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在唐納德·特朗普總統的關稅宣布之後,虛擬資產(加密貨幣)市場正在急劇下降。
The virtual asset (cryptocurrency) market is experiencing a sharp decline following President Donald Trump's tariff announcement. It is interpreted that the investment sentiment has been suppressed as a higher-than-expected level of reciprocal tariff policy was announced.
在唐納德·特朗普總統的關稅宣布之後,虛擬資產(加密貨幣)市場正在急劇下降。據解釋說,由於宣布了互惠關稅政策的高度,投資情緒已被壓制。
According to the virtual asset data platform CoinMarketCap at 11:15 PM on the 3rd, the leading virtual asset Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $82,024, down 4.01% from the previous day. Bitcoin showed an upward trend to $88,000 the previous day, but plummeted to the $82,000 level immediately after President Trump's tariff announcement in the early morning.
根據第三次晚上11:15的虛擬資產數據平台CoinMarketCap,領先的虛擬資產比特幣(BTC)的交易價格為82,024美元,比前一天下降了4.01%。比特幣在前一天的上升趨勢上升到88,000美元,但在特朗普總統在清晨宣布的宣布之後,比特幣跌至82,000美元。
Among altcoins, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $1,762, down 5.62% from the previous day. It fell below the psychological resistance level of $1,800 again since the 31st. Other major altcoins such as XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Pi Network (PI) are also showing weakness.
在Altcoins中,以太坊(ETH)的交易價格為1,762美元,比前一天下降5.62%。自31日以來,它再次低於心理阻力水平1,800美元。其他主要的山寨幣,例如XRP,Binance Coin(BNB),Solana(Sol),Dogecoin(Doge)和Pi Network(PI)也顯示出弱點。
Amid the ongoing market weakness due to macroeconomic uncertainties and geopolitical risks since the beginning of the year, Trump's tariff bomb has caused many coins to plummet by more than 50% compared to last year. In particular, projects like NEO and Mask Network (MASK), which experienced significant declines, have recognized the seriousness of the current situation and announced emergency measures.
自從今年年初以來,由於宏觀經濟不確定性和地緣政治風險引起的持續市場疲軟,特朗普的關稅炸彈使許多硬幣暴跌了50%以上。特別是,諸如NEO和麵具網絡(Mask)之類的項目經歷了重大下降,已經認識到當前情況的嚴重性並宣布了緊急措施。
Stronger-than-Expected US Tariff Policy
超過預期的美國關稅政策
This virtual asset market crash was triggered by President Trump's tariff policy. Earlier, President Trump announced in a speech at the White House Rose Garden at around 5 AM that "the US will impose a basic tariff of 10% on all imported goods and apply reciprocal tariffs to about 60 trading countries."
特朗普總統的關稅政策引發了這種虛擬資產市場崩潰。早些時候,特朗普總統在凌晨5點左右在白宮玫瑰花園的演講中宣布:“美國將對所有進口商品徵收10%的基本關稅,並向約60個貿易國申請相互關稅。”
Reciprocal tariff rates have been set for each country: △China 34%, △European Union (EU) 20%, △Vietnam 46%, △Taiwan 32%, △Japan 24%, △India 26%, △Thailand 36%, △Switzerland 31%, △Indonesia 32%, △Malaysia 24%, △Cambodia 49%, △United Kingdom 10%, △South Africa 30%.
每個國家都設定了相互關稅率:△中國34%,歐洲聯盟(EU)20%,越南46%,台灣32%,32%,△日本24%,印度26%,thailand 36%,泰國36%,switzerland 31%,△印度尼西亞32%,△MALAYSIA24%,cam 24%,△非洲30%。
South Korea, which had previously signed a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the US, is also expected to be subject to a 26% reciprocal tariff.
以前曾與美國簽署了自由貿易協定(FTA)的韓國也有望承擔26%的互惠關稅。
Yoo Sang-dae, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Korea, diagnosed that "the US's reciprocal tariff measures are stronger than market expectations in terms of high tariff rates by country and the wide range of target countries," and "the possibility of increased financial market volatility is very high depending on future developments such as responses from major countries."
韓國銀行副州長Yoo Sang-dae診斷出“美國的相互關稅措施在按國家和廣泛的目標國家 /地區的高關稅率方面更為強大,而廣泛的目標國家的高關稅利率”,並且“金融市場波動的可能性很高,取決於未來的發展,例如來自主要國家的回應。”
Why US Reciprocal Tariffs Are Fatal to Virtual Assets
為什麼美國互惠關稅對虛擬資產致命
① Inflation Concerns↑… Possibility of Interest Rate Cuts ↓
①通貨膨脹問題↑…降低利率的可能性↓
First, the possibility of price increases in the US due to tariffs is expected to worsen the investment sentiment for virtual assets. If inflation rises in the market due to the application of reciprocal tariffs, the possibility of interest rate cuts decreases, and market liquidity and investment sentiment are likely to become rigid.
首先,由於關稅,美國價格上漲的可能性預計會惡化虛擬資產的投資情緒。如果由於互惠關稅的應用,市場上的通貨膨脹率上升,降低利率的可能性會下降,市場流動性和投資情緒可能會變得嚴格。
If tariffs begin, prices in the US are bound to face upward pressure. The US has so far imported mobile phones, electronic products, machinery, textiles, and wood at cheap prices from Southeast Asian countries like Vietnam, where labor costs are relatively low, rather than from its own country with high labor costs. However, if tariffs are imposed, the prices of these imports will rise.
如果開始關稅,美國的價格肯定會面臨上下壓力。美國到目前為止以廉價的價格從越南等東南部的廉價價格進口手機,電子產品,機械,紡織品和木材,那裡的勞動力成本相對較低,而不是來自其勞動力成本高的國家。但是,如果徵收關稅,這些進口的價格將上漲。
As a result, if inflation occurs in the US, it is expected to disrupt the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate cut plans. It will become even more difficult to implement interest rate cuts to achieve the annual inflation target.
結果,如果通貨膨脹發生在美國,預計將破壞美聯儲(美聯儲)削減利率的計劃。實施降低利率以實現年度通貨膨脹目標將變得更加困難。
② Concerns of Real Economy Recession… Bad News for Virtual Assets
②關注現實經濟衰退……虛擬資產的壞消息
The recession of the real economy in countries that have become tariff targets is also likely to act as bad news for the virtual asset market.
在已經成為關稅目標的國家中,實際經濟的經濟衰退也可能是虛擬資產市場的壞消息。
The US reciprocal tariff targets countries that have a trade surplus with the US. The tariff rates are set according to the size of the trade surplus. The higher the US trade dependence and surplus ratio, the higher the tariff applied.
美國的互惠關稅針對與美國有貿易盈餘的國家。關稅利率根據貿易盈餘的規模設定。美國貿易依賴性和盈餘比率越高,關稅率越高。
Therefore, if the trade volume decreases due to reciprocal tariffs, the GDP of those countries may also decrease. For example, Vietnam recorded $123.463 billion (about 124.5606 trillion won) in trade with the US in 2024, which amounts to 26% of Vietnam's 2024 GDP ($476.3 billion).
因此,如果由於互惠關稅而貿易量減少,這些國家的GDP也可能會減少。例如,越南在2024年與美國進行了交易,越南的$ 1234.63億美元(約124.5606億韓元),佔越南2024 GDP(4763億美元)的26%。
"Such large-scale tariffs are an unprecedented case. It
“這樣的大規模關稅是一個前所未有的案件。
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