儘管市場興趣廣泛，但比特幣仍在懸停在80,000美元的大關附近，表現出有限的向上勢頭

在撰寫本文時，該資產的交易價格為84,596美元，在過去24小時內下跌0.1％。這使BTC低於其歷史最高高度超過$ 109,000000000000000000000000000000000000。

Bitcoin price has stalled in the mid-$84,000s despite broader market interest, showing limited upward momentum. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at around $84,596, down 0.1% in the last 24 hours.

儘管市場興趣廣泛，但比特幣的價格仍處於84,000美元的中期，表現出了有限的向上勢頭。在撰寫本文時，BTC的交易價格約為84,596美元，在過去24小時內下跌0.1％。

This places BTC about 22% below its all-time high of over $109,000 set earlier this year. The price action follows a recovery from earlier lows but remains range-bound, suggesting hesitancy among investors as macroeconomic uncertainties persist.

這使BTC今年早些時候將BTC低於其歷史最高售價超過$ 109,000的22％。價格行動是從早期的低點恢復，但仍然存在範圍，這表明投資者猶豫不決，因為宏觀經濟不確定性持續存在。

One of the emerging observations comes from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan, who compared Bitcoin's current behavior to past correction cycles.

新興的觀察結果來自加密分析師Crypto Dan，後者將比特幣的當前行為與過去的校正週期進行了比較。

Speculation Eases, Setting the Stage for Potential Recovery

猜測緩解了潛在恢復的階段

In Dan's recent QuickTake post titled "Cryptocurrency Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction Period," Dan examined the speculative dynamics of the market through short-term holder activity. His analysis suggests that the recent cooling-off period might mirror patterns observed during last year's correction phase.

在Dan最近發表的《 Crightake》帖子中，標題為“加密貨幣市場，類似於2024年的更正期”，Dan通過短期持有人的活動檢查了市場的投機性動態。他的分析表明，最近的冷卻期可能反映在去年校正階段觀察到的模式。

According to Dan, one reliable gauge of market overheating is the percentage of Bitcoin supply held for one week to one month. When this metric rises, it often signals speculative enthusiasm, which can precede corrections.

根據丹的說法，一個可靠的市場過熱是一個星期至一個月的比特幣供應百分比。當該指標上升時，它通常會信號投機性熱情，這可以在校正之前進行。

During previous bullish phases, such increases in short-term holdings were followed by pullbacks, marking peaks in investor exuberance.

在以前的看漲階段，短期持有的這種增加之後是回調，標誌著投資者旺盛的高峰。

In the current cycle, Dan notes that this metric has once again reached a region previously associated with market bottoms—the same yellow box (on the chart shared) that aligned with the 2024 correction low.

在當前週期中，DAN指出，該指標再次達到了與市場底部相關的區域 - 與2024校正低相位的相同黃色框（在圖表上共享）。

Based on this, he posits that speculative excesses have largely subsided, opening the door to renewed price growth if macroeconomic conditions continue to improve. However, he also emphasized that further consolidation may still occur before a broader trend shift materializes.

基於這一點，他認為投機性過剩已在很大程度上消退，如果宏觀經濟狀況繼續改善，則為新價格增長打開了大門。但是，他還強調，在更廣泛的趨勢轉變實現之前，可能仍會發生進一步的整合。

Bitcoin Whale Activity Suggests Imminent Volatility

比特幣鯨活動表明迫在眉睫的波動性

Complementing this analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Mignolet pointed out a notable shift in coin movement behavior. In a separate post, he observed that around 170,000 BTC recently moved from the 3–6 month holding cohort.

在補充這一分析的情況下，加密貢獻者Mignolet指出了硬幣運動行為的顯著轉變。在另一篇文章中，他觀察到大約有170,000 BTC最近從3-6個月的Holding Cohort移居。

This group typically includes mid-term holders, and substantial activity from them has historically preceded increased price volatility.

該小組通常包括中期持有人，並且從歷史上看，他們的實質性活動在價格上漲之前。

Mignolet illustrated his findings with data, noting that such movements have often signaled major price action, both upward and downward. Green box indicators on his chart marked rallies, while red boxes highlighted periods of decline.

Mignolet用數據說明了他的發現，並指出這種運動通常表明了主要價格行動，無論是向上還是向下。他的圖表上的綠色框指示標誌著集會，而紅色框則突出了下降時期。

While the direction remains uncertain, he highlighted that the increased activity is an early warning sign that traders should be alert for a breakout or breakdown in the near future.

儘管該方向仍然不確定，但他強調說，增加活動是一個預警信號，即交易者應在不久的將來警惕分解或崩潰。

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