您不够看好吗？ XRP价格动作并不能反映掉落的SEC案件

“你不够看好！”上周在使用令牌进行跨境交易的Ripple之后，一位XRP爱好者在X上大叫，宣布美国证券

An XRP enthusiast was recently seen lamenting on X, "People aren't bullish enough!" after the SEC dropped its case against Ripple.

最近看到一名XRP爱好者对X哀叹，“人们不够看好！” SEC在对Ripple的案件中放弃了案件。

The crypto community has been brimming with excitement following the news. It marks the conclusion of a long-standing legal battle that had a significant impact on XRP’s performance.

新闻后，加密货币社区充满了兴奋。它标志着一场长期的法律斗争的结论，对XRP的表现产生了重大影响。

However, despite the optimism and key milestones like the XRP ETF hype and hopes for the token to become a part of the U.S. strategic reserve, the recent price action shows a major bearish shift in technical trend, signaling a notable price slide ahead.

然而，尽管XRP ETF Hype等乐观和关键里程碑，并希望代币成为美国战略储备的一部分，但最近的价格行动表明，技术趋势的看跌次数发生了重大变化，这表明价格下降了。

XRP surged over 11% to $2.59 last Wednesday, with many pouring praise on the good news. But the follow through has anything but bullish with prices rangebound between $2.30-$2.50 despite more optimism that expected reciprocal trade tariffs from President Donald Trump on April 2 could be more measured than initially expected.

上周三，XRP飙升了11％以上，至2.59美元，许多人对好消息表示赞赏。但是，尽管有更多乐观的态度，但其后续内容除了看涨，价格在2.30美元至2.50美元之间，预计唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统在4月2日的互惠贸易关税可能比最初预期的要高。

But three-line break chart shows a new low is forming, which suggests a bullish-to-bearish shift in momentum. Similar patterns characterized the beginnings of prolonged bear markets in 2021 and early 2018.

但是三线的突破图显示了一个新的低点，这表明在动量方面是看涨到熊的转变。类似的模式也表征了2021年和2018年初长时间熊市的开端。

The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram, used to gauge trend strength and trend changes, is producing deeper bars below the zero line on the weekly chart. It’s a sign of the strengthening of the downside momentum.

用于衡量趋势强度和趋势变化的移动平均收敛差异（MACD）直方图正在每周图表上产生更深的条形线。这是加强下行动力的标志。

The same indicator flipped positive in November, after which prices surged from $1 to above $3.

11月，同样的指标呈正变，此后价格从$ 1上涨至3美元以上。

Also, the 5- and 10-week simple moving averages (SMAs) have crossed bearish as well, suggesting the path of least resistance is to the downside.

同样，5周和10周的简单移动平均（SMA）也越过看跌，这表明阻力最小的路径是不利的。

The Bollinger bands – volatility bands placed two standard deviations above and below XRP’s 20-week SMA – have widened in response to the sharp price rally in late 2024 and early this year.

Bollinger乐队 - 波动性乐队在XRP的20周SMA上方和下方放置了两个标准偏差 - 响应于2024年底和今年年初的急剧集会而扩大。

Historically, prices have tended to move lower following the sharp widening of the Bollinger bands, as observed after mid-2021 and early 2018.

从历史上看，正如2018年中期和2018年初之后所观察到的，价格趋向于下降。

A firm move of $3, the high registered on March 2, would invalidate the bearish setup, negating the lower highs pattern to suggest a renewed bullish technical outlook.

3月2日注册的高高注册的公司的稳定搬迁将使看跌的设置无效，否定了较低的高点模式，暗示了新的看涨技术前景。

Some analysts expect XRP to reach as high as $10 by the end of this decade.

一些分析师预计，到本十年末，XRP将达到10美元。