣能夠突破並重新產生巨額回報。當這種加密貨幣的交易價格低於 70,000 美元時,您是否應該購買它?
Here are some factors to consider before making a decision.
以下是做出決定之前需要考慮的一些因素。
Several catalysts are working in Bitcoin's favor this year. In January, the highly anticipated spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved, and in total, they have seen $17.8 billion in inflows. Another catalyst is that Bitcoin underwent a "halving" in April, which is when the number of new tokens entering the market gets cut in half. This event happens roughly every four years, and in the year or so after, the crypto usually experiences a bull run. It's not clear yet if that will be the case this time.
今年有幾個催化劑對比特幣有利。一月份,備受期待的比特幣現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)獲得批准,總共流入了 178 億美元。另一個催化劑是比特幣在四月經歷了“減半”,此時進入市場的新代幣數量減少了一半。這種事件大約每四年發生一次,在接下來的一年左右,加密貨幣通常會經歷多頭市場。目前還不清楚這次是否會出現這種情況。
Another catalyst that can work in Bitcoin's favor is what the Federal Reserve does. Earlier this month, the central bank cut interest rates for the first time in over four years, which investors are hoping is the start of a more accommodative stance.
另一個有利於比特幣的催化劑是聯準會的做法。本月早些時候,央行四年多來首次降息,投資人希望這是採取更寬鬆立場的開始。
You might be wondering what the connection is between lower interest rates and Bitcoin. There isn't a direct relationship, but when rates are lower, it incentivizes investors to take on more risk in order to generate better returns. Cash sitting in savings accounts will earn less after the interest rate drops, so it makes sense to buy riskier assets, such as Bitcoin.
您可能想知道較低的利率和比特幣之間有什麼關聯。雖然沒有直接關係,但當利率較低時,它會激勵投資者承擔更多風險,以獲得更好的回報。利率下降後,儲蓄帳戶中的現金收益會減少,因此購買比特幣等風險較高的資產是有意義的。
When you combine the successful ETF launches, Bitcoin's latest halving, and the prospect of more rates cuts by the central bank, it's difficult not to be bullish about this cryptocurrency.
當 ETF 的成功推出、比特幣最近的減半以及央行進一步降息的前景結合起來時,很難不看好這種加密貨幣。
I believe it's smart to buy Bitcoin while it trades below $70,000. However, you shouldn't plan to only hold it for a few months or a year. This is an asset that requires a very long-term mentality from investors. That's because anything can happen in a short period of time, as investor sentiment is constantly shifting, and it will take several years and even decades to know Bitcoin's ultimate outcome.
我認為在比特幣價格低於 70,000 美元時購買比特幣是明智之舉。但是,您不應該計劃只持有幾個月或一年。這是一項需要投資者俱有非常長期心態的資產。因為任何事情都可能在短時間內發生,投資者情緒不斷變化,需要幾年甚至幾十年的時間才能知道比特幣的最終結果。
But this cryptocurrency does have value. When it was created over a decade ago, it marked the first time that money could be transferred electronically without the need for an intermediary. Citizens in developed countries might not think much of it, but for people living in emerging economies, Bitcoin provides access to the financial system.
但這種加密貨幣確實有價值。當它在十多年前創建時,它標誌著資金第一次可以在不需要中介的情況下進行電子轉移。已開發國家的公民可能不會太在意,但對於生活在新興經濟體的人來說,比特幣提供了進入金融體系的機會。
Another key aspect of Bitcoin that's important for investors to understand is its fixed supply cap of 21 million. The U.S. dollar, which is the world's reserve currency, has been constantly debased over the years. The central bank continues to grow the money supply partly to fund the government's ongoing deficits. The fact that there's an asset out there that anyone can own and that has a fixed supply might be compelling for investors to park at least a fraction of their savings in.
比特幣的另一個對投資者來說很重要的關鍵方面是其 2,100 萬的固定供應上限。美元作為世界儲備貨幣,多年來不斷貶值。央行繼續增加貨幣供應量,部分是為了彌補政府持續的赤字。事實上,存在一種任何人都可以擁有且供應量固定的資產,這可能會迫使投資者將至少一部分儲蓄投入其中。
It's difficult to try and figure out what Bitcoin might be worth one day. One useful comparison is gold, which is an established store of value, which is what Bitcoin is aiming to be. All the gold that's ever been mined is estimated to be worth $18.1 trillion. If Bitcoin one day reaches parity with the precious metal, its price has roughly 1,300% upside from today's level of about $65,000. And if the digital asset becomes even more popular, then the potential for returns is even larger.
嘗試弄清楚比特幣有一天可能值多少錢是很困難的。一個有用的比較是黃金,它是一種既定的價值儲存手段,這也是比特幣的目標。已開採的所有黃金估計價值 18.1 兆美元。如果比特幣有一天能夠與貴金屬持平,那麼其價格將比今天約 65,000 美元的水平上漲約 1,300%。如果數位資產變得更加流行,那麼回報的潛力就會更大。
As part of a well-diversified portfolio, buying some Bitcoin right now makes sense.
作為多元化投資組合的一部分,現在購買一些比特幣是有意義的。
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
所提供的資訊並非交易建議。 kDJ.com對任何基於本文提供的資訊進行的投資不承擔任何責任。加密貨幣波動性較大,建議您充分研究後謹慎投資!
如果您認為本網站使用的內容侵犯了您的版權,請立即聯絡我們(info@kdj.com),我們將及時刪除。
-
- 中國前財政部長樓繼偉敦促政策制定者審視加密貨幣的進步
- 2024-09-29 21:00:01
- 中國前財政部長樓繼偉在北京舉行的 2024 年清華五道口首席經濟學家論壇上發表講話時敦促中國密切關注加密貨幣的進展。
-
- 比特幣違背歷史趨勢,有望實現多年來最好的月度表現之一
- 2024-09-29 20:55:01
- 全球最大的加密貨幣本月上漲了 10% 以上,打破了這段時期價格通常下跌的歷史趨勢。
-
- 第四季有可能出現價格大幅上漲的頂級山寨幣
- 2024-09-29 20:25:02
- 隨著跨國市場看漲情緒的增加,加密貨幣領域即將迎來 9 月的積極局面。