您不夠看好嗎？ XRP價格動作並不能反映掉落的SEC案件

“你不夠看好！”上週在使用令牌進行跨境交易的Ripple之後，一位XRP愛好者在X上大叫，宣布美國證券

An XRP enthusiast was recently seen lamenting on X, "People aren't bullish enough!" after the SEC dropped its case against Ripple.

最近看到一名XRP愛好者對X哀嘆，“人們不夠看好！” SEC在對Ripple的案件中放棄了案件。

The crypto community has been brimming with excitement following the news. It marks the conclusion of a long-standing legal battle that had a significant impact on XRP’s performance.

新聞後，加密貨幣社區充滿了興奮。它標誌著一場長期的法律鬥爭的結論，對XRP的表現產生了重大影響。

However, despite the optimism and key milestones like the XRP ETF hype and hopes for the token to become a part of the U.S. strategic reserve, the recent price action shows a major bearish shift in technical trend, signaling a notable price slide ahead.

然而，儘管XRP ETF Hype等樂觀和關鍵里程碑，並希望代幣成為美國戰略儲備的一部分，但最近的價格行動表明，技術趨勢的看跌次數發生了重大變化，這表明價格下降了。

XRP surged over 11% to $2.59 last Wednesday, with many pouring praise on the good news. But the follow through has anything but bullish with prices rangebound between $2.30-$2.50 despite more optimism that expected reciprocal trade tariffs from President Donald Trump on April 2 could be more measured than initially expected.

上週三，XRP飆升了11％以上，至2.59美元，許多人對好消息表示讚賞。但是，儘管有更多樂觀的態度，但其後續內容除了看漲，價格在2.30美元至2.50美元之間，預計唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統在4月2日的互惠貿易關稅可能比最初預期的要高。

But three-line break chart shows a new low is forming, which suggests a bullish-to-bearish shift in momentum. Similar patterns characterized the beginnings of prolonged bear markets in 2021 and early 2018.

但是三線的突破圖顯示了一個新的低點，這表明在動量方面是看漲到熊的轉變。類似的模式也表徵了2021年和2018年初長時間熊市的開端。

The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram, used to gauge trend strength and trend changes, is producing deeper bars below the zero line on the weekly chart. It’s a sign of the strengthening of the downside momentum.

用於衡量趨勢強度和趨勢變化的移動平均收斂差異（MACD）直方圖正在每週圖表上產生更深的條形線。這是加強下行動力的標誌。

The same indicator flipped positive in November, after which prices surged from $1 to above $3.

11月，同樣的指標呈正變，此後價格從$ 1上漲至3美元以上。

Also, the 5- and 10-week simple moving averages (SMAs) have crossed bearish as well, suggesting the path of least resistance is to the downside.

同樣，5周和10週的簡單移動平均（SMA）也越過看跌，這表明阻力最小的路徑是不利的。

The Bollinger bands – volatility bands placed two standard deviations above and below XRP’s 20-week SMA – have widened in response to the sharp price rally in late 2024 and early this year.

Bollinger樂隊 - 波動性樂隊在XRP的20週SMA上方和下方放置了兩個標準偏差 - 響應於2024年底和今年年初的急劇集會而擴大。

Historically, prices have tended to move lower following the sharp widening of the Bollinger bands, as observed after mid-2021 and early 2018.

從歷史上看，正如2018年中期和2018年初之後所觀察到的，價格趨向於下降。

A firm move of $3, the high registered on March 2, would invalidate the bearish setup, negating the lower highs pattern to suggest a renewed bullish technical outlook.

3月2日註冊的高高註冊的公司的穩定搬遷將使看跌的設置無效，否定了較低的高點模式，暗示了新的看漲技術前景。

Some analysts expect XRP to reach as high as $10 by the end of this decade.

一些分析師預計，到本十年末，XRP將達到10美元。